We think of tape measures and rulers as infallible, accepting the information that they give us and rarely questioning it. If we want to measure a garment, a piece of furniture or even an empty space, we turn to these traditional methods because we trust them to do the job.
As the author Nassim Taleb observed in his book Fooled By Randomness: "Unless you have confidence in the ruler's reliability, if you use a ruler to measure a table, you may also be using the table to measure the ruler." He presented this as a metaphor, but he was right on a practical level, too. Without trust, a measuring device is no use to anyone.
Many smartphone apps now claim to do the job of the ruler and the tape measure.
Want to know the width of a table? Just fire up the camera, click on the start and end points you wish to measure between and let algorithms do the rest, with the final measurement presented as a number superimposed onto the screen.
Understanding augmented reality
There’s only one problem. As these apps freely admit, they have margins of error. The biggest battle they face is to establish the trust we already have in the humble ruler. If they can’t, what purpose do they serve?
Some would say that it’s churlish to criticise. After all, these apps are very clever examples of augmented reality (AR), where sensors embedded within phones and tablets can deduce valuable information about the world around it.
“This is something I’ve played with ever since college,” says Chris Laan of Laan Labs, which develops AirMeasure, a popular measuring app for Android and iOS. “While you could use the accelerometer to measure distance, the accuracy of the sensors wasn’t good enough. But now, algorithms can combine the information from a phone’s camera with data from its accelerometer and a gyroscope, locating the phone within a three-dimensional space and tracking its movements in real time.”
Many of these advances were made last summer with the launch of Apple’s ARKit and Google’s ARCore, sets of tools provided to app developers to allow them to access AR features in the latest phones and tablets.
Within weeks, Laan Labs had produced a proof of concept video of AirMeasure that immediately caused a stir on YouTube. The reactions of “fake!” that appeared in the comments section demonstrated how people found it implausible that angles, depth and perspective could all be determined by a phone.
“We discovered through user testing that people didn’t really know what AR was,” says Laan. “They didn’t understand that the phone could understand the world around it. It was hard to present the idea to people that they were interacting with a virtual space.”
How does it work?
First tentative steps in AR measuring certainly feel a little unusual. The initial hurdle is to understand that measurements can be taken from a distance; we’re so accustomed to measuring things by pressing rulers and tapes to the surface of the object we’re measuring, and it requires a leap of faith to trust a phone to perceive spatial depth correctly. But other features within these apps can help us to adapt our brains to their capabilities.
You can add virtual furniture to a room, create floor plans, or place three-dimensional spirit levels in a space to help align shelves or hang pictures. (The instinctive impulse, however, is still to use an old fashioned spirit level to check that the digital one is correct. Some habits are hard to break.)
Neither Apple nor Google would have known how its AR tools would be used by developers and which apps would be embraced by the public, but measurement has turned out to be unexpectedly popular.
“When we put the first video out,” says Laan, “people were dismissing it, but they were wrong.” According to the mobile analytics firm Sensor Tower, measurement tools account for 7 per cent of the 1,000 or so AR apps available for iOS, and have been downloaded more than two million times.
What to expect for the future
Both Apple and Google have capitalised upon this interest in the past couple of weeks by announcing their own measurement apps called Measure and Google Measure respectively.
Measure will be revealed to the public with the launch of iOS12 in September, while Google Measure is already available for a whole range of phones, including the Google Pixel 2 and Samsung Galaxy S9.
What’s puzzling, according to Chris Laan, is that these apps have been launched while the question of accuracy still lingers over the genre.
“Initially we had a disclaimer on AirMeasure saying look, this is a tool for estimates,” he says. “We didn’t want people building houses using it! Accuracy is still an issue, and we were caught off guard by Apple’s announcement. We had it in our head that Apple wouldn’t produce anything of substandard quality. But its Measure app still has issues that we struggled with at first – issues that we think we’ve overcome.”
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Read more:
From Amazon to Google: Why we need to pay attention to these tech giants
What Google knows about our home interiors
Google I/O conference: looking at the latest AR and AI advances
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The fact is that the sensors in the average smartphone currently have limited power, and the software has to work very hard to deduce how those phones are moving and tilting.
That’s where errors creep in, and where trust in the technology breaks down. But those errors are getting ever-smaller over time.
The TrueDepth camera in the iPhone X, which has infrared depth detection, steps up the accuracy of measurement considerably, according to Laan. “In a year or two, all phones will start to have this technology,” he says, “and it’s only a matter of time before these measurements are 100 per cent accurate. It won’t even be a question any more.”
So, for the time being, it might be worth sticking with the old-fashioned methods of measurement that people have used since Biblical times. But by the end of the decade, measuring the length of objects by using notches on a stick is going to start feeling very old hat indeed.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
The specs
Engine: 4-litre twin-turbo V8
Transmission: eight-speed PDK
Power: 630bhp
Torque: 820Nm
Price: Dh683,200
On sale: now
Sunday:
GP3 race: 12:10pm
Formula 2 race: 1:35pm
Formula 1 race: 5:10pm
Performance: Guns N' Roses
Some of Darwish's last words
"They see their tomorrows slipping out of their reach. And though it seems to them that everything outside this reality is heaven, yet they do not want to go to that heaven. They stay, because they are afflicted with hope." - Mahmoud Darwish, to attendees of the Palestine Festival of Literature, 2008
His life in brief: Born in a village near Galilee, he lived in exile for most of his life and started writing poetry after high school. He was arrested several times by Israel for what were deemed to be inciteful poems. Most of his work focused on the love and yearning for his homeland, and he was regarded the Palestinian poet of resistance. Over the course of his life, he published more than 30 poetry collections and books of prose, with his work translated into more than 20 languages. Many of his poems were set to music by Arab composers, most significantly Marcel Khalife. Darwish died on August 9, 2008 after undergoing heart surgery in the United States. He was later buried in Ramallah where a shrine was erected in his honour.
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
UAE v Gibraltar
What: International friendly
When: 7pm kick off
Where: Rugby Park, Dubai Sports City
Admission: Free
Online: The match will be broadcast live on Dubai Exiles’ Facebook page
UAE squad: Lucas Waddington (Dubai Exiles), Gio Fourie (Exiles), Craig Nutt (Abu Dhabi Harlequins), Phil Brady (Harlequins), Daniel Perry (Dubai Hurricanes), Esekaia Dranibota (Harlequins), Matt Mills (Exiles), Jaen Botes (Exiles), Kristian Stinson (Exiles), Murray Reason (Abu Dhabi Saracens), Dave Knight (Hurricanes), Ross Samson (Jebel Ali Dragons), DuRandt Gerber (Exiles), Saki Naisau (Dragons), Andrew Powell (Hurricanes), Emosi Vacanau (Harlequins), Niko Volavola (Dragons), Matt Richards (Dragons), Luke Stevenson (Harlequins), Josh Ives (Dubai Sports City Eagles), Sean Stevens (Saracens), Thinus Steyn (Exiles)
88 Video's most popular rentals
Avengers 3: Infinity War: an American superhero film released in 2018 and based on the Marvel Comics story.
Sholay: a 1975 Indian action-adventure film. It follows the adventures of two criminals hired by police to catch a vagabond. The film was panned on release but is now considered a classic.
Lucifer: is a 2019 Malayalam-language action film. It dives into the gritty world of Kerala’s politics and has become one of the highest-grossing Malayalam films of all time.
MATCH DETAILS
Manchester United 3
Greenwood (21), Martial (33), Rashford (49)
Partizan Belgrade 0
The%20specs
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Results
Stage 4
1. Dylan Groenewegen (NED) Jumbo-Visma 04:16:13
2. Gaviria (COL) UAE Team Emirates
3. Pascal Ackermann (GER) Bora-Hansgrohe
4. Sam Bennett (IRL) Deceuninck-QuickStep
5. Caleb Ewan (AUS) Lotto Soudal
General Classification:
1. Adam Yates (GBR) Mitchelton-Scott 16:46:15
2. Tadej Pogacar (SLO) UAE Team Emirates 0:01:07
3. Alexey Lutsenko (KAZ) Astana Pro Team 0:01:35
4. David Gaudu (FRA) Groupama-FDJ 0:01:40
5. Rafal Majka (POL) Bora-Hansgrohe
The specs
Engine: 1.5-litre 4-cylinder petrol
Power: 154bhp
Torque: 250Nm
Transmission: 7-speed automatic with 8-speed sports option
Price: From Dh79,600
On sale: Now
Company Fact Box
Company name/date started: Abwaab Technologies / September 2019
Founders: Hamdi Tabbaa, co-founder and CEO. Hussein Alsarabi, co-founder and CTO
Based: Amman, Jordan
Sector: Education Technology
Size (employees/revenue): Total team size: 65. Full-time employees: 25. Revenue undisclosed
Stage: early-stage startup
Investors: Adam Tech Ventures, Endure Capital, Equitrust, the World Bank-backed Innovative Startups SMEs Fund, a London investment fund, a number of former and current executives from Uber and Netflix, among others.
Seemar’s top six for the Dubai World Cup Carnival:
1. Reynaldothewizard
2. North America
3. Raven’s Corner
4. Hawkesbury
5. New Maharajah
6. Secret Ambition
Brief scores
Barcelona 2
Pique 36', Alena 87'
Villarreal 0
RESULTS
Main card
Bantamweight 56.4kg: Mehdi Eljamari (MAR) beat Abrorbek Madiminbekov (UZB), Split points decision
Super heavyweight 94 kg: Adnan Mohammad (IRN) beat Mohammed Ajaraam (MAR), Split points decision
Lightweight 60kg: Zakaria Eljamari (UAE) beat Faridoon Alik Zai (AFG), RSC round 3
Light heavyweight 81.4kg: Taha Marrouni (MAR) beat Mahmood Amin (EGY), Unanimous points decision
Light welterweight 64.5kg: Siyovush Gulmamadov (TJK) beat Nouredine Samir (UAE), Unanimous points decision
Light heavyweight 81.4kg: Ilyass Habibali (UAE) beat Haroun Baka (ALG), KO second round
Rebel%20Moon%20%E2%80%93%20Part%20Two%3A%20The%20Scargiver%20review%20
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Avatar: Fire and Ash
Director: James Cameron
Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana
Rating: 4.5/5
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 261hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 405Nm at 1,750-3,500rpm
Transmission: 9-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 6.9L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh117,059
SQUADS
UAE
Mohammed Naveed (captain), Mohamed Usman (vice-captain), Ashfaq Ahmed, Chirag Suri, Shaiman Anwar, Mohammed Boota, Ghulam Shabber, Imran Haider, Tahir Mughal, Amir Hayat, Zahoor Khan, Qadeer Ahmed, Fahad Nawaz, Abdul Shakoor, Sultan Ahmed, CP Rizwan
Nepal
Paras Khadka (captain), Gyanendra Malla, Dipendra Singh Airee, Pradeep Airee, Binod Bhandari, Avinash Bohara, Sundeep Jora, Sompal Kami, Karan KC, Rohit Paudel, Sandeep Lamichhane, Lalit Rajbanshi, Basant Regmi, Pawan Sarraf, Bhim Sharki, Aarif Sheikh
The President's Cake
Director: Hasan Hadi
Starring: Baneen Ahmad Nayyef, Waheed Thabet Khreibat, Sajad Mohamad Qasem
Rating: 4/5
Our legal columnist
Name: Yousef Al Bahar
Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994
Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers
Company%C2%A0profile
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How to help
Send “thenational” to the following numbers or call the hotline on: 0502955999
2289 – Dh10
2252 – Dh 50
6025 – Dh20
6027 – Dh 100
6026 – Dh 200
MATCH INFO
Red Star Belgrade v Tottenham Hotspur, midnight (Thursday), UAE
Silent Hill f
Publisher: Konami
Platforms: PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X/S, PC
Rating: 4.5/5
Results
Final: Iran beat Spain 6-3.
Play-off 3rd: UAE beat Russia 2-1 (in extra time).
Play-off 5th: Japan beat Egypt 7-2.
Play-off 7th: Italy beat Mexico 3-2.
Specs
Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric
Range: Up to 610km
Power: 905hp
Torque: 985Nm
Price: From Dh439,000
Available: Now