In politics as in medicine, if you can figure out the problem you may be able to find a cure. So what exactly is British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s problem? He has an overwhelming majority in the Westminster Parliament, another four years in power, improving relations with the European Union and has secured a degree of US President Donald Trump’s attention in a dangerous world.
In some ways, Mr Starmer could be a reasonably happy man at the end of his first year in Downing Street. Yet, news headlines are full of Mr Starmer’s “U-turns” on policy, based on rebellions or threatened rebellions in his own Labour party. This, and the abysmal performance of the Conservative party has contributed to disenchanted voters searching for change.
Some tell opinion pollsters they may support Nigel Farage’s latest right-wing political vehicle, Reform, at the next election. Newspaper commentaries sometimes conclude that Mr Starmer is not quite up to the job and suggest Mr Farage could be the next British prime minister, even though Reform has only five MPs and the Labour has more than 400 in the 650-member Parliament. Nevertheless, something big is churning in UK politics.
There's a reason why Labour is so alarmed right now by Nigel Farage’s Reform party
The previous 14 years of Conservative rule are widely regarded – even privately by some Conservatives themselves – as often a shambles. Labour attracted voters in the 2024 general election in part because they were the only real alternative to more Conservative failures. Voters in democracies often just want a change. Labour won the 1997 General Election under Tony Blair because voters were fed up with the Conservatives.
By the 2010 election they were tired of Labour. In 2025, it is clear that large sections of British voters are now tired of both Labour and the Conservatives, and are thinking Reform might be worth a look. In opinion polls, Reform is often marginally leading the others and taking most of its votes from disaffected former Conservatives.
But opinion polls almost four years before another general election are little more than talking points rather than decisive endorsements of Mr Farage or Reform party policies (whatever they may be).
As I travel the country on a book tour talking with audiences about what might be wrong with Britain, one common theme is that we no longer have a “two-party system” but we have an antiquated “first-past-the-post” voting system which is obviously unfair.
Labour and the Conservatives for years divided power between themselves. But in 2025 Liberal Democrats, Greens, Reform, plus parties in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland all demonstrate that the UK is nowadays a complex multi-party democracy with a sclerotic electoral system out of step with every democracy in Europe.
We are sometimes taught at school that the British system is “the envy of the world”. It isn’t. European countries have their political problems but generally they have different types of proportional representation (PR) systems. That means voters do not feel their vote can be “wasted” as it may be in the British system where an MP can be elected with only, say, a third of the votes because the other two thirds are split between several rival parties. Even within the UK, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland all have PR systems. If a fairer system works for them, why is England left out?
In researching my latest book, Britain is Better Than This, I asked former British officials that question repeatedly. In the 1990s, some thought Labour would switch to proportional representation. Mr Blair won a landslide in 1997 and, as the former officials told me, he decided not to change a system that had made him prime minister. Mr Starmer is in a similar position.
The antiquated British system meant last year he won an astonishing two thirds of the seats in Parliament based on just one third of the votes. But that’s why Labour is so alarmed right now by Mr Farage’s Reform party. Opinion polls put Reform on a third of the votes. That means under the current system Reform could win a landslide of seats with support from just a third of voters at the next election.
The lessons are obvious. Just enough British voters currently dislike both Labour and the Conservatives to switch to Reform and give Mr Farage as huge a majority as Mr Starmer now enjoys and Mr Blair had in 1997. That’s just the way the British system works, although in talking to voters across the UK I’m convinced a majority of them do not think this system works for them.
Mr Starmer could therefore make history by committing to ending the antiquated and undemocratic British voting system. There is a downside, for him if not for the country: it might be difficult for Labour, the Conservatives, Reform or any other party to win a landslide majority.
Instead, the British Parliament would more closely reflect the differences and divisions among British voters. And what would be wrong with that? Isn’t that what democracies are supposed to be about?
The specs: 2019 Haval H6
Price, base: Dh69,900
Engine: 2.0-litre turbocharged four-cylinder
Transmission: Seven-speed automatic
Power: 197hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque: 315Nm @ 2,000rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 7.0L / 100km
Emergency
Director: Kangana Ranaut
Stars: Kangana Ranaut, Anupam Kher, Shreyas Talpade, Milind Soman, Mahima Chaudhry
Rating: 2/5
Gulf Under 19s final
Dubai College A 50-12 Dubai College B
How much do leading UAE’s UK curriculum schools charge for Year 6?
- Nord Anglia International School (Dubai) – Dh85,032
- Kings School Al Barsha (Dubai) – Dh71,905
- Brighton College Abu Dhabi - Dh68,560
- Jumeirah English Speaking School (Dubai) – Dh59,728
- Gems Wellington International School – Dubai Branch – Dh58,488
- The British School Al Khubairat (Abu Dhabi) - Dh54,170
- Dubai English Speaking School – Dh51,269
*Annual tuition fees covering the 2024/2025 academic year
More coverage from the Future Forum
WOMAN AND CHILD
Director: Saeed Roustaee
Starring: Parinaz Izadyar, Payman Maadi
Rating: 4/5
Arabian Gulf Cup FINAL
Al Nasr 2
(Negredo 1, Tozo 50)
Shabab Al Ahli 1
(Jaber 13)
FIXTURES
Thursday
Dibba v Al Dhafra, Fujairah Stadium (5pm)
Al Wahda v Hatta, Al Nahyan Stadium (8pm)
Friday
Al Nasr v Ajman, Zabeel Stadium (5pm)
Al Jazria v Al Wasl, Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium (8pm)
Saturday
Emirates v Al Ain, Emirates Club Stadium (5pm)
Sharjah v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, Sharjah Stadium (8pm)
Blackpink World Tour [Born Pink] In Cinemas
Starring: Rose, Jisoo, Jennie, Lisa
Directors: Min Geun, Oh Yoon-Dong
Rating: 3/5
The Pope's itinerary
Sunday, February 3, 2019 - Rome to Abu Dhabi
1pm: departure by plane from Rome / Fiumicino to Abu Dhabi
10pm: arrival at Abu Dhabi Presidential Airport
Monday, February 4
12pm: welcome ceremony at the main entrance of the Presidential Palace
12.20pm: visit Abu Dhabi Crown Prince at Presidential Palace
5pm: private meeting with Muslim Council of Elders at Sheikh Zayed Grand Mosque
6.10pm: Inter-religious in the Founder's Memorial
Tuesday, February 5 - Abu Dhabi to Rome
9.15am: private visit to undisclosed cathedral
10.30am: public mass at Zayed Sports City – with a homily by Pope Francis
12.40pm: farewell at Abu Dhabi Presidential Airport
1pm: departure by plane to Rome
5pm: arrival at the Rome / Ciampino International Airport
Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer
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Coal Black Mornings
Brett Anderson
Little Brown Book Group
Key findings of Jenkins report
- Founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, Hassan al Banna, "accepted the political utility of violence"
- Views of key Muslim Brotherhood ideologue, Sayyid Qutb, have “consistently been understood” as permitting “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” and “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
- Muslim Brotherhood at all levels has repeatedly defended Hamas attacks against Israel, including the use of suicide bombers and the killing of civilians.
- Laying out the report in the House of Commons, David Cameron told MPs: "The main findings of the review support the conclusion that membership of, association with, or influence by the Muslim Brotherhood should be considered as a possible indicator of extremism."
GAC GS8 Specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 248hp at 5,200rpm
Torque: 400Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm
Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 9.1L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh149,900
Scoreline
Australia 2-1 Thailand
Australia: Juric 69', Leckie 86'
Thailand: Pokklaw 82'
3%20Body%20Problem
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OPTA'S PREDICTED TABLE
1. Liverpool 101 points
2. Manchester City 80
3. Leicester 67
4. Chelsea 63
5. Manchester United 61
6. Tottenham 58
7. Wolves 56
8. Arsenal 56
9. Sheffield United 55
10. Everton 50
11. Burnley 49
12. Crystal Palace 49
13. Newcastle 46
14. Southampton 44
15. West Ham 39
16. Brighton 37
17. Watford 36
18. Bournemouth 36
19. Aston Villa 32
20. Norwich City 29
The Perfect Couple
Starring: Nicole Kidman, Liev Schreiber, Jack Reynor
Creator: Jenna Lamia
Rating: 3/5