• A solar flare erupting from the surface of the Sun. Nasa
    A solar flare erupting from the surface of the Sun. Nasa
  • A geomagnetic storm forming on March 23, 2024, which struck Earth a day later. Nasa
    A geomagnetic storm forming on March 23, 2024, which struck Earth a day later. Nasa
  • The Northern Lights over a farm near Pulaski, Wisconsin. AP
    The Northern Lights over a farm near Pulaski, Wisconsin. AP
  • The massive 1989 solar storm in Northern Canada caused a power blackout in all of the Quebec Province. Nasa
    The massive 1989 solar storm in Northern Canada caused a power blackout in all of the Quebec Province. Nasa

Solar flares: How does a peak in the Sun’s activity influence the Earth?


Sarwat Nasir
  • English
  • Arabic

At the heart of the solar system lies the Sun, a constant source of light and warmth essential for life on Earth.

But beyond its life-giving rays, it can also have a brutal impact on the outermost layer of the Earth's atmosphere when it experiences heightened solar activity, such as radio blackouts and satellite damage that disrupt internet connectivity.

Scientists predict that the Sun will reach a solar maximum later this year, when solar activity during its 11-year cycle is at its peak.

“Solar activity peaks at the solar max because of the increasing number of active spots on the Sun which are associated with strong releases of magnetic and charged particle energies into the interplanetary environment,” Dr Mojtaba Akhavan-Tafti, a space scientist at the University of Michigan, told The National.

Some of these may be Earth-bound, Dr Akhavan-Tafti explained, which can pose a threat to the planet.

Solar storms strike Earth

These strong releases can also form geomagnetic storms.

A severe one struck the planet this week, with reports of radio blackouts and sightings of the Northern Lights over parts of the UK and the US.

Last month, three large solar flares were released within 24 hours on February 22 and another large one took place at the end of January.

“On the bright side, increased geo-effective phenomena means more chances of observing the mesmerising Northern Lights over the next couple of years,” said Dr Akhavan-Tafti.

“On the other side, heightened geo-effective space weather threatens our technological civilisation, from space-borne assets and the life of astronauts in orbit due to increased space radiation levels, as well as ground-based technologies including communication and power grid platforms due to increased electromagnetic disturbances.”

There have been instances in the past that caused technology on Earth to be compromised because of a solar storm.

In 1989, an extremely powerful solar flare caused a geomagnetic storm, causing a power cut in Quebec, Canada, that lasted for several days.

It was so intense that the Northern Lights were visible for two days and could also be seen in countries such as Honduras and Dominica.

“Increased extreme space weather activity also impacts atmospheric characteristics, thus linked to increased air drag on satellites in lower Earth orbit, resulting in unexpected (and sometimes catastrophic) drops in altitude,” said Dr Akhavan-Tafti.

In 2022, a powerful solar storm caused Elon Musk’s SpaceX to lose up to 40 of its Starlink satellites that were launched only a day prior.

The satellites had to “take cover” from the storm by going into safe mode – shutting down all non-essential functions – allowing them to get dragged closer to the Earth’s atmosphere.

But the solar storm caused the atmospheric drag to increase, making it impossible for the satellites to turn off safe mode, causing them to descend further and eventually burn up upon re-entry.

Solar activity made Mars inhospitable

In the long term, solar activity like solar wind, a continuous stream of charged solar particles, and solar radiation could have devastating effects on the Earth if the planet's magnetic field weakens.

For example, it is believed that solar wind completely stripped Mars’ atmosphere, making it impossible to host life after losing its protective magnetic field.

Solar wind stripped Mars' atmosphere, leaving it dry and inhospitable. Photo: Nasa
Solar wind stripped Mars' atmosphere, leaving it dry and inhospitable. Photo: Nasa

Scientists often look at Mars to study how solar activity affects planets.

When Mars' atmosphere thinned, it also cooled down the planet's climate system, drying up all of its liquid water.

While the Sun can influence the Earth's climate system, the planet still has a strong magnetic field that helps to protect it from the Sun's charged particles and solar radiation.

Does an active Sun affect the Earth's climate?

This graph by Nasa shows that solar activity played very little role in the rising temperatures that Earth has been witnessing in the past years. Source: Nasa
This graph by Nasa shows that solar activity played very little role in the rising temperatures that Earth has been witnessing in the past years. Source: Nasa

Dr Ilias Fernini, a professor of applied physics and astronomy at the University of Sharjah, told The National that the Sun influences the Earth's climate system in the long term – by at least hundreds of thousands of years – but humans are to blame for the recent increase in temperatures, or global warming.

“Our atmosphere is subject to solar radiation, but the increase in the Earth's temperature is a slow process,” Prof Fernini said.

“The main cause of temperature increase is global warming.”

The Earth has a greenhouse gas effect like its sister planet Venus, which is when the atmosphere traps potent greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide, causing surface temperatures to rise.

But the Earth's water cycle and low rate of carbon dioxide in its atmosphere, as compared to Venus, helps to regulate its temperature and climate.

“Human-induced factors are much more impactful on climate change than the impact of solar activities,” said Prof Fernini.

“Compared to Venus and Mars, with 96 per cent carbon dioxide in their atmosphere, the Earth has a low percentage of 0.04 per cent carbon dioxide.

“This natural greenhouse effect warms the Earth and makes it comfortable for life, but greenhouse gases added by industrial civilisation are responsible for global warming.”

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Director: James Cameron

Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana

Rating: 4.5/5

Updated: April 02, 2024, 8:23 AM