The anticipation of stablecoins in the UAE continues to increase – along with the number of transactions they are expected to transform.
On Monday, Abu Dhabi entities IHC, ADQ and First Abu Dhabi Bank announced plans to launch a dirham-backed stablecoin, which will be fully regulated by the UAE Central Bank, aimed at easing payment solutions and further doubling down on the use of the digital asset.
We have already established what we can expect with the arrival of stablecoins in the UAE. On the other hand, the underlying programming – from all aspects, technicalities to oversight – to make it work is interesting on its own.
Game-changing 'smart' programming
Stablecoins would be able to make smart contracts – also known as programmable money – even smarter as they can execute payments in stages when certain conditions are met.
FAB last September announced it was the first financial institution to complete a programmable payment pilot with JPM Coin, developed by a unit of US bank JP Morgan.
A smart contract can be programmed to auto-trigger cash token payouts for insurance claims, utility bill payments, corporate actions, dividend payouts and other transactions, said Ronit Ghose, global head of future of finance at the Citi Institute.
Though theoretical at the moment, this can be done by properly “embedding conditions “as logic or a code into the payment leg to efficiently execute payments when certain predefined conditions are met”, he told The National.
As a result, “programmable money will likely [make] money smarter and finance hyper efficient”, he said.
This will eliminate – as with cryptocurrencies in general – traditional systems, people or intermediaries needed to confirm, approve, or process payments. It would also reduce counterparty risk, in addition to enabling traceability that fosters better trust between parties, protection against fraud and fewer disputes, said Arun John, chief market analyst at Dubai-based Century Financial.
“This technology is a game-changer … since everything is automated, there’s no need for people to manually check things or for middlemen to get involved. That means fewer mistakes and fewer delays,” he told The National.
In supply chains, for example, smart contracts make sure that money is only paid when every part of the deal is completed, so there is less risk of fraud or arguments. In corporate finance, it helps keep track of money in real time, making it easier to avoid errors and stay transparent about where the money is going.
“We view this as a foundational milestone – one that strengthens liquidity, enhances transparency and advances cross-border interoperability across the Web3 ecosystem,” Shunyet Jan, head of institutional and derivatives at Dubai-based crypto exchange Bybit, told The National.
Regulation and accountability
Being a piece of code, regulating smart contracts is not straightforward. Typically, regulators tend to adopt a functional approach, regulating instead the outcomes or the activities enabled by such smart contracts.
That said, accountability is not entirely out of reach, especially as the space gradually matures and rules are drawn up.
“We’ll likely see a blend of technical standards and regulatory approaches specially around areas like smart contract audits, transparency tools, and compliance frameworks for the platforms using them,” Arushi Goel, policy lead for the Middle East and Africa at blockchain company Chainalysis, told The National.
While indeed money will continue to be regulated by national financial and fiduciary authorities, including central banks, issuers of stablecoins should and must be subject to global and local laws and guidance.
These include those around know your customer, consumer protection, safety and soundness, and, perhaps arguably the most important, anti-money laundering.
“Policymakers of certain jurisdictions anticipate a looming threat stemming from privately issued money tokens and will likely want to continue sovereign control over money,” Mr Ghose said.
In addition, regulators should find it “relatively easy to hold players accountable because all transactions [including user identities] will be publicly recorded on a blockchain”, Anna Zeitlin, a partner for FinTech and financial services at international law company Addleshaw Goddard, told The National.
What about rents, BNPL and business contracts?
Although stablecoins are pegged to a traditional fiat currency or commodity, they do not require extensive paperwork, approvals and physical branches.
On the other hand, stablecoins would only require an internet connection, a digital wallet and proof of identity.
This system disruption could entirely change how we transact, ranging from remittances, rent cheques, buy-now-pay-later schemes, ethical retail investments and even business contracts.
Rent cheques and other day-to-day expenses are also expected to be vastly affected as blockchain-powered stablecoins will eliminate days-long processing and reduce fees significantly.
BNPL providers, meanwhile, would now start lending through stablecoins, and as the system is now built on blockchain, they could now tokenise those loans and make them available for investors much cheaper and more efficiently, Mr John said.
For investments and business contracts, stablecoins would offer a less volatile exposure to cryptocurrencies while enabling transactions. According to New York-based Chainalysis, 93 per cent of stablecoin transfers in the UAE are retail-sized, portraying the heightened adoption among retail participants.
“Stablecoin payments will allow instantaneous and very cheap payments. This will be beneficial to consumers and will also speed up the business of companies using them,” Ms Zeitlin said.
The key question though is how long it will take for all this to be realised. It can take anywhere between a few to several years, depending on the complexity of use cases – and how artificial intelligence and blockchain further advance.
"Maybe five to 10 years, according to how AI [development] grows," Ryan Chow, chief executive of Solv Protocol, told The National.
"But if you only take a look at some very specific use case, like something very common [such as buying coffee], two or three years are enough [for a] much more convenient, efficient and transparent way to pay for a lot of things."
Attacks on Egypt’s long rooted Copts
Egypt’s Copts belong to one of the world’s oldest Christian communities, with Mark the Evangelist credited with founding their church around 300 AD. Orthodox Christians account for the overwhelming majority of Christians in Egypt, with the rest mainly made up of Greek Orthodox, Catholics and Anglicans.
The community accounts for some 10 per cent of Egypt’s 100 million people, with the largest concentrations of Christians found in Cairo, Alexandria and the provinces of Minya and Assiut south of Cairo.
Egypt’s Christians have had a somewhat turbulent history in the Muslim majority Arab nation, with the community occasionally suffering outright persecution but generally living in peace with their Muslim compatriots. But radical Muslims who have first emerged in the 1970s have whipped up anti-Christian sentiments, something that has, in turn, led to an upsurge in attacks against their places of worship, church-linked facilities as well as their businesses and homes.
More recently, ISIS has vowed to go after the Christians, claiming responsibility for a series of attacks against churches packed with worshippers starting December 2016.
The discrimination many Christians complain about and the shift towards religious conservatism by many Egyptian Muslims over the last 50 years have forced hundreds of thousands of Christians to migrate, starting new lives in growing communities in places as far afield as Australia, Canada and the United States.
Here is a look at major attacks against Egypt's Coptic Christians in recent years:
November 2: Masked gunmen riding pickup trucks opened fire on three buses carrying pilgrims to the remote desert monastery of St. Samuel the Confessor south of Cairo, killing 7 and wounding about 20. IS claimed responsibility for the attack.
May 26, 2017: Masked militants riding in three all-terrain cars open fire on a bus carrying pilgrims on their way to the Monastery of St. Samuel the Confessor, killing 29 and wounding 22. ISIS claimed responsibility for the attack.
April 2017: Twin attacks by suicide bombers hit churches in the coastal city of Alexandria and the Nile Delta city of Tanta. At least 43 people are killed and scores of worshippers injured in the Palm Sunday attack, which narrowly missed a ceremony presided over by Pope Tawadros II, spiritual leader of Egypt Orthodox Copts, in Alexandria's St. Mark's Cathedral. ISIS claimed responsibility for the attacks.
February 2017: Hundreds of Egyptian Christians flee their homes in the northern part of the Sinai Peninsula, fearing attacks by ISIS. The group's North Sinai affiliate had killed at least seven Coptic Christians in the restive peninsula in less than a month.
December 2016: A bombing at a chapel adjacent to Egypt's main Coptic Christian cathedral in Cairo kills 30 people and wounds dozens during Sunday Mass in one of the deadliest attacks carried out against the religious minority in recent memory. ISIS claimed responsibility.
July 2016: Pope Tawadros II says that since 2013 there were 37 sectarian attacks on Christians in Egypt, nearly one incident a month. A Muslim mob stabs to death a 27-year-old Coptic Christian man, Fam Khalaf, in the central city of Minya over a personal feud.
May 2016: A Muslim mob ransacks and torches seven Christian homes in Minya after rumours spread that a Christian man had an affair with a Muslim woman. The elderly mother of the Christian man was stripped naked and dragged through a street by the mob.
New Year's Eve 2011: A bomb explodes in a Coptic Christian church in Alexandria as worshippers leave after a midnight mass, killing more than 20 people.
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Where to apply
Applicants should send their completed applications - CV, covering letter, sample(s) of your work, letter of recommendation - to Nick March, Assistant Editor in Chief at The National and UAE programme administrator for the Rosalynn Carter Fellowships for Mental Health Journalism, by 5pm on April 30, 2020.
Please send applications to nmarch@thenational.ae and please mark the subject line as “Rosalynn Carter Fellowship for Mental Health Journalism (UAE programme application)”.
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More from Rashmee Roshan Lall
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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