Anti-government protesters gather near the parliament building during a protest against power cuts, high cost of living and low purchasing power of the Lebanese pound, in Beirut. Photo: EPA
Anti-government protesters gather near the parliament building during a protest against power cuts, high cost of living and low purchasing power of the Lebanese pound, in Beirut. Photo: EPA
Anti-government protesters gather near the parliament building during a protest against power cuts, high cost of living and low purchasing power of the Lebanese pound, in Beirut. Photo: EPA
Anti-government protesters gather near the parliament building during a protest against power cuts, high cost of living and low purchasing power of the Lebanese pound, in Beirut. Photo: EPA

Lebanon meets with international agencies to assess economic recovery needs post Beirut blast


Deepthi Nair
  • English
  • Arabic

Representatives from the Lebanon government, civil society, the European Union and the United Nations met online to address the needs of poor households and assess recovery requirements in the aftermath of the Beirut port explosion, according to the World Bank.

The consultative group meeting focused on the reform, recovery and reconstruction framework (3RF), the Washington-based lender said in a statement.

The 3RF aims to ensure implementation of reforms to restore trust and improve governance; help form a people-centred recovery that addresses basic needs and restore their livelihoods; and to reconstruct critical assets, services and infrastructure that provides equal access to quality basic services for all.

Building on the framework launched by the EU, UN and the World Bank in December 2020, the meeting brought together 60 representatives from the Lebanon government (including Prime Minister Hassan Diab), civil society organisations, international donors and financing institutions to assess the needs and priorities for recovery interventions.

“The 3RF is fundamentally for the people, it is about meeting their critical needs, safeguarding their basic rights, giving them a voice and a place in policy making,” Najat Rochdi, UN deputy special co-ordinator, resident and humanitarian co-ordinator for Lebanon, said.

Lebanon is facing its worst economic crisis since its 1943 independence after defaulting on about $31 billion of Eurobonds and reeling under the impact of Covid-19. The Lebanese pound has lost more than 90 per cent of its value against the US dollar, while inflation soared as high as 146 per cent in December 2020, according to the country's Central Administration of Statistics. Annual inflation reached 85 per cent in 2020.

Lebanon government's talks with the International Monetary Fund for a $10bn bailout package have also stalled, delaying the required aid.

The meeting on Wednesday also took stock of the $314 million humanitarian assistance provided to date, the Washington-based lender said.

Members of the consultative group reviewed the reform priorities in the framework and stressed the urgency of adopting and implementing “credible reforms, which are essential to build back better and put Lebanon on the path of sustained recovery”.

They highlighted the need to weave in inclusion, gender equality and women’s empowerment, transparency and accountability, and a green recovery into the reforms process. The group also suggested that “a government be formed at the earliest opportunity” in Lebanon.

The 3RF is fundamentally for the people, it is about meeting their critical needs, safeguarding their basic rights, giving them a voice and a place in policy making

The members reviewed current financing needs, priorities and gaps in implementing the 3RF. The World Bank updated the group on the strategic priorities of the Lebanon Financing Facility, which was established to channel donor support directly to Lebanese people and businesses affected by the explosion.

Meanwhile, the Lebanon government committed to deliver on macroeconomic reforms, including progress with the IMF on macroeconomic stabilisation and restructuring of debt.

Other reforms proposed include the forensic audit of the central bank, banking sector reform, capital control, exchange rate unification and a credible path to fiscal sustainability, the statement said.

Lebanon's central bank has scuttled a forensic audit, refusing to provide the necessary information for review citing bank secrecy laws from the 1950s.

The government also expressed its commitment to prepare and approve the 2021 budget, incorporating a strong inclusive social protection programme, according to the World Bank.

Members of the consultative group emphasised the needs and priorities of vulnerable groups, in particular women, youth and people with disabilities; and the importance of adopting an area-based approach involving communities at neighbourhood level in building back greener and smarter, the statement added.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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