If you've been experiencing bumpier flights lately, then it's not in your imagination – turbulence is on the rise, according to the experts.
While much of it can be predictable and therefore avoided by experienced pilots, since the weather is getting evermore unpredictable, airlines are having to discover and utilise newer technology to keep track.
Here we outline all the different types of turbulence, and how uncomfortable they can realistically make a flight.
Clear air turbulence
This is the one that's made the headlines lately. Clear air turbulence is defined by the US Federal Aviation Administration as “sudden severe turbulence occurring in cloudless regions that causes violent buffeting of aircraft”.
This most commonly takes place at higher altitudes and is associated with the jet stream – fast-flowing air currents that move from west to east in the upper atmosphere.
A study earlier this year by the University of Reading found climate change had increased the temperature difference between the pole and the equator over the North Atlantic, intensifying the vertical wind shear of the jet stream. This means the change in the speed of west-to-east winds becomes more pronounced with altitude, thereby boosting the chance for clear air turbulence.
This type of turbulence is unpredictable. But Captain Michael Schreiber, chief of pilot technical operations at Emirates, tells The National the Dubai airline, for example, is investing heavily in new technologies to make predictions more accurate. The airline’s pilots also receive training on how to deal with it.
“Practical training around turbulence avoidance and management is conducted in the flight simulator,” he explains. “Pilots are instructed how to navigate around areas of turbulence and how to ensure the safety of our passengers and crew in cases where turbulence is encountered in-flight.”
Wake turbulence
This type of turbulence is generated by aircraft vortices – circular patterns of rotating air left behind by a wing as it generates lift – or jetwash, which are gases expelled from the engine. It happens when one aircraft crosses paths with another, creating wing tip trailing vortices from the leading plane.
This is predictable and avoidable, and it's why planes have designated minimum separation distances from each other.
Thermal (convective) turbulence
Turbulence can occur on warm summer days, as the sun heats the earth's surface unevenly, causing the warm air to rise in columns and cooler air to descend. As planes fly in and out of these isolated convective currents, the flight experiences bumpy conditions. Rocky or sandy surfaces will also heat more rapidly than grassy fields or water.
Pilots therefore often prefer to fly in the early morning or evening when the thermal activity is not as severe.
It can be particularly prevalent when approaching a landing area, says weather.gov, since the moving convective currents vary in intensity, potentially causing an aircraft to veer from its glide path and over or undershoot the runway.
Frontal turbulence
Warm air is lifted by the sloping frontal surface of a cold air mass, causing friction between the two opposing masses and producing turbulence in the frontal zone. Frontal zones in aviation, also known as fronts, are regions of considerable weather activity.
Weather.gov says this type of turbulence is most marked when the warm air is moist and unstable, leading to a risk of thunderstorms, which would cause more severe bumpiness.
Mechanical turbulence
This is caused by friction between the air and the ground, generated by irregular landscapes or man-made objects (such as skyscrapers) found at low altitudes.
The obstacles cause the obstruction of airflow and the intensity of turbulence will depend on the strength of the surface wind, nature of the surface and the air stability. So, if the wind speed is strong, the terrain is rough and the air is unstable, this would create the greatest turbulence.
Mountain wave turbulence
Weather.gov also defines mountain wave turbulence as a form of mechanical turbulence, whereas other resources define this in its own category.
This occurs when strong eddies – whirls of air – are found downwind from mountain ridges. Mountain waves can produce some of the most severe turbulence associated with mechanical agencies.
It has also been known to cause structural damage to aircraft and result in a loss of control.
Thunderstorm turbulence
While planes can veer away from storm clouds, this is only the visible part of a turbulent region in a thunderstorm, and updrafts and downdrafts can often extend as much as 24 to 48 kilometres outside of the storm, with severe turbulence still possible.
As long as pilots know where these storm clouds are, however, it is possible to avoid this type of turbulence with up-to-date technologies and weather-predicting tools.
Wind shear
Where the FAA defines wind shear as an association with clear air turbulence, weather.gov separates it as its own type. This is the change in wind direction and/or wind speed over a specific horizontal or vertical distance.
Wind shears exist in atmospheric conditions such as areas of temperature inversions, along troughs (an area of low pressure) and around jet stream. When the change in speed or direction is strong, severe turbulence can be expected.
Temperature inversions
Again, weather.gov includes temperature inversions within the description for wind shear, whereas other resources may define it as its own type of turbulence.
In zones of strong stability, the stable low layer can be prevented from mixing with the warmer layer above and therefore lead to temperature inversions. “The greatest shear, and thus the greatest turbulence, is found at the tops of the inversion layer,” says weather.gov.
This type of turbulence can occur due to night-time cooling of the Earth's surface.
Aston martin DBX specs
Engine: 4.0-litre twin-turbo V8
Transmission: nine-speed automatic
Power: 542bhp
Torque: 700Nm
Top speed: 291kph
Price: Dh848,000
On sale: Q2, 2020
The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
Price, base / as tested: Dh182,178
Engine: 3.7-litre V6
Power: 350hp @ 7,400rpm
Torque: 374Nm @ 5,200rpm
Transmission: Seven-speed automatic
Fuel consumption, combined: 10.5L / 100km
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
The specs
- Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8
- Power: 640hp
- Torque: 760nm
- On sale: 2026
- Price: Not announced yet
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KILLING OF QASSEM SULEIMANI
Singham Again
Director: Rohit Shetty
Stars: Ajay Devgn, Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ranveer Singh, Akshay Kumar, Tiger Shroff, Deepika Padukone
Rating: 3/5
The Gandhi Murder
- 71 - Years since the death of MK Gandhi, also christened India's Father of the Nation
- 34 - Nationalities featured in the film The Gandhi Murder
- 7 - million dollars, the film's budget
Teaching your child to save
Pre-school (three - five years)
You can’t yet talk about investing or borrowing, but introduce a “classic” money bank and start putting gifts and allowances away. When the child wants a specific toy, have them save for it and help them track their progress.
Early childhood (six - eight years)
Replace the money bank with three jars labelled ‘saving’, ‘spending’ and ‘sharing’. Have the child divide their allowance into the three jars each week and explain their choices in splitting their pocket money. A guide could be 25 per cent saving, 50 per cent spending, 25 per cent for charity and gift-giving.
Middle childhood (nine - 11 years)
Open a bank savings account and help your child establish a budget and set a savings goal. Introduce the notion of ‘paying yourself first’ by putting away savings as soon as your allowance is paid.
Young teens (12 - 14 years)
Change your child’s allowance from weekly to monthly and help them pinpoint long-range goals such as a trip, so they can start longer-term saving and find new ways to increase their saving.
Teenage (15 - 18 years)
Discuss mutual expectations about university costs and identify what they can help fund and set goals. Don’t pay for everything, so they can experience the pride of contributing.
Young adulthood (19 - 22 years)
Discuss post-graduation plans and future life goals, quantify expenses such as first apartment, work wardrobe, holidays and help them continue to save towards these goals.
* JP Morgan Private Bank
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Profile
Co-founders of the company: Vilhelm Hedberg and Ravi Bhusari
Launch year: In 2016 ekar launched and signed an agreement with Etihad Airways in Abu Dhabi. In January 2017 ekar launched in Dubai in a partnership with the RTA.
Number of employees: Over 50
Financing stage: Series B currently being finalised
Investors: Series A - Audacia Capital
Sector of operation: Transport
The drill
Recharge as needed, says Mat Dryden: “We try to make it a rule that every two to three months, even if it’s for four days, we get away, get some time together, recharge, refresh.” The couple take an hour a day to check into their businesses and that’s it.
Stick to the schedule, says Mike Addo: “We have an entire wall known as ‘The Lab,’ covered with colour-coded Post-it notes dedicated to our joint weekly planner, content board, marketing strategy, trends, ideas and upcoming meetings.”
Be a team, suggests Addo: “When training together, you have to trust in each other’s abilities. Otherwise working out together very quickly becomes one person training the other.”
Pull your weight, says Thuymi Do: “To do what we do, there definitely can be no lazy member of the team.”
Dr Amal Khalid Alias revealed a recent case of a woman with daughters, who specifically wanted a boy.
A semen analysis of the father showed abnormal sperm so the couple required IVF.
Out of 21 eggs collected, six were unused leaving 15 suitable for IVF.
A specific procedure was used, called intracytoplasmic sperm injection where a single sperm cell is inserted into the egg.
On day three of the process, 14 embryos were biopsied for gender selection.
The next day, a pre-implantation genetic report revealed four normal male embryos, three female and seven abnormal samples.
Day five of the treatment saw two male embryos transferred to the patient.
The woman recorded a positive pregnancy test two weeks later.
Key findings of Jenkins report
- Founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, Hassan al Banna, "accepted the political utility of violence"
- Views of key Muslim Brotherhood ideologue, Sayyid Qutb, have “consistently been understood” as permitting “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” and “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
- Muslim Brotherhood at all levels has repeatedly defended Hamas attacks against Israel, including the use of suicide bombers and the killing of civilians.
- Laying out the report in the House of Commons, David Cameron told MPs: "The main findings of the review support the conclusion that membership of, association with, or influence by the Muslim Brotherhood should be considered as a possible indicator of extremism."