When London’s West End stores emerged from lockdown, a queue soon formed outside Louis Vuitton on New Bond Street.
It seemed perverse; the world was in the throes of a health crisis, struggling to cope with illness and death on an enormous scale. Everywhere fear abounded, about the virus and its effects.
Across the globe, people were afraid for their vulnerable and elderly relatives and friends, children were denied access to school, social lives ground to a standstill, planes stopped flying, mental well-being plummeted and job insecurity soared. Yet, here were people who wanted to spend thousands on a handbag or a pair of boots. It was perverse.
Was it, really? When they were asked why they were doing this, the shoppers replied that they wished to treat themselves, that while they were holed up in their homes, they’d dreamt of one day touching, smelling, buying the sort of quality product that “LV” specialised in. They could have bought online but they wanted to enjoy the experience of being cosseted and indulged, and indulging, again.
Confirmation that luxury products are different, that they cater for a need in human beings outside the normal, everyday humdrum of just getting by, comes this week from Rolls-Royce. The BMW-owned company sold 5,586 vehicles last year, an increase of 49 per cent on 2020 and the highest total in its history.
According to Rolls-Royce’s boss, Torsten Müller-Otvös, wealthy motorists realised that “life is short”. He said: “Quite a lot of people witnessed people in their community dying from Covid, that makes them think life can be short, and you’d better live now than postpone it to a later date. That also has helped [Rolls-Royce sales] quite massively.”
His analysis is borne out by the fact that soaring demand was across the board, it really was worldwide. As, of course, were the ravages of the virus. Just as 5.5 million people have died due to Covid around the world, so too has Rolls-Royce enjoyed a commensurate rise in sales. The boom was not confined to one market but applied to all of them — something again the carmaker had never seen before. Normally, while one country or region is up, another is down. That was not the case this time. China and the Americas saw 30 per cent sales increases, Europe was up 20 per cent and the Middle East 10 per cent. South Korea and Russia also did well.
The surge was not confined to Rolls-Royce. Bentley also enjoyed a 30 per cent rise, selling 14,659 cars. The best-seller for Rolls-Royce was its new SUV, the Cullinan, which retails at £264,000, although customers were lining up to design their own Rolls-Royce Boat Tail model for a mere £20m.
The sense of parallel universes was exemplified by semiconductors. Elsewhere in cars and other industries there was a chronic shortage of the computer chips. Factories in Asia, hit by Covid, were unable to manufacture enough of them to keep pace with orders. Their absence added to worldwide supply chain woes. But Rolls-Royce and Bentley don’t make as many cars as other manufacturers and therefore require fewer chips. In the case of the former, parent BMW was able to lend its weight to source the chips; similarly, Volkswagen, which owns Bentley, helped the British subsidiary.
The Rolls-Royce results come on the back of figures from elsewhere in luxury goods. Hermes International reported a more than doubling of sales, to pre-pandemic levels. Revenue climbed by 127 per cent in the Birkin handbag-maker’s second quarter, beating City estimates, and was 33 per cent higher than in the same period of 2019. Likewise, LVMH posted a 40 per cent gain from 2019 for its fashion and leather goods. Gucci and Prada have also reported buoyant trading.
As with Rolls-Royce and Bentley, the designer labels are more insulated from the production problems besetting the rest of manufacturing. They depend less on the use of technology and mass-produced electronic components and more upon the application of finer, natural materials and artisanal craftsmanship.
Nevertheless, it appears odd that one section of society should be splashing out on such items while the rest is wilting. Superyachts — 894 were sold last year, costing $5.2bn, up from 465 at $3.2bn the year before, according to VesselsValue — and rare wines are also enjoying a roaring trade.
Accelerating inflation, recession, slowdown in China and the US could all change the mood. For now, though, they must find something to do with that money
But wealth has climbed. Borrowing costs are low and stock markets are soaring (the S& P 500 was 27 per cent higher last year), making the super-rich even richer. Accelerating inflation, recession, slowdown in China and the US could all change the mood. For now, though, they must find something to do with that money. Normally, that would be the getaway trip to the villa or ski chalet, but that is off limits. Besides, they’re sitting on so much that a spot of retail therapy via a new Roller or bit of LV won’t make much of a dent in their fortunes. In the UK, sales of mansions and country estates are also powering upwards — so much cash is there floating around.
There is, too, an extra factor. Rolls-Royce reports that the average age of its buyer is now 43, down from 56 over the last decade. The younger owners hail from tech and crypto, from industries that are equally youthful and have prospered during the previous, Covid-affected, two years.
What’s occurring is that people want to enjoy themselves, that’s the effect of the pandemic — get ready for the outpouring of crazy celebrations when the outbreak officially ends. As F Scott Fitzgerald wrote: “Let me tell you about the very rich. They are different from you and me. They possess and enjoy early …”
While we can only stand and gawp, a few — and exclusivity is the point — lucky companies are reaping the benefit.
Napoleon
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More from Neighbourhood Watch:
What should do investors do now?
What does the S&P 500's new all-time high mean for the average investor?
Should I be euphoric?
No. It's fine to be pleased about hearty returns on your investments. But it's not a good idea to tie your emotions closely to the ups and downs of the stock market. You'll get tired fast. This market moment comes on the heels of last year's nosedive. And it's not the first or last time the stock market will make a dramatic move.
So what happened?
It's more about what happened last year. Many of the concerns that triggered that plunge towards the end of last have largely been quelled. The US and China are slowly moving toward a trade agreement. The Federal Reserve has indicated it likely will not raise rates at all in 2019 after seven recent increases. And those changes, along with some strong earnings reports and broader healthy economic indicators, have fueled some optimism in stock markets.
"The panic in the fourth quarter was based mostly on fears," says Brent Schutte, chief investment strategist for Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. "The fundamentals have mostly held up, while the fears have gone away and the fears were based mostly on emotion."
Should I buy? Should I sell?
Maybe. It depends on what your long-term investment plan is. The best advice is usually the same no matter the day — determine your financial goals, make a plan to reach them and stick to it.
"I would encourage (investors) not to overreact to highs, just as I would encourage them not to overreact to the lows of December," Mr Schutte says.
All the same, there are some situations in which you should consider taking action. If you think you can't live through another low like last year, the time to get out is now. If the balance of assets in your portfolio is out of whack thanks to the rise of the stock market, make adjustments. And if you need your money in the next five to 10 years, it shouldn't be in stocks anyhow. But for most people, it's also a good time to just leave things be.
Resist the urge to abandon the diversification of your portfolio, Mr Schutte cautions. It may be tempting to shed other investments that aren't performing as well, such as some international stocks, but diversification is designed to help steady your performance over time.
Will the rally last?
No one knows for sure. But David Bailin, chief investment officer at Citi Private Bank, expects the US market could move up 5 per cent to 7 per cent more over the next nine to 12 months, provided the Fed doesn't raise rates and earnings growth exceeds current expectations. We are in a late cycle market, a period when US equities have historically done very well, but volatility also rises, he says.
"This phase can last six months to several years, but it's important clients remain invested and not try to prematurely position for a contraction of the market," Mr Bailin says. "Doing so would risk missing out on important portfolio returns."
Nancy 9 (Hassa Beek)
Nancy Ajram
(In2Musica)
Know your Camel lingo
The bairaq is a competition for the best herd of 50 camels, named for the banner its winner takes home
Namoos - a word of congratulations reserved for falconry competitions, camel races and camel pageants. It best translates as 'the pride of victory' - and for competitors, it is priceless
Asayel camels - sleek, short-haired hound-like racers
Majahim - chocolate-brown camels that can grow to weigh two tonnes. They were only valued for milk until camel pageantry took off in the 1990s
Millions Street - the thoroughfare where camels are led and where white 4x4s throng throughout the festival
The specs
Engine: 4.0-litre V8 twin-turbocharged and three electric motors
Power: Combined output 920hp
Torque: 730Nm at 4,000-7,000rpm
Transmission: 8-speed dual-clutch automatic
Fuel consumption: 11.2L/100km
On sale: Now, deliveries expected later in 2025
Price: expected to start at Dh1,432,000
Results
2pm: Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 1,600m; Winner: AF Al Baher, Bernardo Pinheiro (jockey), Ernst Oertel (trainer).
2.30pm: Handicap (TB) Dh100,000 1,600m; Winner: Talento Puma, Xavier Ziani, Salem bin Ghadayer.
3pm: Handicap (TB) Dh90,000 1,950m; Winner: Tailor’s Row, Royston Ffrench, Salem bin Ghadayer.
3.30pm: Jebel Ali Stakes Listed (TB) Dh500,000 1,950m; Winner: Mark Of Approval, Patrick Cosgrave, Mahmood Hussain.
4pm: Conditions (TB) Dh125,000 1,400m; Winner: Dead-heat Raakez, Jim Crowley, Nicholas Bachalard/Attribution, Xavier Ziani, Salem bin Ghadayer.
4.30pm: Jebel Ali Sprint (TB) Dh500,000 1,000m; Winner: AlKaraama, Antonio Fresu, Musabah Al Muhairi.
5pm: Handicap (TB) Dh100,000 1,200m; Winner: Wafy, Richard Mullen, Satish Seemar.
5.30pm: Handicap (TB) Dh90,000 1,400m; Winner: Cachao, Tadhg O’Shea, Satish Seemar.
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cylinder turbo
Power: 240hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 390Nm at 3,000rpm
Transmission: eight-speed auto
Price: from Dh122,745
On sale: now
Business Insights
- As per the document, there are six filing options, including choosing to report on a realisation basis and transitional rules for pre-tax period gains or losses.
- SMEs with revenue below Dh3 million per annum can opt for transitional relief until 2026, treating them as having no taxable income.
- Larger entities have specific provisions for asset and liability movements, business restructuring, and handling foreign permanent establishments.
How to apply for a drone permit
- Individuals must register on UAE Drone app or website using their UAE Pass
- Add all their personal details, including name, nationality, passport number, Emiratis ID, email and phone number
- Upload the training certificate from a centre accredited by the GCAA
- Submit their request
What are the regulations?
- Fly it within visual line of sight
- Never over populated areas
- Ensure maximum flying height of 400 feet (122 metres) above ground level is not crossed
- Users must avoid flying over restricted areas listed on the UAE Drone app
- Only fly the drone during the day, and never at night
- Should have a live feed of the drone flight
- Drones must weigh 5 kg or less