A trader reacts at his desk at the Frankfurt stock exchange yesterday as European shares extended the previous session's sharp sell-off on Friday. Reuters
A trader reacts at his desk at the Frankfurt stock exchange yesterday as European shares extended the previous session's sharp sell-off on Friday. Reuters
A trader reacts at his desk at the Frankfurt stock exchange yesterday as European shares extended the previous session's sharp sell-off on Friday. Reuters
A trader reacts at his desk at the Frankfurt stock exchange yesterday as European shares extended the previous session's sharp sell-off on Friday. Reuters

Another deep slump brings more pain for Europe


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Europe and Asia bore the brunt of the pain on global markets yesterday on a day that saw oil dip below US$80 a barrel and gold hit yet another record high.

But while European shares suffered their biggest two-day slump since 2008 after a painful Thursday for global indexes, the US held its ground in early trading.

Although the American markets fell at the opening, within the space of an hour the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Nasdaq and Standard & Poor's 500 Index had all fought back into the green. At 6.20pm UAE time, the Dow Jones was up 0.23 per cent, the S&P 0.58 per cent and the Nasdaq 0.89 per cent.

Better-than-expected technology financials were cited for the muted optimism, though Hewlett-Packard tumbled 22 per cent, the most in 31 years, as UBS and Deutsche Bank cut their recommendations for the personal-computer maker.

But if the US was in the green, the reversal came after Europe had already taken a beating in yesterday's trading, spending the day firmly rooted in the red, with banking stocks hurting in particular. Within minutes of opening the FTSE in London fell below its significant 5,000-point barrier. Britain's leading shares dropped for a second day as recession fears rose, with banks falling on concerns about short-term lending stress.

At 5.30pm UAE time last night, the index was still 1.85 per cent down, frequently hovering around the 5,000 mark, sometimes creeping over but then slipping back under. Lloyds Banking Group led the banking sector lower, down 5.2 per cent to feature on the FTSE 100's biggest losers' list.

Both France's and Germany's main indexes also suffered, with the CAC down 2.29 per cent in Paris and the DAX falling further to 3.40 per cent in Frankfurt, as it seemed a short-selling ban imposed on some of Europe's stock markets last week had had little impact.

It might have been worse but for news that the UK had posted a smaller budget deficit last month than economists had forecast, as taxes on profits and a new bank levy boosted government revenue.

Prospects of a possible eurobond reared their head again as Olli Rehn, the EU's economic and monetary affairs commissioner, said the region might present draft legislation along with a report on the feasibility of common bonds.

The MSCI World Index of equities was down 1.25 per cent. It has lost nearly 15 per cent since the start of the month, and saw $1.4 trillion (Dh5.14tn) being wiped off valuations on Thursday and early on Friday - equivalent to the size of the Spanish economy.

"It's a creditworthiness issue," Stephen Wood, who helps to oversee $163 billion as the New York-based chief market strategist for Russell Investments, said:. "Europe has significant structural issues. There's lack of decision-making and structure. The market is forcing them to deal with it."

Before the European markets opened, it was Asia's turn to hurt with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index falling 3.2 per cent to 119.22 in Tokyo, set to erase all its gains since the start of last year. The gauge is also headed for a fourth straight week of loss. About 12 stocks dropped for each that advanced on the index yesteday. South Korea's Kospi Index sank 6.2 per cent, its biggest slump since late 2008.

Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Averagelost 2.5 per cent, extending declines after an earthquake rattled buildings in Tokyo and triggered a tsunami alert for areas already affected by March's devastating earthquake and tsunami.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index declined 3.5 per cent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 3.1 per cent.

As stocks tumbled - and with it traders appetite for risk - so did the price of oil. Crude oil fell, heading for a fourth weekly decline, on concern that slower economic growth will reduce fuel demand. In New York, on the NYMEX index, oil fell below $80 a barrel for the first time in a week, though it rallied later.

"Sentiment has deteriorated significantly and swiftly over the past week," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital, a New York-based hedge fund that focuses on energy. "We're on the cusp of a recessionary environment globally, which is putting a damper on the demand outlook and being reflected in the oil price."

Once again traders headed for the havens as gold hit the latest in a long line of record highs. It rose to above $1,860 an ounce.

"The drivers of the gold price at this point in time are all future expectations, such as more global liquidity and worsening of the status quo in global GDP," said Bayram Dincer, an analyst at LGT Capital Management in Switzerland.

"Either the gold market has adopted a very negative, and in our opinion not justifiable, negative, Armageddon-like view, or it is building an irrational bubble."

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Libya's Gold

UN Panel of Experts found regime secretly sold a fifth of the country's gold reserves. 

The panel’s 2017 report followed a trail to West Africa where large sums of cash and gold were hidden by Abdullah Al Senussi, Qaddafi’s former intelligence chief, in 2011.

Cases filled with cash that was said to amount to $560m in 100 dollar notes, that was kept by a group of Libyans in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.

A second stash was said to have been held in Accra, Ghana, inside boxes at the local offices of an international human rights organisation based in France.

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Who's who in Yemen conflict

Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government

Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council

Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south

Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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  • Previously worked at The Guardian, BBC’s Newsnight programme and ITV News
  • Took up a public relations role for Chancellor Rishi Sunak in April 2020
  • In October 2020 she was hired to lead No 10’s planned daily televised press briefings
  • The idea was later scrapped and she was appointed spokeswoman for Cop26
  • Ms Stratton, 41, is married to James Forsyth, the political editor of The Spectator
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Director: Jon M Chu
Stars: Cynthia Erivo, Ariana Grande, Jonathan Bailey
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Uefa Nations League: How it Works

The Uefa Nations League, introduced last year, has reached its final stage, to be played over five days in northern Portugal. The format of its closing tournament is compact, spread over two semi-finals, with the first, Portugal versus Switzerland in Porto on Wednesday evening, and the second, England against the Netherlands, in Guimaraes, on Thursday.

The winners of each semi will then meet at Porto’s Dragao stadium on Sunday, with the losing semi-finalists contesting a third-place play-off in Guimaraes earlier that day.

Qualifying for the final stage was via League A of the inaugural Nations League, in which the top 12 European countries according to Uefa's co-efficient seeding system were divided into four groups, the teams playing each other twice between September and November. Portugal, who finished above Italy and Poland, successfully bid to host the finals.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
'Champions'

Director: Manuel Calvo
Stars: Yassir Al Saggaf and Fatima Al Banawi
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Key figures in the life of the fort

Sheikh Dhiyab bin Isa (ruled 1761-1793) Built Qasr Al Hosn as a watchtower to guard over the only freshwater well on Abu Dhabi island.

Sheikh Shakhbut bin Dhiyab (ruled 1793-1816) Expanded the tower into a small fort and transferred his ruling place of residence from Liwa Oasis to the fort on the island.

Sheikh Tahnoon bin Shakhbut (ruled 1818-1833) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further as Abu Dhabi grew from a small village of palm huts to a town of more than 5,000 inhabitants.

Sheikh Khalifa bin Shakhbut (ruled 1833-1845) Repaired and fortified the fort.

Sheikh Saeed bin Tahnoon (ruled 1845-1855) Turned Qasr Al Hosn into a strong two-storied structure.

Sheikh Zayed bin Khalifa (ruled 1855-1909) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further to reflect the emirate's increasing prominence.

Sheikh Shakhbut bin Sultan (ruled 1928-1966) Renovated and enlarged Qasr Al Hosn, adding a decorative arch and two new villas.

Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan (ruled 1966-2004) Moved the royal residence to Al Manhal palace and kept his diwan at Qasr Al Hosn.

Sources: Jayanti Maitra, www.adach.ae