US Federal Reserve raises interest rate by 75 basis points


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The US Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate by three quarters of a percentage point on Wednesday to stem a disruptive surge in inflation.

The rate increase was the biggest made by the US central bank since 1994 and was delivered after recent data showed little progress in its inflation battle.

The Fed also projected a slowing economy and rising unemployment in the months to come.

  • For the first time ever, the price for a gallon of regular petrol has hit more than $5. AP
    For the first time ever, the price for a gallon of regular petrol has hit more than $5. AP
  • US President Joe Biden speaks about the economy and inflation at the Port of Los Angeles in California. AFP
    US President Joe Biden speaks about the economy and inflation at the Port of Los Angeles in California. AFP
  • Tampons have reportedly been in short supply in stores across the US due to global supply chain issues. AFP
    Tampons have reportedly been in short supply in stores across the US due to global supply chain issues. AFP
  • Pay rates displayed at a Taco Bell fast food outlet in Sacramento, after the California minimum wage was increased due to inflation. AP
    Pay rates displayed at a Taco Bell fast food outlet in Sacramento, after the California minimum wage was increased due to inflation. AP
  • Various grades of petrol, with prices above $7 per gallon, are displayed at a Chevron gas station in central Los Angeles, California. AP
    Various grades of petrol, with prices above $7 per gallon, are displayed at a Chevron gas station in central Los Angeles, California. AP
  • The rising cost of items including clothing, food, petrol and cars is hitting Americans' pockets, despite historically low unemployment. AFP
    The rising cost of items including clothing, food, petrol and cars is hitting Americans' pockets, despite historically low unemployment. AFP
  • Mr Biden announces plans to fight inflation and lower costs. Reuters
    Mr Biden announces plans to fight inflation and lower costs. Reuters
  • Supermarkets across the US are struggling to keep shelves stocked because of supply chain issues. Willy Lowry / The National
    Supermarkets across the US are struggling to keep shelves stocked because of supply chain issues. Willy Lowry / The National
  • Protesters with the Centre for Popular Democracy stage a demonstration in support of employment rights in June 2022. Reuters
    Protesters with the Centre for Popular Democracy stage a demonstration in support of employment rights in June 2022. Reuters
  • Diners in San Francisco, California. With prices so high, many US consumers say they are cutting back on eating out. AFP
    Diners in San Francisco, California. With prices so high, many US consumers say they are cutting back on eating out. AFP
  • Bags of purchases from a Dollar Tree store in Jackson, Mississippi. The company sells items at $1. AP
    Bags of purchases from a Dollar Tree store in Jackson, Mississippi. The company sells items at $1. AP
  • Volunteers gather food to hand out at a West Texas Food Bank drive-through in Odessa, Texas. Bloomberg
    Volunteers gather food to hand out at a West Texas Food Bank drive-through in Odessa, Texas. Bloomberg
  • A hiring poster at a Chipotle fast food restaurant in Los Angeles, California. US unemployment stands at 3.6 per cent, about 0.1 per cent above a 50-year low in 2019. EPA
    A hiring poster at a Chipotle fast food restaurant in Los Angeles, California. US unemployment stands at 3.6 per cent, about 0.1 per cent above a 50-year low in 2019. EPA
  • Supermarket shoppers in Rosemead, California. High food prices are causing hardship for some Americans. AFP
    Supermarket shoppers in Rosemead, California. High food prices are causing hardship for some Americans. AFP
  • Mr Biden speaks on lowering costs for American families in Illinois. Bloomberg
    Mr Biden speaks on lowering costs for American families in Illinois. Bloomberg
  • Nearly empty shelves in a supermarket in Orlando, Florida. AP
    Nearly empty shelves in a supermarket in Orlando, Florida. AP

“We thought strong action was warranted at this meeting,” Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in a press conference after a two-day meeting. “And we delivered that.”

US central bank officials flagged a faster path of increases in borrowing costs to come as well, more closely aligning monetary policy with a rapid shift this week in financial market views of what it will take to bring price pressures under control.

"Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices and broader price pressures," the central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement at the end of its latest two-day meeting in Washington.

"The committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 per cent objective."

The action raised the short-term federal funds rate to a range of 1.50 per cent to 1.75 per cent, and Fed officials at the median projected the rate increasing to 3.4 per cent by the end of this year and 3.8 per cent in 2023 — a substantial shift from projections in March in which the rate was projected to rise to 1.9 per cent this year.

  • Various grades of petrol, with prices above $7 per gallon, are displayed at a Chevron gas station in downtown Los Angeles, California. AP
    Various grades of petrol, with prices above $7 per gallon, are displayed at a Chevron gas station in downtown Los Angeles, California. AP
  • Petrol prices are displayed at an Exxon gas station behind American flag in Edgewater, New Jersey. Reuters
    Petrol prices are displayed at an Exxon gas station behind American flag in Edgewater, New Jersey. Reuters
  • Drivers in Hawthorne, California wait in line to pump fuel as the price of regular petrol reaches above $5.89 a gallon and premium fuel tips over $6 per gallon. AFP
    Drivers in Hawthorne, California wait in line to pump fuel as the price of regular petrol reaches above $5.89 a gallon and premium fuel tips over $6 per gallon. AFP
  • 'Any good news please' sign seen along with a price for a gallon of petrol at a service station in Denver, Colorado. AP
    'Any good news please' sign seen along with a price for a gallon of petrol at a service station in Denver, Colorado. AP
  • Two people wearing masks stand in front of a sign showing the price of petrol outside of a service station in Washington. AFP
    Two people wearing masks stand in front of a sign showing the price of petrol outside of a service station in Washington. AFP
  • A sign displays petrol prices as a vehicle departs a Shell station in Washington. AFP
    A sign displays petrol prices as a vehicle departs a Shell station in Washington. AFP
  • A person takes photographs of petrol prices at a Shell station in Los Angeles, California. AFP
    A person takes photographs of petrol prices at a Shell station in Los Angeles, California. AFP
  • An attendant walks past a pump at a station selling petrol at almost $7 a gallon in Los Angeles, California. AP
    An attendant walks past a pump at a station selling petrol at almost $7 a gallon in Los Angeles, California. AP
  • A driver holds a fuel nozzle at a Shell station in San Francisco, California. Bloomberg
    A driver holds a fuel nozzle at a Shell station in San Francisco, California. Bloomberg
  • Two people wearing masks walk in front of a sign showing the price of petrol outside of a station as prices reach record highs in Washington. AFP
    Two people wearing masks walk in front of a sign showing the price of petrol outside of a station as prices reach record highs in Washington. AFP
  • An electrical contractor repairs a sign with petrol prices in Los Angeles, California. AFP
    An electrical contractor repairs a sign with petrol prices in Los Angeles, California. AFP
  • Cars drive near a petrol station in Washington. AFP
    Cars drive near a petrol station in Washington. AFP
  • Petrol prices are advertised at almost $7 a gallon in Los Angeles, California. AP
    Petrol prices are advertised at almost $7 a gallon in Los Angeles, California. AP

The stricter monetary policy was accompanied by a downgrade to the Fed's economic outlook, with the economy now slowing to a below-trend 1.7 per cent rate of growth this year, with unemployment rising to 3.7 per cent by the end of this year and continuing to rise to 4.1 per cent through 2024.

President Joe Biden has fully endorsed the Fed's battle against the steepest rise in prices in more than 40 years, as he watches inflation erode his popularity and deflect attention from other milestones, including a rapid recovery of the world's largest economy and record job growth.

US central bankers began raising interest rates off zero in March as buoyant demand from American consumers for homes, cars and other goods clashed with transport and supply chain snarls in parts of the world where Covid-19 remained — and remains — a challenge.

That fuelled inflation, which worsened after Russia invaded Ukraine in late February and western nations imposed steep sanctions on Moscow, sending food and fuel prices up at a blistering rate.

US petrol prices have topped $5 a gallon for the first time ever and are setting new records daily.

Economists thought March was the peak for consumer price rises, but the rate spiked again in May, jumping 8.6 per cent in the last 12 months, and wholesale prices surged as well, almost entirely due to soaring costs for energy, especially petrol.

The Fed was caught off guard with the speed of the price increases and while policymakers usually prefer to clearly telegraph any policy shift to financial markets, the latest data likely changed the calculus.

Mr Powell has indicated policymakers were poised to enact another half-point increase in the benchmark borrowing rate next month, aiming to douse red-hot inflation without tipping the economy into recession and avoid a bout of 1970s-style stagflation.

“I do not expect moves of this size to be common,” he said. “Either a 50 basis point or a 75 basis point increase seems most likely at our next meeting. We will, however, make our decisions meeting by meeting.”

However, the central bank cannot influence supply issues and rate increases only work by cooling demand and slowing the economy — meaning policymakers are walking a fine line between having an impact and doing too much.

But the impact will not be immediate.

“Monetary policy operates with lags, today's inflation reflects decisions taken a year ago,” said Adam Posen, head of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and a former central banker.

“Had Fed hiked in 2021 Q2/Q3, then inflation now would be different — not least [because] the current global shocks wouldn't be piling on already high inflation,” he said on Twitter.

  • Bottles of Huy Fong Foods Sriracha sauce are displayed on a supermarket shelf in Larkspur, California. Getty Images / AFP
    Bottles of Huy Fong Foods Sriracha sauce are displayed on a supermarket shelf in Larkspur, California. Getty Images / AFP
  • Huy Fong Foods announced that it will temporarily suspend production and will be unable to fill orders placed after mid-April. Getty Images / AFP
    Huy Fong Foods announced that it will temporarily suspend production and will be unable to fill orders placed after mid-April. Getty Images / AFP
  • Shelves normally meant for baby formula sit nearly empty at a store in Washington. AFP
    Shelves normally meant for baby formula sit nearly empty at a store in Washington. AFP
  • The conflict in Ukraine has caused shortages of certain agricultural products such as sunflower oil. AFP
    The conflict in Ukraine has caused shortages of certain agricultural products such as sunflower oil. AFP
  • A beef display case is nearly empty at a Giant Food grocery store in Washington. Reuters
    A beef display case is nearly empty at a Giant Food grocery store in Washington. Reuters
  • Grocery stores still have empty shelves amid supply chain disruptions, coronavirus, weather delays and war. AFP
    Grocery stores still have empty shelves amid supply chain disruptions, coronavirus, weather delays and war. AFP
  • A customer walks past empty shelves at Heinen's Fine Foods store in Pepper Pike, Ohio. AP
    A customer walks past empty shelves at Heinen's Fine Foods store in Pepper Pike, Ohio. AP
  • Shelves sit mostly empty in January at a Walmart in Anchorage, Alaska. AP
    Shelves sit mostly empty in January at a Walmart in Anchorage, Alaska. AP
  • A woman takes a jug of milk off of depleted refrigerated shelves at a Giant Food store in Springfield, Virginia. Getty Images / AFP
    A woman takes a jug of milk off of depleted refrigerated shelves at a Giant Food store in Springfield, Virginia. Getty Images / AFP
  • A man browses largely empty shelves at a Pet Club in Emeryville, California. AP
    A man browses largely empty shelves at a Pet Club in Emeryville, California. AP

Agence France-Presse contributed to this report

Electric scooters: some rules to remember
  • Riders must be 14-years-old or over
  • Wear a protective helmet
  • Park the electric scooter in designated parking lots (if any)
  • Do not leave electric scooter in locations that obstruct traffic or pedestrians
  • Solo riders only, no passengers allowed
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Suggested picnic spots

Abu Dhabi
Umm Al Emarat Park
Yas Gateway Park
Delma Park
Al Bateen beach
Saadiyaat beach
The Corniche
Zayed Sports City
 
Dubai
Kite Beach
Zabeel Park
Al Nahda Pond Park
Mushrif Park
Safa Park
Al Mamzar Beach Park
Al Qudrah Lakes 

Name: Peter Dicce

Title: Assistant dean of students and director of athletics

Favourite sport: soccer

Favourite team: Bayern Munich

Favourite player: Franz Beckenbauer

Favourite activity in Abu Dhabi: scuba diving in the Northern Emirates 

 

Company%20Profile
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UAE v Gibraltar

What: International friendly

When: 7pm kick off

Where: Rugby Park, Dubai Sports City

Admission: Free

Online: The match will be broadcast live on Dubai Exiles’ Facebook page

UAE squad: Lucas Waddington (Dubai Exiles), Gio Fourie (Exiles), Craig Nutt (Abu Dhabi Harlequins), Phil Brady (Harlequins), Daniel Perry (Dubai Hurricanes), Esekaia Dranibota (Harlequins), Matt Mills (Exiles), Jaen Botes (Exiles), Kristian Stinson (Exiles), Murray Reason (Abu Dhabi Saracens), Dave Knight (Hurricanes), Ross Samson (Jebel Ali Dragons), DuRandt Gerber (Exiles), Saki Naisau (Dragons), Andrew Powell (Hurricanes), Emosi Vacanau (Harlequins), Niko Volavola (Dragons), Matt Richards (Dragons), Luke Stevenson (Harlequins), Josh Ives (Dubai Sports City Eagles), Sean Stevens (Saracens), Thinus Steyn (Exiles)

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

UK’s AI plan
  • AI ambassadors such as MIT economist Simon Johnson, Monzo cofounder Tom Blomfield and Google DeepMind’s Raia Hadsell
  • £10bn AI growth zone in South Wales to create 5,000 jobs
  • £100m of government support for startups building AI hardware products
  • £250m to train new AI models
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Hotel Silence
Auður Ava Ólafsdóttir
Pushkin Press

The biog

Occupation: Key marker and auto electrician

Hometown: Ghazala, Syria

Date of arrival in Abu Dhabi: May 15, 1978

Family: 11 siblings, a wife, three sons and one daughter

Favourite place in UAE: Abu Dhabi

Favourite hobby: I like to do a mix of things, like listening to poetry for example.

Favourite Syrian artist: Sabah Fakhri, a tenor from Aleppo

Favourite food: fresh fish

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Director: James Cameron

Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana

Rating: 4.5/5

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How to get exposure to gold

Although you can buy gold easily on the Dubai markets, the problem with buying physical bars, coins or jewellery is that you then have storage, security and insurance issues.

A far easier option is to invest in a low-cost exchange traded fund (ETF) that invests in the precious metal instead, for example, ETFS Physical Gold (PHAU) and iShares Physical Gold (SGLN) both track physical gold. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF invests directly in mining companies.

Alternatively, BlackRock Gold & General seeks to achieve long-term capital growth primarily through an actively managed portfolio of gold mining, commodity and precious-metal related shares. Its largest portfolio holdings include gold miners Newcrest Mining, Barrick Gold Corp, Agnico Eagle Mines and the NewMont Goldcorp.

Brave investors could take on the added risk of buying individual gold mining stocks, many of which have performed wonderfully well lately.

London-listed Centamin is up more than 70 per cent in just three months, although in a sign of its volatility, it is down 5 per cent on two years ago. Trans-Siberian Gold, listed on London's alternative investment market (AIM) for small stocks, has seen its share price almost quadruple from 34p to 124p over the same period, but do not assume this kind of runaway growth can continue for long

However, buying individual equities like these is highly risky, as their share prices can crash just as quickly, which isn't what what you want from a supposedly safe haven.

Types of bank fraud

1) Phishing

Fraudsters send an unsolicited email that appears to be from a financial institution or online retailer. The hoax email requests that you provide sensitive information, often by clicking on to a link leading to a fake website.

2) Smishing

The SMS equivalent of phishing. Fraudsters falsify the telephone number through “text spoofing,” so that it appears to be a genuine text from the bank.

3) Vishing

The telephone equivalent of phishing and smishing. Fraudsters may pose as bank staff, police or government officials. They may persuade the consumer to transfer money or divulge personal information.

4) SIM swap

Fraudsters duplicate the SIM of your mobile number without your knowledge or authorisation, allowing them to conduct financial transactions with your bank.

5) Identity theft

Someone illegally obtains your confidential information, through various ways, such as theft of your wallet, bank and utility bill statements, computer intrusion and social networks.

6) Prize scams

Fraudsters claiming to be authorised representatives from well-known organisations (such as Etisalat, du, Dubai Shopping Festival, Expo2020, Lulu Hypermarket etc) contact victims to tell them they have won a cash prize and request them to share confidential banking details to transfer the prize money.

The specs: 2018 Volkswagen Teramont

Price, base / as tested Dh137,000 / Dh189,950

Engine 3.6-litre V6

Gearbox Eight-speed automatic

Power 280hp @ 6,200rpm

Torque 360Nm @ 2,750rpm

Fuel economy, combined 11.7L / 100km

Updated: June 16, 2022, 6:32 AM