Switzerland-based bank Banque Cantonale de Genève is confident of stable growth in the Middle East for the next five years despite the global economic uncertainty triggered by Covid-19. The 200-plus-year-old bank is not targeting exponential growth in the region as it follows a conservative approach to investment, its chief executive said.
“We were very happy with client growth in the past five years in the region,” Blaise Goetschin, chief executive of Banque Cantonale de Genève, told The National.
“I don’t expect an explosion in growth but rather a gradual improvement in the three business lines we focus on.”
Our first priority in the region is the UAE. We are also interested in Oman, Saudi Arabia, parts of Iraq, Jordan and Egypt
Blaise Goetschin,
chief executive, Banque Cantonale de Genève
The mid-sized bank deals in trade finance, correspondent banking and private banking. It has a representative office in Dubai since 2010 and another in Hong Kong to target clients in Asia.
BCGE, which globally manages $33.4 billion in assets as of the first half of this year, oversees $500 million to $800m in assets from the Middle East, Mr Goetschin said.
The Middle East accounts for 3 per cent to 4 per cent of the bank’s total revenue globally. Switzerland is its biggest market, followed by France. The Middle East and Asia account for BCGE’s biggest share of revenue among international markets, Mr Goetschin said.
“We see a lot of growth potential in the region because of how it handled the Covid-19 pandemic, the prevalent peaceful situation and acceptable taxation by international comparison,” he said.
The UAE’s financial wealth hit $600bn in 2020, undeterred by the Covid-19 pandemic’s financial effects, having grown at a compound annual rate of 3 per cent from 2015, according to a report by the Boston Consulting Group in August. Investable wealth accounted for about 69 per cent of it.
The UAE, where 51 per cent of the country’s wealth is owned by people whose net worth is more than $5m, represented 26 per cent of the GCC’s financial wealth in 2020, according to the consultancy. Wealth in the Emirates is expected to grow by a compound annual rate of 4 per cent to $700bn by 2025, according to its estimates. Meanwhile, total net wealth in the GCC is projected to reach $6.3 trillion by 2025, from $5.2tn in 2020.
BCGE, which aims to facilitate the flow of economic exchange between Geneva and the UAE, provides trade finance to commodity trading companies that deal in energy, metals and agro commodities in the Emirates and have operations in Switzerland.
Its correspondent banking team visits national banks in the UAE and co-ordinates between banks for monetary deposits, forex and other transactions. Meanwhile, its private banking arm focuses on Swiss nationals and other nationalities in the UAE who retain a part of their business in Switzerland for different purposes, such as to finance a house or business in their home country, the chief executive said.
“Globally, trade finance is most profitable for us. Correspondent banking also sees stable growth. But, there was a certain slowing due to the pandemic. Now, it’s recovering,” Mr Goetschin said.
“Our first priority in the region is the UAE. We are also interested in Oman, Saudi Arabia, parts of Iraq, Jordan and Egypt, which imports a lot of products like grain, wheat, coal, sugar and energy.”
On the investment front, BCGE eschews the cryptocurrency space and avoids taking on clients who prefer a more aggressive investment strategy, the chief executive said.
“We are sceptic of private non-legal cryptocurrencies. We recommend our clients not to invest in cryptocurrencies.”
The view of risk has not changed much after the pandemic, Mr Goetschin said.
“People continue to believe in stocks, which is the most interesting asset class. Bonds offer very low yield now. Private equity made a lot of progress in terms of acceptance.
“We took on a stable, consistent and methodological approach to the market. We diversified our portfolios and checked the stocks we invest in.”
Referring to interest in environmental, social and governance investing among clients, Mr Goetschin said the trend is just a communication exercise for the time being, involving a lot of activity with regulators.
“It is very complex to measure the impact of an investment product. We are a commercial bank, companies are making the transition, but it will take time. Don’t overpromise investors,” he said.
BCGE plans to consolidate its operations in the UAE for the time being, the chief executive said.
“We might add one or two people more every two years along with growth in the business. We aren’t targeting big acquisitions. Our first priority is client quality,” he said.
BCGE is optimistic of the global economic recovery, Mr Goetschin said, citing manageable inflation, low interest rates, peace and energy costs under control.
“The Middle East region is hedged against energy prices in the short term, has intelligence and workforce – all the perfect ingredients for success,” he said.
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Tips on buying property during a pandemic
Islay Robinson, group chief executive of mortgage broker Enness Global, offers his advice on buying property in today's market.
While many have been quick to call a market collapse, this simply isn’t what we’re seeing on the ground. Many pockets of the global property market, including London and the UAE, continue to be compelling locations to invest in real estate.
While an air of uncertainty remains, the outlook is far better than anyone could have predicted. However, it is still important to consider the wider threat posed by Covid-19 when buying bricks and mortar.
Anything with outside space, gardens and private entrances is a must and these property features will see your investment keep its value should the pandemic drag on. In contrast, flats and particularly high-rise developments are falling in popularity and investors should avoid them at all costs.
Attractive investment property can be hard to find amid strong demand and heightened buyer activity. When you do find one, be prepared to move hard and fast to secure it. If you have your finances in order, this shouldn’t be an issue.
Lenders continue to lend and rates remain at an all-time low, so utilise this. There is no point in tying up cash when you can keep this liquidity to maximise other opportunities.
Keep your head and, as always when investing, take the long-term view. External factors such as coronavirus or Brexit will present challenges in the short-term, but the long-term outlook remains strong.
Finally, keep an eye on your currency. Whenever currency fluctuations favour foreign buyers, you can bet that demand will increase, as they act to secure what is essentially a discounted property.
What can you do?
Document everything immediately; including dates, times, locations and witnesses
Seek professional advice from a legal expert
You can report an incident to HR or an immediate supervisor
You can use the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation’s dedicated hotline
In criminal cases, you can contact the police for additional support
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Villains
Queens of the Stone Age
Matador
Draw:
Group A: Egypt, DR Congo, Uganda, Zimbabwe
Group B: Nigeria, Guinea, Madagascar, Burundi
Group C: Senegal, Algeria, Kenya, Tanzania
Group D: Morocco, Ivory Coast, South Africa, Namibia
Group E: Tunisia, Mali, Mauritania, Angola
Group F: Cameroon, Ghana, Benin, Guinea-Bissau
'Falling%20for%20Christmas'
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Brolliology: A History of the Umbrella in Life and Literature
By Marion Rankine
Melville House
Stree
Producer: Maddock Films, Jio Movies
Director: Amar Kaushik
Cast: Rajkummar Rao, Shraddha Kapoor, Pankaj Tripathi, Aparshakti Khurana, Abhishek Banerjee
Rating: 3.5
The biog
Name: Abeer Al Bah
Born: 1972
Husband: Emirati lawyer Salem Bin Sahoo, since 1992
Children: Soud, born 1993, lawyer; Obaid, born 1994, deceased; four other boys and one girl, three months old
Education: BA in Elementary Education, worked for five years in a Dubai school
Should late investors consider cryptocurrencies?
Wealth managers recommend late investors to have a balanced portfolio that typically includes traditional assets such as cash, government and corporate bonds, equities, commodities and commercial property.
They do not usually recommend investing in Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies due to the risk and volatility associated with them.
“It has produced eye-watering returns for some, whereas others have lost substantially as this has all depended purely on timing and when the buy-in was. If someone still has about 20 to 25 years until retirement, there isn’t any need to take such risks,” Rupert Connor of Abacus Financial Consultant says.
He adds that if a person is interested in owning a business or growing a property portfolio to increase their retirement income, this can be encouraged provided they keep in mind the overall risk profile of these assets.
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The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 261hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 405Nm at 1,750-3,500rpm
Transmission: 9-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 6.9L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh117,059
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Skewed figures
In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458.
What went into the film
25 visual effects (VFX) studios
2,150 VFX shots in a film with 2,500 shots
1,000 VFX artists
3,000 technicians
10 Concept artists, 25 3D designers
New sound technology, named 4D SRL
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The specs
Engine: 3.8-litre twin-turbo flat-six
Power: 650hp at 6,750rpm
Torque: 800Nm from 2,500-4,000rpm
Transmission: 8-speed dual-clutch auto
Fuel consumption: 11.12L/100km
Price: From Dh796,600
On sale: now