Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President and Ruler of Dubai, said that in a turbulent world 'the UAE has not stopped moving forward'. Photo: @HHShkMohd / Twitter
Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President and Ruler of Dubai, said that in a turbulent world 'the UAE has not stopped moving forward'. Photo: @HHShkMohd / Twitter
Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President and Ruler of Dubai, said that in a turbulent world 'the UAE has not stopped moving forward'. Photo: @HHShkMohd / Twitter
Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President and Ruler of Dubai, said that in a turbulent world 'the UAE has not stopped moving forward'. Photo: @HHShkMohd / Twitter

UAE's 2021 GDP growth surpasses pre-pandemic level, Sheikh Mohammed says


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The UAE economy has improved even as the world economy continues to face headwinds, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President and Ruler of Dubai, has said.

“In a turbulent world, the UAE has not stopped moving forward. Our economy is on the rise. Our competitiveness is improving,” Sheikh Mohammed tweeted on Thursday.

“Our future is going to be better."

He said that the UAE's gross domestic product for 2021 beat the World Bank's forecast, surpassing the growth that the country registered in 2019, before the coronavirus pandemic.

“The expectations of the World Bank indicated a growth of 2.1 per cent for our national economy and we achieved [a] 3.8 per cent growth in 2021 (higher than the growth of 2019) and the highest growth in the region. At current prices, the output was Dh1.49 trillion,” Sheikh Mohammed said.

The UAE’s non-oil economy expanded an annual 7.8 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2021, driven by the easing of pandemic-related restrictions and travel curbs, which boosted local and global demand, the latest figures from the Central Bank of the UAE show.

While overall real GDP grew at an estimated 2.3 per cent in 2021, the central bank expects the economic momentum to pick up pace this year, maintaining its 4.2 per cent growth projection, it said in its Quarterly Economic Review.

The non-oil economy is estimated to have expanded 3.8 per cent in 2021 and is projected to grow 3.9 per cent this year.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: April 07, 2022, 7:57 PM