Scientists could be moving closer to understanding why the Oxford-AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine causes a risk of blood clots in some people.
A German researcher has suggested that an ingredient in the vaccine may cause blood vessels to leak, sparking a chain reaction in the immune system.
There are, however, competing theories to the proposal put forward by Dr Andreas Greinacher, of the University of Greifswald, which follows studies in mice.
Finding the cause could offer multiple benefits, according to experts. It could allow researchers to amend the vaccine to prevent the clotting risk, and help doctors to treat affected individuals.
Dr Greinacher's hypothesis has generated headlines across the world after vaccine campaigns were suspended because some recipients suffered blood clots, some of which were fatal.
Certain European nations, notably Denmark and Norway, and the Canadian province of Ontario, halted their use of the vaccine, while others have restricted it to older people, where the risks from coronavirus are greater and the chances of a blood clot after vaccination are lower.
Estimates from the UK suggest about one in 100,000 people in their 40s developed a blood clot after having the vaccine, with about one fifth of these proving fatal. The risk of death from vaccination is roughly twice as high among people in their 30s.
According to Dr Greinacher, an ingredient called ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid (EDTA), sometimes used as a preservative in vaccines, could play a role in the rare blood clots.
His tests on mice found that the vaccine made blood vessels more prone to leak – with EDTA potentially responsible for this effect – and this may cause human proteins present in the vaccine, which is grown in cultured human cells, to encounter and react with cell fragments in the blood called platelets.
This causes the platelets to release a substance called platelet factor 4, or PF4, which leads to components of the blood clumping together.
In a further reaction affecting a small proportion of people, the immune system may produce antibodies against PF4, leading in a fraction of these cases to the formation of the blood clots.
In some cases these have affected veins from the brain in a condition called cerebral venous sinus thrombosis, but the lungs or abdomen have also been involved.
Despite the concerns over blood clots, Prof John Oxford, professor emeritus at the University of London and co-author of the textbook Human Virology, said it was likely the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine would continue to be used widely in the years to come.
“It seems to be fairly cheap to produce and relatively easy to transport around, and people have had a lot of experience of growing adenoviruses for different things,” he said.
He said experience with polio, against which two types of vaccine have been effectively used, showed the benefit of having a diversity of vaccines useful in different contexts.
Not all scientists are convinced by Dr Greinacher's hypothesis, not least because there have also been reports of blood clots linked to the Johnson & Johnson Covid-19 vaccine, also branded as Janssen, which does not list EDTA as an additive.
The US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention identified 28 cases among more than 8.7 million recipients of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, which Dr Greinacher has yet to carry out tests on.
Both the Oxford-AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson vaccines create an immune response to the coronavirus by using non-replicating versions of adenoviruses.
Another idea discussed in specialist media is that PF4 binds to the adenovirus, which would explain why both the Oxford-AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson vaccines have been affected by the blood clots issue. A small proportion of vaccinated people are vulnerable because they have higher PF4 levels, according to this hypothesis.
Two other adenoviral vector vaccines against the coronavirus, Sputnik V from Russia’s Gamaleya Institute and a vaccine from China’s CanSino, have not been linked to the rare blood clots.
According to the latest World Health Organisation figures, there are 99 Covid-19 vaccines in clinical stages of development, including those already being administered, along with 184 in pre-clinical development.
With virologists not expecting the coronavirus to be eradicated, it is likely that vaccines will have to be administered for years to come.
Covid-19 vaccination campaign in the UAE - in pictures
Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer
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