Investors set to tap into data revolution


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Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (Scad) is seeking to convince more Government agencies in the emirate to share their information, as it bids to fill a void in public decision-making with meaningful data.

The centre is attempting to convince other government bodies that its methods represent a gold standard for quality.

It is also increasing the variety of statistical data published by the emirate, which will include quarterly GDP figures from next month.

"We're trying to build this kind of trust between the government and private sector," said Butti Ahmed Mohammed bin Butti Al Qubaisi, the director general of Scad, which is beginning a two-day international conference on the subject today.

At present, many government agencies compile their own statistics internally, which often lack the kind of statistical rigour or timeliness demanded by international investors.

"Transparency is very important and trust is very important," Mr Al Qubaisi added.

"The Statistics Centre has been in existence from 2009 but I think it's now one of the strongest players on the ground for our development, and to build this kind of decision-making and strategy it's very important to have this kind of reputation."

The drive to enable greater public access to data represents a significant step towards greater openness for Abu Dhabi, which launches many of its policies without any great fanfare and does not publish its own budget - giving access to its finances only to the IMF.

Both the Dubai Government and the federal Government publish financial information, although the level of detail varies.

However, federal institutions and the private sector are becoming more comfortable sharing information. The Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank have recently signed up the UAE's banks to share data as part of the Al Etihad Credit Bureau, in a move expected to reduce risks in the financial sector and make it easier for borrowers to access credit.

Scad currently publishes 544 different datapoints and is preparing to launch quarterly reports on GDP for the emirate next month, as the Government seeks better quality data on the local economy to drive investment.

A breakdown of economic activity in Abu Dhabi City, Al Ain and the Western Region is expected to follow next year.

The push towards greater disclosure of data was "fantastic" news for economists and investors looking towards the emirate, said Rachel Ziemba, the director of emerging markets at Roubini Global Economics.

"From a macroeconomic perspective it's definitely a positive," she said. "It's also something that's very important from a policy perspective to have that improved quality data to have an early warning sign on development."

Better data would also help the Government to benchmark its own activities better and assess where its policy drives are successful, Ms Ziemba added.

Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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