The road to Damascus from Amman - a bus journey looking for passengers


Khaled Yacoub Oweis
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Retired Syrian contractor Omar Jawdat boarded an all but empty 8am bus from Amman to Damascus to visit his relatives this week.

Coach services between the two cities resumed for the first time in years in October — part of Amman's rapprochement with President Bashar Al Assad’s regime. Jordan hopes the warming of relations will pave the way for further regional normalisation with Damascus.

Arab countries largely ostracised the regime for its bloody suppression of initially peaceful protests against five decades of Assad family rule in 2011.

But despite the improving ties, Mr Jawdat was one of only five people — including the driver — on the bus, which has a seating capacity of 120.

  • Buses line up Abdali Bus Station in Amman. Amy McConaghy / The National
    Buses line up Abdali Bus Station in Amman. Amy McConaghy / The National
  • Buses line up Abdali Bus Station in Amman. Amy McConaghy / The National
    Buses line up Abdali Bus Station in Amman. Amy McConaghy / The National
  • Buses line up Abdali Bus Station in Amman. Amy McConaghy / The National
    Buses line up Abdali Bus Station in Amman. Amy McConaghy / The National
  • Syrian Anas Kawou, Al Emprator Transport, offers bus services from Amman to Damascus, Homms, Hama and Halab. Photo: Amy McConaghy / The National
    Syrian Anas Kawou, Al Emprator Transport, offers bus services from Amman to Damascus, Homms, Hama and Halab. Photo: Amy McConaghy / The National
  • Buses line up Abdali Bus Station in Amman. Amy McConaghy / The National
    Buses line up Abdali Bus Station in Amman. Amy McConaghy / The National

“If you are older and can pay the required bribes on the roadblocks, they let you go,” Mr Jawdat says, referring to regime checkpoints on roads to his home town of Tal, located north of Damascus.

Those on the bus revealed that beyond a pickup in commercial traffic in recent months, normalisation with Damascus remains fraught with difficulties and more complex than simply opening land borders.

Youth apathy

Tal was one of several Sunni suburbs of Damascus that became a rebel enclave after the protests turned into a violent revolution by the end of 2011, plunging the country into a devastating civil war.

Mr Jawdat fled with his family to Jordan when the outgunned rebels in Tal surrendered to the regime in 2012 to spare the town from further air strikes and shelling.

The ruined Damascus suburb of Daraya on December 27, 2012. Shaam News Network / AFP
The ruined Damascus suburb of Daraya on December 27, 2012. Shaam News Network / AFP

On this journey, Mr Jawdat's son, Akram, bid him farewell as the old, Chinese-made bus left from central Amman. He was 15 when the family fled Syria and is wanted for conscription in the regime’s military, which is dominated by Syria’s Alawite minority.

His case is similar to hundreds of thousands of young members of Syria’s Sunni majority in exile in Jordan and elsewhere as the civil war enters its 11th year. Many Sunnis see themselves as being cannon fodder for the Syrian military.

“I would love to go back, but not to be sent to the army,” Akram says.

Russian role

Before 2011, buses between Amman and Damascus were filled with students, suitcase traders and tourists. Hundreds of taxis operated daily between the two cities, often carrying many passengers at a time to different locations. Today, however, only a few dozen are in operation, ferrying a handful of people.

The journey used to take four hours, including lengthy stops at immigration and customs on both sides. Today, it takes even longer because of an amalgamation of formal and informal barriers on the Syrian side, line operatives say.

Progress is significantly faster when Russian forces are present because their Syrian allies show more discipline, they say.

Russian soldiers stand by an armoured vehicle in the Syrian rebel-held Daraa Al Balad district of the southern city of Daraa. AFP
Russian soldiers stand by an armoured vehicle in the Syrian rebel-held Daraa Al Balad district of the southern city of Daraa. AFP

With urging from Russia and tacit approval from the US, Jordan resumed high-level contacts last year with Syrian officials.

A ban on Syrians entering Jordan was subsequently eased as were other restrictions that had curbed trade between the two sides.

To an extent, potential commercial benefits have driven Jordan’s policy of accommodation towards Mr Al Assad, while the regime aims to shake off its status of regional pariah.

But the two sides have also taken measures that have undermined cross-border trade flows, despite their avowed interest in seeing a robust exchange.

Coronavirus rules undermine traffic

It is difficult, for example, for Syrian travellers to obtain security clearance unless they have close relatives in Jordan, transport agents say.

In December 2021, Jordan required all incoming travellers to show proof of a negative coronavirus test. The requirement will cease as of March 1, after Jordanian hotel owners blamed it for a sharp drop in tourism.

The test costs $100 in Syrian regime areas — four times the monthly minimum wage.

When Abdullah Hamad, another passenger on the 8am trip, took the same bus in October, he says it was almost full.

“The measures have become overly complicated and expensive,” says Mr Hamad, a Jordanian who was travelling to visit his Syrian mother's relatives in the Sunni Maydan neighbourhood of Damascus.

Protectionism

A stringent customs regime on the Jordanian side of the border has also made it less worthwhile for Jordanians to travel and buy much cheaper meat and vegetables in Syria, where the national currency has collapsed over the past decade.

Hakam Smadi, a taxi driver on the route, said the Jordanian side “has become very protectionist".

“No one brings anything anymore because they would have to throw it away,” he says.

The Syrian pound is trading at about 3,500 to the dollar, compared with 2,400 in the same period last year. In March 2011, 50 Syrian pounds bought one dollar.

Other Syrian goods have become more expensive or their quality has declined.

A hardware shop owner next to the bus company said he used to pay bus and taxi drivers to bring sweets from Damascus, but with many Syrian refugees in Jordan having started their own businesses, he no longer buys from Syria.

“The sweets in Jordan have become better,” he says.

But official statistics show that bilateral trade picked up sharply in the last few months, as did shipping through Jordan to Syria.

A lorry drives through the Jaber border crossing with Syria, near Mafraq, Jordan. Reuters
A lorry drives through the Jaber border crossing with Syria, near Mafraq, Jordan. Reuters

The latest official Jordanian data shows that exports to Syria from January to November last year rose 59 per cent to $71 million compared with the same period in 2020.

Syrian exports to Jordan rose 39 per cent over the same period to $63m.

Bilateral trade volume remains much lower than 2010, the last year before the revolt, when annual two-way trade reached $655m.

Competitive advantage

Deifallah Abu Aqoula, head of the Jordanian Association of Owners of Clearance and Transport Companies, told The National that fees on transit freight through government-controlled areas in Syria have surged in the past few years.

A spike in marine shipping rates from Asia to the Mediterranean has meant that container movement by land became profitable last year, with freight moving from the Jordanian Red Sea port of Aqaba to Lebanon through Syria.

“Container costs through Syria would have been prohibitive if it was not for the spike in marine shipping,” Mr Abu Aqoula said.

He said at least 7,900 containers were transported on Jordanian lorries from Aqaba to Lebanon and Syria in the past 14 months.

Some of the containers also went to the Syrian port city of Latakia, where many shipping lines had stopped operating because of US sanctions enacted in 2019 — a response to reported regime atrocities against civilians.

Before the bus left central Amman, the four passengers huddled around a gas heater at the transport company office before boarding. It has been a particularly cold February in the Levant and Syrian government-controlled areas are experiencing widespread shortages of fuel and electricity cuts.

The bus driver was from Idlib, the Syrian governorate largely held by anti-Assad forces.

Asked if any of the passengers he has been ferrying to Damascus were taking the bus to return permanently to Syria, the bus driver said “no”.

“Why would they?”

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: February 26, 2022, 8:29 AM