Reports that Iran is launching war games would have met with bellicose US rhetoric and hogged international headlines a month ago. Neither is likely today when Iran begins three days of military exercises to test its anti-aircraft defence systems.
The crisis between Washington and Moscow has interceded to give Tehran an unexpected and welcome diplomatic opportunity to reduce its international isolation - and foster better relations with the United States.
Russia's drubbing of its weak neighbour has cast doubt on US accusations that the Islamic republic is the most perilous threat to global security, an Iranian daily said.
Newsweek put it more memorably: "It's funny how a reassertive Russia armed with some 10,000 all-too-real nuclear weapons puts the theoretical menace of Iran's as yet non-existent arsenal in perspective."
It added: "But, looking ahead, what's more curious still is that a new administration - maybe even McCain's - may start looking for ways to work with Iran to help balance Russian power."
The most immediate benefit for Iran is that Washington is far less likely to secure Russian support for a fourth set of UN Security Council sanctions against Tehran - or to consider military action.
A greater prize for Iran could be rapprochement with Washington. This would provide the regime in Tehran with a cherished sense of security and prove very popular with most ordinary Iranians.
Neither point is lost on Iran's firebrand president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who is expected to fight for a second four-year term in elections that Tehran announced yesterday will be held next June 12.
He recently signalled an interest in forming better ties by welcoming Washington's idea of staffing its own diplomats in a US interests office in Tehran.
Iran's neutral stance on the crisis between Washington and Moscow is an even stronger signal. Iranian commentators have seized on the dispute to advise Gulf states that, as the Georgian example proves, it is folly to rely on US muscle for their security: it would be far wiser to accommodate Tehran.
But no Iranian leader has rushed to Moscow to support its stance on Georgia - unlike Bashar Assad, the president of Syria, who did just that while asking for more Russian weapons.
The Islamic republic, still resentful of Russia's imperial past in Iran and at odds with Moscow over the territorial division of the Caspian Sea, views Russia as an untrustworthy ally of convenience.
"Iran isn't keen to see a very aggressive Russia in the Caucasus," said Trita Parsi, president of the National Iranian American Council, which promotes diplomacy to resolve disputes. "Nor are they very happy to seek breakaway republics being recognised by major powers because of their own fear of potential secessionism," he said.
Iran's silence on Georgia has been matched by Washington's recent silence on Iran. The Bush "administration simply has acted as if a major confrontation with Iran had not been under way just prior to the Russo-Georgian war", said Stratfor, an online publisher of geopolitical intelligence.
The US broke weeks of silence on Iran on Friday when Condoleezza Rice, the secretary of state, made a landmark visit to Libya to "reward" Moamer Qadafi for abandoning his weapons of mass destruction programmes in 2003.
This demonstrated "that when countries are prepared to make strategic changes in direction, the United States is prepared to respond", Ms Rice said.
Stratfor commented: "One geopolitical option for the United States now is a deal with Iran ? We do not know whether one is in the works but we know this: the rhetoric from Washington on Iran has quieted since the Russo-Georgian war ? And the United States has made a major concession to Iran this week."
Stratfor was referring to Iraq's recent announcement that its troops had replaced US forces in securing Ashraf camp, north of Baghdad, where 3,000 members of Iran's main exiled opposition group, the People's Mujahideen (MEK), are based.
Their future has been uncertain since they were disarmed after the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003. The cultish group evolved from Marxist and Islamic radicals who originally supported the 1979 Islamic Revolution and is branded by the European Union and the US government as a terrorist organisation.
Yet US hawks continue to regard the MEK as a useful tool against Iran, which demands the group's expulsion from Iraq. MEK supporters are dismayed that Iraqi forces are taking responsibility for Ashraf camp and are expected to demonstrate against this in Washington today.
They are concerned that the Shiite-led government in Baghdad, which is on good terms with Tehran, will expel them to Iran. Iraq is keen to see the back of the MEK, but insists Ashraf's inhabitants will be dealt with according to international law.
For Iran, the MEK issue is a critical indicator of US intentions, Mr Parsi said. "They have seen US protection of these guys as keeping open the option for regime change by military means."
mtheodoulou@thenational.ae
How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
Opening day UAE Premiership fixtures, Friday, September 22:
- Dubai Sports City Eagles v Dubai Exiles
- Dubai Hurricanes v Abu Dhabi Saracens
- Jebel Ali Dragons v Abu Dhabi Harlequins
Sam Smith
Where: du Arena, Abu Dhabi
When: Saturday November 24
Rating: 4/5
The Sand Castle
Director: Matty Brown
Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea
Rating: 2.5/5
Hotel Data Cloud profile
Date started: June 2016
Founders: Gregor Amon and Kevin Czok
Based: Dubai
Sector: Travel Tech
Size: 10 employees
Funding: $350,000 (Dh1.3 million)
Investors: five angel investors (undisclosed except for Amar Shubar)
Cryopreservation: A timeline
- Keyhole surgery under general anaesthetic
- Ovarian tissue surgically removed
- Tissue processed in a high-tech facility
- Tissue re-implanted at a time of the patient’s choosing
- Full hormone production regained within 4-6 months
AIDA%20RETURNS
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ECarol%20Mansour%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EAida%20Abboud%2C%20Carol%20Mansour%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%203.5.%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Game Changer
Director: Shankar
Stars: Ram Charan, Kiara Advani, Anjali, S J Suryah, Jayaram
Rating: 2/5
Other workplace saving schemes
- The UAE government announced a retirement savings plan for private and free zone sector employees in 2023.
- Dubai’s savings retirement scheme for foreign employees working in the emirate’s government and public sector came into effect in 2022.
- National Bonds unveiled a Golden Pension Scheme in 2022 to help private-sector foreign employees with their financial planning.
- In April 2021, Hayah Insurance unveiled a workplace savings plan to help UAE employees save for their retirement.
- Lunate, an Abu Dhabi-based investment manager, has launched a fund that will allow UAE private companies to offer employees investment returns on end-of-service benefits.
German intelligence warnings
- 2002: "Hezbollah supporters feared becoming a target of security services because of the effects of [9/11] ... discussions on Hezbollah policy moved from mosques into smaller circles in private homes." Supporters in Germany: 800
- 2013: "Financial and logistical support from Germany for Hezbollah in Lebanon supports the armed struggle against Israel ... Hezbollah supporters in Germany hold back from actions that would gain publicity." Supporters in Germany: 950
- 2023: "It must be reckoned with that Hezbollah will continue to plan terrorist actions outside the Middle East against Israel or Israeli interests." Supporters in Germany: 1,250
Source: Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution
If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.
When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.
How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Almnssa
Started: August 2020
Founder: Areej Selmi
Based: Gaza
Sectors: Internet, e-commerce
Investments: Grants/private funding
if you go
The flights
Emirates fly direct from Dubai to Houston, Texas, where United have direct flights to Managua. Alternatively, from October, Iberia will offer connections from Madrid, which can be reached by both Etihad from Abu Dhabi and Emirates from Dubai.
The trip
Geodyssey’s (Geodyssey.co.uk) 15-night Nicaragua Odyssey visits the colonial cities of Leon and Granada, lively country villages, the lake island of Ometepe and a stunning array of landscapes, with wildlife, history, creative crafts and more. From Dh18,500 per person, based on two sharing, including transfers and tours but excluding international flights. For more information, visit visitnicaragua.us.
Three ways to boost your credit score
Marwan Lutfi says the core fundamentals that drive better payment behaviour and can improve your credit score are:
1. Make sure you make your payments on time;
2. Limit the number of products you borrow on: the more loans and credit cards you have, the more it will affect your credit score;
3. Don't max out all your debts: how much you maximise those credit facilities will have an impact. If you have five credit cards and utilise 90 per cent of that credit, it will negatively affect your score.
War
Director: Siddharth Anand
Cast: Hrithik Roshan, Tiger Shroff, Ashutosh Rana, Vaani Kapoor
Rating: Two out of five stars
COMPANY PROFILE
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Total funding: Self funded
Star%20Wars%3A%20Episode%20I%20%E2%80%93%20The%20Phantom%20Menace
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDeveloper%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Big%20Ape%20Productions%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPublisher%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20LucasArts%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EConsoles%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20PC%2C%20PlayStation%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Guide to intelligent investing
Investing success often hinges on discipline and perspective. As markets fluctuate, remember these guiding principles:
- Stay invested: Time in the market, not timing the market, is critical to long-term gains.
- Rational thinking: Breathe and avoid emotional decision-making; let logic and planning guide your actions.
- Strategic patience: Understand why you’re investing and allow time for your strategies to unfold.
COMPANY%20PROFILE%20
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%20name%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EAlmouneer%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202017%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Dr%20Noha%20Khater%20and%20Rania%20Kadry%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EEgypt%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ENumber%20of%20staff%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E120%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestment%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EBootstrapped%2C%20with%20support%20from%20Insead%20and%20Egyptian%20government%2C%20seed%20round%20of%20%3Cbr%3E%243.6%20million%20led%20by%20Global%20Ventures%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
COMPANY%20PROFILE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%20name%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Revibe%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202022%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Hamza%20Iraqui%20and%20Abdessamad%20Ben%20Zakour%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20UAE%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Refurbished%20electronics%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunds%20raised%20so%20far%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%2410m%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFlat6Labs%2C%20Resonance%20and%20various%20others%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Vidaamuyarchi
Director: Magizh Thirumeni
Stars: Ajith Kumar, Arjun Sarja, Trisha Krishnan, Regina Cassandra
Rating: 4/5
Emergency
Director: Kangana Ranaut
Stars: Kangana Ranaut, Anupam Kher, Shreyas Talpade, Milind Soman, Mahima Chaudhry
Rating: 2/5
NATIONAL%20SELECTIONS
%3Cp%3E6pm%3A%20Falling%20Shadow%3Cbr%3E6.35pm%3A%20Quality%20Boone%3Cbr%3E7.10pm%3A%20Al%20Dasim%3Cbr%3E7.45pm%3A%20Withering%3Cbr%3E8.20pm%3A%20Lazuli%3Cbr%3E8.55pm%3A%20Tiger%20Nation%3Cbr%3E9.30pm%3A%20Modern%20News%3C%2Fp%3E%0A