Adipec forecasts record attendance despite oil industry slump


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Organisers of Adipec, Abu Dhabi’s big annual oil gathering, expect record attendance next month, despite the worldwide industry slump.

“I know it bucks the trend of oil conferences, but we’re expecting record numbers across the board,” said Jean-Philippe Cossé, a director at DMG Events, part of the UK’s Daily Mail Group, which runs the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition & Conference (Adipec).

The show is traditionally an opportunity to secure deals and has attracted oil ministers, top state oil company bureaucrats and international oil company chiefs over the past three decades. Last year, a record US$8.5 billion of deals were signed at Adipec, up 70 per cent from the previous year, according to DMG’s data.

Despite sharp cuts elsewhere, oil industry spending is holding up in the region, Mr Cossé said.

Fareed Abdulla, a senior executive at Abu Dhabi Company for Onshore Petroleum Operations (Adco), concurred, noting that the $7bn planned investment on Adco’s 15 main onshore fields, aimed at raising production 12.5 per cent to 1.8 million barrels per day by the end of 2017, is on track.

After last year’s Adipec, Adco awarded a $2.25bn contract to Italy’s Maire Tecnimont on its North East Bab development, which Mr Abdulla leads. And there are many other contracts to compete for, especially offshore.

“The offshore environment is very challenging and we are trying to develop Adnoc Group’s surface capabilities and work with local and international service providers to see how we can increase our footprint in these technologies,” said Ali Al Shamsi, the co-chair of the conference and head of strategy at Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc).

Adnoc and its partners are spending $25bn to develop offshore production capacity, hoping to add 300,000 bpd by the end of 2018 to bring it to 1.7 million bpd.

Adipec is scheduled to open on November 9 and Mr Cossé forecasts attendance of about 85,000, a rise of 12 per cent from last year.

That is despite the recession in the industry amid the oil price collapse.

Companies worldwide have cut thousands of workers from their payrolls and capital spending budgets have also been slashed.

amcauley@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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