A survey of surveyors says demand for commercial property in the UAE is growing faster than anywhere else. Duncan Chard / Bloomberg News
A survey of surveyors says demand for commercial property in the UAE is growing faster than anywhere else. Duncan Chard / Bloomberg News
A survey of surveyors says demand for commercial property in the UAE is growing faster than anywhere else. Duncan Chard / Bloomberg News
A survey of surveyors says demand for commercial property in the UAE is growing faster than anywhere else. Duncan Chard / Bloomberg News

Demand for shops and offices up more in UAE than anywhere else in world


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Demand for shops and office space is increasing more in the UAE than anywhere else in the world, according to chartered surveyors.

A survey by the British-based Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors said demand for commercial property in the Emirates had risen to its highest level since 2008, ahead of rises in Thailand, Russia and the United States. However, there was still an oversupply in the UAE's commercial property market

The organisation found 48 per cent more of its UAE members reported that companies were looking to lease new shops and offices during the third quarter, compared with those reporting a fall in demand.

The study was based on responses from 942 surveyors around the world who were asked to gauge demand in their own markets, compared with the previous quarter.

Despite the surge in demand in the UAE, surveyors reported more empty offices and shops than there were businesses to fill them. A net 57 per cent more institute members reported an increase in available commercial space during the third quarter, compared with those reporting a fall.

Surveyors said they expected commercial rents would decline in the UAE. However, sentiment is improving, with fewer of those questioned during the third quarter expecting prices to drop.

The number of buyers hoping to invest in property in the UAE also increased during the quarter. According to institute members, demand from investors rose the third fastest in the world during the third quarter, behind Canada and Japan, with a net balance of 43 per cent reporting an increase.

Members were also optimistic about how the market will perform in the last three months of the year. According to the survey, a net balance of 40 per cent of UAE surveyors said demand would increase further, an improvement from 7 per cent the previous quarter.

A net 22 per cent of surveyors in the Emirates also reported that they expected capital values to increase in the coming quarter - the eighth-highest proportion of surveyors anywhere in the world and ranking behind places such as Russia, Brazil and Hong Kong.

"The improving economic picture in the UAE is likely to be lifting confidence in the domestic real estate market … Strong growth of key sectors such as tourism, commerce and retail will impact directly on the commercial sphere," said Simon Rubinsohn, the chief economist at the Royal Institute.

"The results of the survey are reflected by this, with strong gains in both occupier and investment demand. This turnaround is now shifting expectations for rents and capital values, which are no longer projected to fall."

Another way to earn air miles

In addition to the Emirates and Etihad programmes, there is the Air Miles Middle East card, which offers members the ability to choose any airline, has no black-out dates and no restrictions on seat availability. Air Miles is linked up to HSBC credit cards and can also be earned through retail partners such as Spinneys, Sharaf DG and The Toy Store.

An Emirates Dubai-London round-trip ticket costs 180,000 miles on the Air Miles website. But customers earn these ‘miles’ at a much faster rate than airline miles. Adidas offers two air miles per Dh1 spent. Air Miles has partnerships with websites as well, so booking.com and agoda.com offer three miles per Dh1 spent.

“If you use your HSBC credit card when shopping at our partners, you are able to earn Air Miles twice which will mean you can get that flight reward faster and for less spend,” says Paul Lacey, the managing director for Europe, Middle East and India for Aimia, which owns and operates Air Miles Middle East.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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If you go

The flights

Emirates flies from Dubai to Seattle from Dh5,555 return, including taxes. Portland is a 260 km drive from Seattle and Emirates offers codeshare flights to Portland with its partner Alaska Airlines.

The car

Hertz (www.hertz.ae) offers compact car rental from about $300 per week, including taxes. Emirates Skywards members can earn points on their car hire through Hertz.

Parks and accommodation

For information on Crater Lake National Park, visit www.nps.gov/crla/index.htm . Because of the altitude, large parts of the park are closed in winter due to snow. While the park’s summer season is May 22-October 31, typically, the full loop of the Rim Drive is only possible from late July until the end of October. Entry costs $25 per car for a day. For accommodation, see www.travelcraterlake.com. For information on Umpqua Hot Springs, see www.fs.usda.gov and https://soakoregon.com/umpqua-hot-springs/. For Bend, see https://www.visitbend.com/.

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Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants

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