Bushfires that have burnt through more than 10 million hectares in Australia could change the country’s delicate ecosystems forever, scientists say.
The crisis is also a precursor of the kinds of conditions that will become frequent worldwide unless global leaders move quickly to curb the greenhouse gas emissions that are driving global warming, new research shows.
Dr Thomas Duff, a bushfire behaviour expert at the University of Melbourne, said the fire season has been “exceptional” and that while it was unlikely it would become the normal annual pattern, exceptional events were becoming more frequent, stronger and harder to predict.
"Considering the nature of these fires and the vegetation they're burning - we don't really understand what 'normal' is now," Dr Duff told The National.
Massive bushfires, like the ones we are seeing, could change our ecosystems forever. We will lose many of the delicate smaller plants and animals, and the careful balance of the system will be damaged for decades to come
The fires, and the prolonged dry weather that preceded them, is also changing the Australian landscape in ways that will affect what areas are likely to burn in future. The crisis has even touched areas previously considered non-flammable, such as rainforests.
“Some of the vegetation being burnt is quite sensitive to fire, so frequent hot fires will convert it into something else,” Dr Duff said. “If we get similar conditions frequently, we can expect that some of the 'wet' forest types will transition into drier, more sclerophyllous vegetation.”
Dr Duff said the dynamics of changing landscapes and fire weather patterns were complex and it would be important to study the current crisis to identify areas for improvement in fire management.
“These current fires are pushing the limits of emergency responders and the community,” he said.
Zoos Victoria reproductive biologist Dr Marissa Parrott said there were fears that fires may have claimed entire ecosystems, as well as many of the animals that live within them.
More than one billion native animals are estimated to have perished so far, with the entire habitats of some vulnerable species now in burnt to ashes. Dr Parrott said each species played a critical role in the ecosystem.
“Massive bushfires, like the ones we are seeing, could change our ecosystems forever,” she said “We will lose many of the delicate smaller plants and animals, and the careful balance of the system will be damaged for decades to come.”
“Some of our species rely on old hollow-bearing trees to live, but trees take hundreds of years to develop hollows big enough for gliders, possums, cockatoos and others.
“These animals have lost their homes – many have lost their lives. Each species from the tiniest insect to the largest of the mammals is important.”
Dr Parrott said many vulnerable species lived in very restricted and specialised areas like alpine boulder fields or small patches of old growth forests and rainforests.
“These species are highly at risk because there are so few of them left,” Dr Parrott said.
“Areas such as rainforest are not meant to burn and do not recover the way some other types of habitat do – we may have lost some of these amazing ecosystems all together in the current fires.”
“Our forests need pollinators, like bats, insects and birds. They need endangered potoroos (a type of marsupial) to help spread the spores of native fungi and keep the forests healthy and functioning,” she said.
Some endangered species, like the Mountain Pygmy-possum, can survive fires by hiding deep in rock crevices.
“However, there is little food available for them once the fires have passed and the plants in their alpine habitat take a long-time to recover,” Dr Parrott said.
“Our alpine zone has had many fires in recent decades and there is often not enough time for plants to grow before the next fire comes. Here critical revegetation and recovery work are crucial.”
Zoos Victoria has set up an emergency wildlife fund and is working with partners to determine immediate and long-term strategies to help each species affected by the fires.
“This may involve increased protection for remaining habitat, increasing control of introduced predators, moving animals to safer locations including into care at zoos, supplementary food and water,” Dr Parrott said.
On top of the environmental toll, the bushfire crisis that been running for months in south-eastern parts of Australia has killed at least 27 people and destroyed more than 2,000 homes. In total it has burnt through more than 10 million hectares of land - an area larger than South Korea or Portugal.
While Australia endures bushfires every summer, the blazes started much earlier than normal and have lasted much longer. They also came after Australia experienced its driest and hottest year on record in 2019, with its highest average maximum temperature of 41.9°C recorded in mid-December.
While elements of Australia’s conservative government and media have attempted to play down the effects of man-made climate change on the intensity of the bushfires by blaming arsonists and other factors, a new study suggested clear links.
The review of 57 scientific papers published since 2013, carried out via ScienceBrief.org, found that climate change has led to an increase in the frequency and severity of “fire weather”, which is defined by a combination of high temperatures, low humidity, low rainfall and strong winds.
Fire weather seasons have lengthened across about 25 per cent of the world’s vegetation, leading to a 20 per cent increase in the mean length of fire weather season, according to the data.
Richard Betts, Head of Climate Impacts Research at Britain's Met Office Hadley Centre, who co-authored the review, told a news conference in London on Monday that the world was not going to reverse climate change “on any conceivable timescale”.
“So the conditions that are happening now, they won't go away," Mr Betts said. "Temperature conditions in Australia are extreme at the moment but they are what we expect to happen on average in a world of three degrees of global warming. It brings it home to you what climate change means."
The World Meteorological Organisation says that if nothing is done to stop rising emissions, the global temperature increase could hit 3-5 C this century - more than three times limits agreed in the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement.
The Brutalist
Director: Brady Corbet
Stars: Adrien Brody, Felicity Jones, Guy Pearce, Joe Alwyn
Rating: 3.5/5
Company%20profile
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Royal Birkdale Golf Course
Location: Southport, Merseyside, England
Established: 1889
Type: Private
Total holes: 18
More coverage from the Future Forum
Key findings of Jenkins report
- Founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, Hassan al Banna, "accepted the political utility of violence"
- Views of key Muslim Brotherhood ideologue, Sayyid Qutb, have “consistently been understood” as permitting “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” and “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
- Muslim Brotherhood at all levels has repeatedly defended Hamas attacks against Israel, including the use of suicide bombers and the killing of civilians.
- Laying out the report in the House of Commons, David Cameron told MPs: "The main findings of the review support the conclusion that membership of, association with, or influence by the Muslim Brotherhood should be considered as a possible indicator of extremism."
Did you know?
Brunch has been around, is some form or another, for more than a century. The word was first mentioned in print in an 1895 edition of Hunter’s Weekly, after making the rounds among university students in Britain. The article, entitled Brunch: A Plea, argued the case for a later, more sociable weekend meal. “By eliminating the need to get up early on Sunday, brunch would make life brighter for Saturday night carousers. It would promote human happiness in other ways as well,” the piece read. “It is talk-compelling. It puts you in a good temper, it makes you satisfied with yourself and your fellow beings, it sweeps away the worries and cobwebs of the week.” More than 100 years later, author Guy Beringer’s words still ring true, especially in the UAE, where brunches are often used to mark special, sociable occasions.
3%20Body%20Problem
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Russia's Muslim Heartlands
Dominic Rubin, Oxford
From Zero
Artist: Linkin Park
Label: Warner Records
Number of tracks: 11
Rating: 4/5
Skoda Superb Specs
Engine: 2-litre TSI petrol
Power: 190hp
Torque: 320Nm
Price: From Dh147,000
Available: Now
World ranking (at month’s end)
Jan - 257
Feb - 198
Mar - 159
Apr - 161
May - 159
Jun – 162
Currently: 88
Year-end rank since turning pro
2016 - 279
2015 - 185
2014 - 143
2013 - 63
2012 - 384
2011 - 883
Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer
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Director: Navdeep Singh
Stars: Saif Ali Khan, Manav Vij, Deepak Dobriyal, Zoya Hussain
Rating: 2/5
The specs
Engine: 1.5-litre turbo
Power: 181hp
Torque: 230Nm
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Starting price: Dh79,000
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