The number of migrants packed on to each boat crossing the English Channel has reached an all-time high, making the journeys on the flimsy vessels even more perilous, analysis of data by The National reveals.
Boats now carry on average more than 60 asylum seekers, and often that figure reaches 70 and above, while the boats remain the same size as before.
The increasing number of deaths of migrants in the English Channel is being directly linked to this overcrowding. The boats become even more unstable, and when they inevitably get into trouble, there are more passengers at risk.
This year has seen a disturbing new phenomenon in which the sheer numbers getting on to boats has seen migrants being crushed to death, alongside the continuous risk of drowning.
Dina Al Shammari, 21, from Kuwait, died when she was crushed on a boat carrying around 60 people on July 28.
So far this year, 22 migrants have drowned compared to 15 for the whole of last year and five in 2022, when the total number of asylum seekers crossing to the UK peaked, according to the International Organisation for Migration.
At least 12 people died, including 10 women and girls, and 65 were rescued when a boat tore apart making the dangerous journey to the UK on Tuesday.
The increased number of migrants per crossing has been attributed to a crackdown on supply of boats coming to the gangs from Turkey through the Balkans so in order to maintain their profits the smugglers are packing more migrants on to each vessel.
The UK's Home Secretary Yvette Cooper on Friday pledged to smash the people smuggling gangs and said the first two months of the Labour government have seen “significant seizures of boats and equipment in Europe”.
The shift in emphasis towards tackling gangs is a departure from former Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's pledge to “stop the boats” through deterring migrants from crossing the Channel by sending them to Rwanda to have their asylum claims processed.
Action by French police acting as part of an enforcement agreement with the UK has meant there are few opportunities to cross, again resulting in gangs seeking to load more people on to each boat, says Utopia 56, an organisation that works with migrants.
“There are less boats and still the same amount of people who want to cross,” said Axel Gaudinat, a co-ordinator with the Utopia 56 in Calais told The National.
“Obviously, people get upset if they don't have the opportunity to try to so there are more people on the boats and so more and more deaths.
“In 2021 the average was about 40 per boat but it is now around 60. So, as the numbers on the boat increase, so the risk goes up.
“We can explain it by European police trying to cut the supplies of boats which means there are fewer boats for the same amount of people seeking to cross the Channel.”
Using data provided by the UK’s Home Office for every day since January 31, 2018, when the first small boat was recorded as arriving, The National has been able to look at how there has been a steady increase in the number migrants getting on each boat.
On that day, seven migrants were recorded as arriving in the UK on one boat and later that year as the numbers began to pick up.
In 2022, the year that has so far seen the largest number of migrants arriving, the average per boat began to creep up but only got to 50 or above on two occasions.
Last year for the first time, an average of 60 per boat began to appear in the data, which happened four time, and one day there was an average of 70.
This year there have been 23 days when the average number of people on a boat has been over 60 and three days when there was an average of 70 per boat and one occasion that figure reached 77.
But while these figures are the averages and on individual occasions anecdotal evidence suggests the number on board maybe even higher.
Mr Gaudinat said he came across one boat that those on board said was carrying 81 people and another with 100 people.
A projection by The National shows that if nothing changes then the yearly average number of migrants per boat will hit 105 in five years’ time.
Utopia 56 runs a helpline for migrants to call or message if they run into trouble and Mr Gaudinat said that in 2022, they received 183 and in 2023 but in 2024 we are already at around 227 distress calls.
“We are receiving more distress calls than before,” he said.
As well as overcrowding, Mr Gaudinat explained that this was due to boats being forced to take longer routes to cross the Channel meaning there's more chance of getting into trouble.
The departure point is shifting from Calais, to Wimereux to the south near Boulogne-sur-Mer and Gravelines, to the north.
Ms Al Shammari was travelling with her three younger siblings, aged 13 to 19, and parents, when she died off the coast of Calais on July 28.
Her mother, Amira, said the family arrived in France on July 1 and had attempted the crossing five times before the night her eldest daughter died.
“The boat was so crowded. Dina was the first one, she ran to the boat because she wanted to go to the UK as soon as possible,” she said.
“Then they followed her and, just like squeezing her from all over the place. When squeezing her she wasn't able to breathe, and she started shouting.”
The boats used to transport migrants across the Channel are constructed from flimsy materials sourced in China by businesses in Turkey.
An estimated 80 per cent to 90 per cent of rubber dinghies used to transport, paying an average €2,500 to €3,500, to across the English Channel are made there.
Component parts are then transported across Europe before being stored in Germany, and from there they are taken across the border to France to be assembled on the coast.
The boats are of a flimsy construction and underpowered for the numbers of migrants they are expected to carry.
The UK signed an agreement with Turkey last year on tackling the trade in boats and also with Bulgaria and Serbia, countries through which their transported.
According to Tony Smith, the former head of the UK’s Border Force and now a border security consultant, said work done on stopping the supply of dinghies means there are more overcrowded vessels than before.
“Albanians and Kurds are all fighting one and other for the spaces and when one does get afloat they’re overloading them, which is why you’re seeing 70 or 80 on board and that’s very, very dangerous,” said Mr Smith, the managing director of Fortinus Global.
“I think there’s going to be more deaths and I think it’s only going to get worse before it gets better.”
In the aftermath of the latest deaths, the UK’s Border Security and Asylum Minister Angela Eagle was pressed on BBC Radio about the unintended consequences of action to disrupt the supply of boats which have led to a more migrants being crammed on to boats.
“The gangs are putting their lives at risk daily,” she replied.
“If we were to leave this trade to carry on it would only get worse and in many ways the last government allowed it to become industrialised by not cracking down on it when it began a few years ago.”
She would not be drawn on whether the UK would follow the example of Greece and Italy in pushing migrant boats back, which has reduced numbers but at the cost of international condemnation.
“What we have to do is to is stop the supply of boats in any way we can to disrupt the financial models, to arrest people, to disrupt the gangs to make certain that we have communications in the countries where people are fooled into think that they will be given safe transit to the UK and a job afterwards and what the actual realities are.”
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Terminator: Dark Fate
Director: Tim Miller
Starring: Arnold Schwarzenegger, Linda Hamilton, Mackenzie Davis
Rating: 3/5
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
The years Ramadan fell in May
The White Lotus: Season three
Creator: Mike White
Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell
Rating: 4.5/5
Disposing of non-recycleable masks
- Use your ‘black bag’ bin at home
- Do not put them in a recycling bin
- Take them home with you if there is no litter bin
- No need to bag the mask
Family reunited
Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe was born and raised in Tehran and studied English literature before working as a translator in the relief effort for the Japanese International Co-operation Agency in 2003.
She moved to the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies before moving to the World Health Organisation as a communications officer.
She came to the UK in 2007 after securing a scholarship at London Metropolitan University to study a master's in communication management and met her future husband through mutual friends a month later.
The couple were married in August 2009 in Winchester and their daughter was born in June 2014.
She was held in her native country a year later.
U19 WORLD CUP, WEST INDIES
UAE group fixtures (all in St Kitts)
Saturday 15 January: v Canada
Thursday 20 January: v England
Saturday 22 January: v Bangladesh
UAE squad
Alishan Sharafu (captain), Shival Bawa, Jash Giyanani, Sailles Jaishankar, Nilansh Keswani, Aayan Khan, Punya Mehra, Ali Naseer, Ronak Panoly, Dhruv Parashar, Vinayak Raghavan, Soorya Sathish, Aryansh Sharma, Adithya Shetty, Kai Smith
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MATCH INFO
Syria v Australia
2018 World Cup qualifying: Asia fourth round play-off first leg
Venue: Hang Jebat Stadium (Malacca, Malayisa)
Kick-off: Thursday, 4.30pm (UAE)
Watch: beIN Sports HD
* Second leg in Australia scheduled for October 10
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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'Saand Ki Aankh'
Produced by: Reliance Entertainment with Chalk and Cheese Films
Director: Tushar Hiranandani
Cast: Taapsee Pannu, Bhumi Pednekar, Prakash Jha, Vineet Singh
Rating: 3.5/5 stars
White hydrogen: Naturally occurring hydrogen
Chromite: Hard, metallic mineral containing iron oxide and chromium oxide
Ultramafic rocks: Dark-coloured rocks rich in magnesium or iron with very low silica content
Ophiolite: A section of the earth’s crust, which is oceanic in nature that has since been uplifted and exposed on land
Olivine: A commonly occurring magnesium iron silicate mineral that derives its name for its olive-green yellow-green colour
Benefits of first-time home buyers' scheme
- Priority access to new homes from participating developers
- Discounts on sales price of off-plan units
- Flexible payment plans from developers
- Mortgages with better interest rates, faster approval times and reduced fees
- DLD registration fee can be paid through banks or credit cards at zero interest rates
U19 World Cup in South Africa
Group A: India, Japan, New Zealand, Sri Lanka
Group B: Australia, England, Nigeria, West Indies
Group C: Bangladesh, Pakistan, Scotland, Zimbabwe
Group D: Afghanistan, Canada, South Africa, UAE
UAE fixtures
Saturday, January 18, v Canada
Wednesday, January 22, v Afghanistan
Saturday, January 25, v South Africa
UAE squad
Aryan Lakra (captain), Vriitya Aravind, Deshan Chethyia, Mohammed Farazuddin, Jonathan Figy, Osama Hassan, Karthik Meiyappan, Rishabh Mukherjee, Ali Naseer, Wasi Shah, Alishan Sharafu, Sanchit Sharma, Kai Smith, Akasha Tahir, Ansh Tandon
UAE'S%20YOUNG%20GUNS
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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
Started: 2021
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
Based: Tunisia
Sector: Water technology
Number of staff: 22
Investment raised: $4 million
The bio
Favourite food: Japanese
Favourite car: Lamborghini
Favourite hobby: Football
Favourite quote: If your dreams don’t scare you, they are not big enough
Favourite country: UAE
Indika
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MATCH INFO
World Cup qualifier
Thailand 2 (Dangda 26', Panya 51')
UAE 1 (Mabkhout 45 2')
Specs
Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric
Range: Up to 610km
Power: 905hp
Torque: 985Nm
Price: From Dh439,000
Available: Now
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The Written World: How Literature Shaped History
Martin Puchner
Granta
Results
Female 49kg: Mayssa Bastos (BRA) bt Thamires Aquino (BRA); points 0-0 (advantage points points 1-0).
Female 55kg: Bianca Basilio (BRA) bt Amal Amjahid (BEL); points 4-2.
Female 62kg: Beatriz Mesquita (BRA) v Ffion Davies (GBR); 10-2.
Female 70kg: Thamara Silva (BRA) bt Alessandra Moss (AUS); submission.
Female 90kg: Gabreili Passanha (BRA) bt Claire-France Thevenon (FRA); submission.
Male 56kg: Hiago George (BRA) bt Carlos Alberto da Silva (BRA); 2-2 (2-0)
Male 62kg: Gabriel de Sousa (BRA) bt Joao Miyao (BRA); 2-2 (2-1)
Male 69kg: Paulo Miyao (BRA) bt Isaac Doederlein (USA); 2-2 (2-2) Ref decision.
Male 77kg: Tommy Langarkar (NOR) by Oliver Lovell (GBR); submission.
Male 85kg: Rudson Mateus Teles (BRA) bt Faisal Al Ketbi (UAE); 2-2 (1-1) Ref decision.
Male 94kg: Kaynan Duarte (BRA) bt Adam Wardzinski (POL); submission.
Male 110kg: Joao Rocha (BRA) bt Yahia Mansoor Al Hammadi (UAE); submission.
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?
The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.
Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.
New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.
“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.
The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.
The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.
Bloomberg