Etisalat is in talks to buy Zain.
Etisalat is in talks to buy Zain.
Etisalat is in talks to buy Zain.
Etisalat is in talks to buy Zain.

Etisalat Zain deal still in the balance


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Etisalat will not make a final decision on its proposed US$12 billion (Dh44.07bn) acquisition of Zain until it has completed due diligence at the end of this month.

"Everything depends on the due diligence," Salem al Sharhan, Etisalat's group chief financial officer, said yesterday. "From there, the timeline will be decided. We expect to finish the due diligence by the end of February."

Etisalat offered to buy a 46 per cent stake in the Kuwaiti company for 1.7 dinars a share last September, with the sale of Zain's Saudi Arabian unit among the terms.

Zain rejected three bids on Sunday and no further offers are on the table. But the absence of a sale for the Saudi Arabian unit does not mark a "deal-breaker" in Etisalat's bid for a controlling stake in its parent company, said Mr al Sharhan.

Etisalat already operates in Saudi Arabia under the Mobily brand and acquiring Zain Saudi Arabia would not be allowed by the country's telecommunications regulators.

"I may not call it a deal-breaker. I will call it one of the conditions [to complete the deal]," said Mr al Sharhan. "If [Zain] does not sell [Zain Saudi Arabia], we don't complete the transaction."

Sheikh Khalifa Ali Al Sabah, a member of Zain's board of directors, a shareholder in the company and a member of Kuwait's ruling family, said this week the absence of a buyer for the Saudi Arabian unit meant the Etisalat deal could not proceed. While the deadline to complete due diligence is at the end of this month, that is not when the deal is expected to close, said Mr al Sharhan.

He said Etisalat's stock, which is traded on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange, is "underpriced". Ownership of shares in Etisalat is currently restricted to UAE nationals, but talks are under way to allow foreign ownership, he said.

"We are in discussions with [the government to change the law] from a special law to a commercial law," he said. Such a move will help the company raise money from foreign investors which it could use to finance the Zain deal.

Irfan Ellam, a telecoms analyst with Al Mal Capital, said that if Etisalat moved its corporate structure to the UAE's commercial law, investors were likely to be watching how much of the operator it would make available to foreign interests.

Etisalat has already initiated talks with 18 international banks over financing the acquisition.

"Our intention is to finance Zain, if it happens, through debt finance," said Mr al Sharhan. "The total amount is around $12bn."

That amount would be made up of a $6bn 18-month bridge loan, which Etisalat said would be repaid with a bond or sukuk issue. The remainder would be made up of a $3bn three-year loan and a $3bn five-year refinanceable loan.

Mr Ellam said Etisalat would have no problem repaying the debt it would assume. "The only question is how they want to use their cash because they still have cash on their balance sheet," he said.

bflanagan@thenational.ae

Company profile

Name: Tratok Portal

Founded: 2017

Based: UAE

Sector: Travel & tourism

Size: 36 employees

Funding: Privately funded

Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

Bloomberg

Brief scores:

Juventus 3

Dybala 6', Bonucci 17', Ronaldo 63'

Frosinone 0

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5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed