A couple walks past houses overlooking Bristol harbour. Britain’s property market experienced a mini-boom during the Covid-19 pandemic. Getty Images
A couple walks past houses overlooking Bristol harbour. Britain’s property market experienced a mini-boom during the Covid-19 pandemic. Getty Images
A couple walks past houses overlooking Bristol harbour. Britain’s property market experienced a mini-boom during the Covid-19 pandemic. Getty Images
A couple walks past houses overlooking Bristol harbour. Britain’s property market experienced a mini-boom during the Covid-19 pandemic. Getty Images

UK mortgage lending eases as pandemic-fuelled housing boom cools


Alice Haine
  • English
  • Arabic

British mortgage approvals dipped for a third month in a row in August, as the housing market cooled following a pandemic-induced boom.

Mortgage providers sanctioned 74,453 home loans compared with 75,100 in July. The drop reflects the scaling back of the stamp duty holiday, which offered buyers a tax saving worth up to £15,000 (17,388) on property purchases until July 1.

However, lenders increased their lending by £5.3 billion in August, following a rare net repayment by borrowers in July of £1.8bn which reflected the tapering tax break.

“Approvals for house purchases, an indicator of future borrowing, ticked down in August to 74,500 from 75,100 in July. This is the lowest since July 2020, but remains above pre-February 2020 levels,” the Bank of England said.

Britain’s property market experienced a mini-boom during the Covid-19 pandemic as the stamp duty holiday introduced by Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak in July last year propelled prices upwards.

Other factors driving up prices included demand for larger homes away from city centres as the work-from-home trend encouraged buyers to hunt for properties with more space and larger gardens.

Recent studies indicate the “race for space” is set to continue as working from home becomes the new normal for many. Low borrowing costs, a lack of homes for sale, savings accumulated during lockdowns and a robust jobs market are among the other factors underpinning the market.

Laura Suter, head of personal finance at AJ Bell, said the BoE figures indicate that some of the heat is coming out of the housing market following the pandemic-fuelled drive for space and the tax break put "rockets under the market".

“While August saw a small rebound in borrowing compared to July, the £5.3bn borrowed is 20 per cent lower than the average for the past 12-months,” she said.

However, rather than seeing the market "drop off a cliff", Ms Suter expects it to gradually slow down as the final end of the stamp duty holiday arrives and many of the people who wanted to move in the race for space will have done so, Ms Suter said.

Tax incentives are still playing their part in Britain’s housing market, as buyers rush to complete their purchases by Thursday to make a saving of up to £2,500 on the first £250,000 of their purchase price. Stamp-duty thresholds will then revert to their pre-pandemic levels on October 1.

Borrowing on credit cards, personal loans and car finance rose slightly but is still about a third of what it was in pre-pandemic times.
Laura Suter,
AJ Bell

Approvals for remortgaging (which only capture remortgaging with a different lender) rose to 39,700 in August, the highest level since March last year.

However, the BoE said this remains low compared with the months leading up to February 2020.

Meanwhile, consumer credit rose by £351 million in August, a limited increase reflecting poor retail sales during the month and reduced car sales, as carmakers struggled with shortages of semiconductor chips.

“Borrowing on credit cards, personal loans and car finance rose slightly but is still about a third of what it was in pre-pandemic times. Some of this will be driven by the lack of new car sales, leading to a drop in car finances, but it’s also because as a nation we’re borrowing less on credit since the pandemic reset many people’s finances," said Ms Suter.

The nation’s frugal lockdown saving ways also appear not to have been dented by easing Covid restrictions, with savings up £9.1bn in August – almost double the average inflow of £4.7bn in the year before the pandemic.

This adds to evidence that consumers are holding on to savings they accumulated during lockdowns instead of spending.

"However, savers were rewarded with yet another drop in savings rates to yet another historic low," Ms Suter said.

“With no signs of the Bank of England raising rates and inflation being high, and poised to shift even higher in the coming months, diligent savers are being clobbered from both sides."

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Full list of Emmy 2020 nominations

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

T20 WORLD CUP QUALIFIERS

Qualifier A, Muscat

(All matches to be streamed live on icc.tv) 

Fixtures

Friday, February 18: 10am Oman v Nepal, Canada v Philippines; 2pm Ireland v UAE, Germany v Bahrain 

Saturday, February 19: 10am Oman v Canada, Nepal v Philippines; 2pm UAE v Germany, Ireland v Bahrain 

Monday, February 21: 10am Ireland v Germany, UAE v Bahrain; 2pm Nepal v Canada, Oman v Philippines 

Tuesday, February 22: 2pm Semi-finals 

Thursday, February 24: 2pm Final 

UAE squad:Ahmed Raza(captain), Muhammad Waseem, Chirag Suri, Vriitya Aravind, Rohan Mustafa, Kashif Daud, Zahoor Khan, Alishan Sharafu, Raja Akifullah, Karthik Meiyappan, Junaid Siddique, Basil Hameed, Zafar Farid, Mohammed Boota, Mohammed Usman, Rahul Bhatia

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Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council

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Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory

The Programme

Saturday, October 26: ‘The Time That Remains’ (2009) by Elia Suleiman
Saturday, November 2: ‘Beginners’ (2010) by Mike Mills
Saturday, November 16: ‘Finding Vivian Maier’ (2013) by John Maloof and Charlie Siskel
Tuesday, November 26: ‘All the President’s Men’ (1976) by Alan J Pakula
Saturday, December 7: ‘Timbuktu’ (2014) by Abderrahmane Sissako
Saturday, December 21: ‘Rams’ (2015) by Grimur Hakonarson

Updated: September 29, 2021, 10:37 AM