Abu Dhabi-based hotel operator Rotana expects to return to pre-pandemic levels of business by 2023, spurred by a rebound in leisure travel, the return of business meetings and hosting mega events such as the Fifa World Cup in Qatar and Expo 2020 Dubai, its chief executive said.
The hospitality group reached 80 per cent of its 2019 levels of growth in the bottom line during the first quarter of this year, exceeding its own target of 75 per cent, as the Gulf and Middle East region witnessed a revival in travel, Guy Hutchinson told The National at the Arabian Travel Market in Dubai on Wednesday.
“We're still not at 100 per cent, we're still at 80, but we think that gap is going to continually close … because the recovery has accelerated a little bit beyond our expectations,” he said.
“We see the fourth quarter will be very strong but it's how we now navigate the traditionally more difficult summer months to see how that momentum continues.”
In the first quarter, Rotana's UAE, Qatar and Saudi Arabia properties recorded occupancy of about 80 per cent to 90 per cent.
Morocco, whose borders remained closed to international travel until March, recorded 40 per cent to 50 per cent hotel occupancy. Jordan properties were full at about 50 per cent and set to accelerate, while Lebanon, which is facing a severe economic crisis, managed an “excellent” performance during the Eid holidays and is set for a “strong” summer on the back of leisure visits, Mr Hutchinson said.
UAE hotels recorded a 24 per cent increase in occupancy rates in the first quarter of 2022, compared to the same period last year, with increased demand due to the winter holidays and last three months of Expo 2020, a Mena hotels report by Colliers released on Monday showed.
Dubai and Sharjah posted the highest growth in occupancy of 33 per cent and 30 per cent year-on-year, respectively.
Rotana will “without a doubt” recover to pre-Covid levels by 2023, but the “question is about how much we close that gap in 2022 — it's still a transition year”, he said.
We see the fourth quarter will be very strong but it's how we now navigate the traditionally more difficult summer months to see how that momentum continues
Guy Hutchinson,
chief executive of Rotana
The executive is “extremely positive” about the direct and spillover benefit to the region from the Fifa World Cup in Qatar scheduled for later this year, with Dubai standing to benefit because of its flight connectivity and accommodation options, Mr Hutchinson said.
The impact of the mega event will be seen in the fourth quarter and Rotana has registered growing interest in hotel bookings, but more clarity is needed on the flight frequencies and accommodation arrangements, he added.
The Meetings, Incentives, Conferences and Exhibitions (Mice) business has also recovered faster than expected and the so-called hybrid format of events that combines online and physical presence will disappear quickly as people gain more confidence, Mr Hutchinson said.
The six-month Expo Dubai 2020, which concluded in March, was “beyond expectations” and “exceptionally busy”, with occupancy levels jumping 30 per cent to 40 per cent above 2019 levels, he said.
Rotana currently does not have any properties in District 2020 but would consider opportunities as they arise, Mr Hutchinson added.
District 2020 will repurpose 80 per cent of the Expo’s build environment into an integrated, mixed-use community to attract businesses and people to work, live and visit, its website said.
Rotana's focus is to “rebuild our fundamentals” as the world has yet to fully recover to its pre-crisis travel patterns and plans to focus on restoring traditional feeder markets such as Germany and the UK, the company chief said.
When China ends its lockdown triggered by its zero-Covid policy, the two years of pent-up travel demand will also unleash growth momentum, he said. China was a major source market for Dubai and the UAE before the pandemic.
Rotana, which is experiencing a quicker-than-expected resumption of investments in hospitality assets, has 42 new property openings in the pipeline across the Middle East and Africa over the next four years, Mr Hutchinson said. About 80 per cent of these will be international expansions.
In Africa, Rotana is aiming to open new hotels in Kenya, Algeria and Egypt, he added.
Egypt, with its focus on improving infrastructure and attracting more tourists, will be the site of six of these 42 new properties. The hotels will be located in New Cairo, Luxor and the North Coast.
The company has been less affected by inflationary pressures and more by global supply chain bottlenecks, which have resulted in unit price increases of 20 per cent to 40 per cent, but this has been “neutralised” by more efficient operations, Mr Hutchinson said.
Amid the continuing Ukraine war, the number of Russian guests at Rotana's properties has dipped to 6.5 per cent of total visitors, versus 7 per cent before the conflict, particularly in the Northern Emirates and Sharm El Sheikh in Egypt, he said.
Farage on Muslim Brotherhood
Nigel Farage told Reform's annual conference that the party will proscribe the Muslim Brotherhood if he becomes Prime Minister.
"We will stop dangerous organisations with links to terrorism operating in our country," he said. "Quite why we've been so gutless about this – both Labour and Conservative – I don't know.
“All across the Middle East, countries have banned and proscribed the Muslim Brotherhood as a dangerous organisation. We will do the very same.”
It is 10 years since a ground-breaking report into the Muslim Brotherhood by Sir John Jenkins.
Among the former diplomat's findings was an assessment that “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” has “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
The prime minister at the time, David Cameron, who commissioned the report, said membership or association with the Muslim Brotherhood was a "possible indicator of extremism" but it would not be banned.
SNAPSHOT
While Huawei did launch the first smartphone with a 50MP image sensor in its P40 series in 2020, Oppo in 2014 introduced the Find 7, which was capable of taking 50MP images: this was done using a combination of a 13MP sensor and software that resulted in shots seemingly taken from a 50MP camera.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
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6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young
Islamophobia definition
A widely accepted definition was made by the All Party Parliamentary Group on British Muslims in 2019: “Islamophobia is rooted in racism and is a type of racism that targets expressions of Muslimness or perceived Muslimness.” It further defines it as “inciting hatred or violence against Muslims”.
Dr Amal Khalid Alias revealed a recent case of a woman with daughters, who specifically wanted a boy.
A semen analysis of the father showed abnormal sperm so the couple required IVF.
Out of 21 eggs collected, six were unused leaving 15 suitable for IVF.
A specific procedure was used, called intracytoplasmic sperm injection where a single sperm cell is inserted into the egg.
On day three of the process, 14 embryos were biopsied for gender selection.
The next day, a pre-implantation genetic report revealed four normal male embryos, three female and seven abnormal samples.
Day five of the treatment saw two male embryos transferred to the patient.
The woman recorded a positive pregnancy test two weeks later.
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Without Remorse
Directed by: Stefano Sollima
Starring: Michael B Jordan
4/5
Lexus LX700h specs
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Wicked: For Good
Director: Jon M Chu
Starring: Ariana Grande, Cynthia Erivo, Jonathan Bailey, Jeff Goldblum, Michelle Yeoh, Ethan Slater
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The biog
Hometown: Cairo
Age: 37
Favourite TV series: The Handmaid’s Tale, Black Mirror
Favourite anime series: Death Note, One Piece and Hellsing
Favourite book: Designing Brand Identity, Fifth Edition
World record transfers
1. Kylian Mbappe - to Real Madrid in 2017/18 - €180 million (Dh770.4m - if a deal goes through)
2. Paul Pogba - to Manchester United in 2016/17 - €105m
3. Gareth Bale - to Real Madrid in 2013/14 - €101m
4. Cristiano Ronaldo - to Real Madrid in 2009/10 - €94m
5. Gonzalo Higuain - to Juventus in 2016/17 - €90m
6. Neymar - to Barcelona in 2013/14 - €88.2m
7. Romelu Lukaku - to Manchester United in 2017/18 - €84.7m
8. Luis Suarez - to Barcelona in 2014/15 - €81.72m
9. Angel di Maria - to Manchester United in 2014/15 - €75m
10. James Rodriguez - to Real Madrid in 2014/15 - €75m
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The Africa Institute 101
Housed on the same site as the original Africa Hall, which first hosted an Arab-African Symposium in 1976, the newly renovated building will be home to a think tank and postgraduate studies hub (it will offer master’s and PhD programmes). The centre will focus on both the historical and contemporary links between Africa and the Gulf, and will serve as a meeting place for conferences, symposia, lectures, film screenings, plays, musical performances and more. In fact, today it is hosting a symposium – 5-plus-1: Rethinking Abstraction that will look at the six decades of Frank Bowling’s career, as well as those of his contemporaries that invested social, cultural and personal meaning into abstraction.
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