Coronavirus: Dubai business leaders optimistic of economic revival


Nick Webster
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Green shoots of recovery are beginning to return to Dubai’s economy as business leaders took the stage for the first conference held at Dubai World Trade Centre since March.

The AI Everything event was an opportunity to discuss how leaders coped with the pandemic enforced disruption and preparations to put the economy back on track.

It has just been a few weeks since Dubai Mall reopened its doors for business.

I am optimistic by the middle of next year we will be close to normality

An early nervousness shown by stay-away shoppers has shrugged off with 100,000 people visiting the mall daily.

But businesses still face a challenge.

"Retailers are doing around 50 per cent business of pre-Covid levels," said Mohamed Alabbar, chairman of Emaar Properties and founder of noon.com.

“Things change very quickly but we are moving forward.

“We do not want to go back to the dark days and nights when we did not know where this attack on humanity was going.

“Some industries will do better than others, I am optimistic by the middle of next year we will be close to normality.”

Planning for a possible lull in business helped Emaar ride out the worst of the economic fall-out as international borders closed and residents were forced to stay home.

“The global economy was flying and we knew it could not last so we amended our debt to cash ratios and other aspects of the business to prepare for a possible downturn,” said Mr Alabbar.

“We got lucky as we did not know the virus was coming.

“If you run a successful mall you will be okay, if we do well the retailers do well.

“They are having a hard time but we will move upwards together.”

Mr Alabbar said Noon is committed to supporting local retailers and is preparing to launch a programme to help small businesses in the food and beverage sector by aiding their supply chains.

Mohamed Alabbar, founder of Dubai's Emaar Properties and e-commerce firm Noon, said retailers are doing around 50 per cent business of pre-Covid levels. Christopher Pike / The National
Mohamed Alabbar, founder of Dubai's Emaar Properties and e-commerce firm Noon, said retailers are doing around 50 per cent business of pre-Covid levels. Christopher Pike / The National

It has been a quick turnaround at WTC from a temporary field hospital to the usual conference centre.

The field hospital discharged its last patient on July 8.

That willingness to adapt and reopen Dubai for business impressed those speaking at the event.

Dubai is now backing itself to tap into the growing demand for global tourism as those locked down around the world look to book travel for the upcoming year.

“When we look at tourism in Dubai we see a great feeling and sense of positivity about reopening,” said Helal Saeed Al Marri, director general of Dubai’s Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing.

“A lot has happened over the past few months.

“There is a diverse tourism strategy in place as people visit us from all over the world and we are lucky enough to have that privilege.

“My team has engaged with 65,000 international travel agents and 3,000 trade partners to sell Dubai to the world, and there is a lot of interest.

“We are seeing that online and Dubai is always in the top five searches for travel, not just leisure tourism but also business.

“We need to build on the trust that has been built by the government during the pandemic.”

The travel experience is already very different as airports and airlines look to adapt to the new world left behind by the global pandemic.

Emirates A380 is back in the skies after a four-month hiatus. AP
Emirates A380 is back in the skies after a four-month hiatus. AP

Both need to change if the industry is to return to the thriving state it was once in, experts said.

Negative Covid-19 tests are likely to be required before travel for at least the next year, with enforced quarantine for those testing positive.

That should not stand in the way of people wanting to travel, according to the CEO of Dubai Airports Paul Griffiths.

“The impact on the airport was rapid and dramatic,” he said.

“We are going to have a rapid rebound when the world reopens so we are changing the dynamic to adapt.

“While we are in the eye of the storm we can be depressed but the future is very bright.”

Mr Griffiths said the airport went from 1,100 flights and 280,000 passengers a day to just 17 flights in three days at the height of the crisis.

In May, 44,000 passengers passed through Dubai, the normal number it would experience in four hours.

“We are in daily contact with Emirates as we are nothing without their activity,” said Mr Griffiths.

“The aim is to convince everyone we were early to act and have been pro-active to make people feel safe when they travel.

“This situation will pass and the opportunity to be bright again will remerge. We will have a better project with better value for money and a stronger reputation.

“We must all play our part to put Dubai on the map again to show what a great place it is to visit.”

Emirates recently returned its super-jumbo, the Airbus A380 to the skies.

Their gradual return to service is a positive sign, said Emirate’s divisional senior vice president, Boutros Boutros.

“We have been at the forefront of safety measurements and protocols, but we already had an advanced filtering system in place before the pandemic,” he said.

“It is the biggest challenge for a global industry, to restart operations and convince people it is safe.

“With the restriction on travel it becomes very difficult to fill an aircraft. Our main objective is to keep Dubai connected to the world.

“We are trying to provide a service so our prices are very low compared to our cost.

“Aircraft of the future will be the same aircraft we already have.

“Post Covid we want to go back to normal, but our economy is about filling the aircraft - that will not change.”

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Countries offering golden visas

UK
Innovator Founder Visa is aimed at those who can demonstrate relevant experience in business and sufficient investment funds to set up and scale up a new business in the UK. It offers permanent residence after three years.

Germany
Investing or establishing a business in Germany offers you a residence permit, which eventually leads to citizenship. The investment must meet an economic need and you have to have lived in Germany for five years to become a citizen.

Italy
The scheme is designed for foreign investors committed to making a significant contribution to the economy. Requires a minimum investment of €250,000 which can rise to €2 million.

Switzerland
Residence Programme offers residence to applicants and their families through economic contributions. The applicant must agree to pay an annual lump sum in tax.

Canada
Start-Up Visa Programme allows foreign entrepreneurs the opportunity to create a business in Canada and apply for permanent residence. 

Secret Nation: The Hidden Armenians of Turkey
Avedis Hadjian, (IB Tauris)
 

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

How has net migration to UK changed?

The figure was broadly flat immediately before the Covid-19 pandemic, standing at 216,000 in the year to June 2018 and 224,000 in the year to June 2019.

It then dropped to an estimated 111,000 in the year to June 2020 when restrictions introduced during the pandemic limited travel and movement.

The total rose to 254,000 in the year to June 2021, followed by steep jumps to 634,000 in the year to June 2022 and 906,000 in the year to June 2023.

The latest available figure of 728,000 for the 12 months to June 2024 suggests levels are starting to decrease.

How to protect yourself when air quality drops

Install an air filter in your home.

Close your windows and turn on the AC.

Shower or bath after being outside.

Wear a face mask.

Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.

If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.

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Crops that could be introduced to the UAE

1: Quinoa 

2. Bathua 

3. Amaranth 

4. Pearl and finger millet 

5. Sorghum

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THE LOWDOWN

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Rating: 4/5

Produced by: Poetic License Motion Pictures; RSVP Movies

Director: Ritesh Batra

Cast: Nawazuddin Siddiqui, Sanya Malhotra, Farrukh Jaffar, Deepak Chauhan, Vijay Raaz

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In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

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The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.


- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law 

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The National's picks

4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young

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How to join and use Abu Dhabi’s public libraries

• There are six libraries in Abu Dhabi emirate run by the Department of Culture and Tourism, including one in Al Ain and Al Dhafra.

• Libraries are free to visit and visitors can consult books, use online resources and study there. Most are open from 8am to 8pm on weekdays, closed on Fridays and have variable hours on Saturdays, except for Qasr Al Watan which is open from 10am to 8pm every day.

• In order to borrow books, visitors must join the service by providing a passport photograph, Emirates ID and a refundable deposit of Dh400. Members can borrow five books for three weeks, all of which are renewable up to two times online.

• If users do not wish to pay the fee, they can still use the library’s electronic resources for free by simply registering on the website. Once registered, a username and password is provided, allowing remote access.

• For more information visit the library network's website.

MATCH INFO

Syria v Australia
2018 World Cup qualifying: Asia fourth round play-off first leg
Venue: Hang Jebat Stadium (Malacca, Malayisa)
Kick-off: Thursday, 4.30pm (UAE)
Watch: beIN Sports HD

* Second leg in Australia scheduled for October 10

The biog

Family: He is the youngest of five brothers, of whom two are dentists. 

Celebrities he worked on: Fabio Canavaro, Lojain Omran, RedOne, Saber Al Rabai.

Where he works: Liberty Dental Clinic 

EGYPT SQUAD

Goalkeepers: Ahmed El Shennawy, Mohamed El Shennawy, Mohamed Abou-Gabal, Mahmoud Abdel Rehem "Genesh"
Defenders: Ahmed Elmohamady, Ahmed Hegazi, Omar Gaber, Ali Gazal, Ayman Ahsraf, Mahmoud Hamdy, Baher Elmohamady, Ahmed Ayman Mansour, Mahmoud Alaa, Ahmed Abou-Elfotouh
Midfielders: Walid Soliman, Abdallah El Said, Mohamed Elneny, Tarek Hamed, Mahmoud “Trezeguet” Hassan, Amr Warda, Nabil Emad
Forwards: Ahmed Ali, Mohamed Salah, Marwan Mohsen, Ahmed "Kouka" Hassan.

MATCH INFO

Champions League quarter-final, first leg

Ajax v Juventus, Wednesday, 11pm (UAE)

Match on BeIN Sports

Five personal finance podcasts from The National

 

To help you get started, tune into these Pocketful of Dirham episodes 

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Balance is essential to happiness, health and wealth 

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What is a portfolio stress test? 

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What are NFTs and why are auction houses interested? 

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How gamers are getting rich by earning cryptocurrencies 

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Should you buy or rent a home in the UAE?  

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MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League, semi-final result:

Liverpool 4-0 Barcelona

Liverpool win 4-3 on aggregate

Champions Legaue final: June 1, Madrid

The Abu Dhabi Awards explained:

What are the awards? They honour anyone who has made a contribution to life in Abu Dhabi.

Are they open to only Emiratis? The awards are open to anyone, regardless of age or nationality, living anywhere in the world.

When do nominations close? The process concludes on December 31.

How do I nominate someone? Through the website.

When is the ceremony? The awards event will take place early next year.