Bahrain to remove meat subsidies from September 1 as cheap oil hits budget



Bahrain will remove government subsidies on meat from September 1, allowing domestic prices to rise, state news agency BNA reported as the government sought to save money as low oil prices pressure its budget.

Like other oil exporting Gulf states Bahrain has for many years subsidised goods and services such as meat, fuel and electricity and water, keeping prices ultra-low in an effort to buy social peace.

Since last year the subsidies have become increasingly difficult for governments to afford as oil prices have plunged, slashing export revenues. Bahrain, with much smaller oil and financial reserves than its Gulf neighbours, has been particularly hard hit.

So Bahrain has been examining possible subsidy cuts and the removal of subsidies from meat could eventually be followed by similar moves on other goods and services.

However, Bahraini citizens will be compensated for the higher meat prices, BNA quoted industry and commerce minister Zayed bin Rashed Al Zayani as saying late on Saturday.

Mr Zayani did not specify how much prices might rise by or give details of the compensation for citizens. Previously officials have said citizens would receive cash payments; foreigners, who comprise about half of Bahrain’s population of roughly 1.3 million, would not be compensated.

BNA quoted Mr Zayani as saying the removal of subsidies would help to stimulate meat imports into Bahrain by encouraging more importers to get involved. He did not elaborate.

Also Mr Zayani did not reveal how much money the government expected to save by removing meat subsidies. A state budget approved last month envisaged a deficit of 1.50 billion dinars in 2015, up from an originally planned deficit of 914 million dinars last year.

Passage of the budget was delayed by six months partly because parliament opposed the cabinet’s intention to cut subsidies. In the end the cabinet agreed to work with legislators and the Shura Council, a top advisory body, to overhaul the subsidy system.

Other Gulf states have also begun to reduce subsidies or are considering doing so. In the biggest reform to date, the United Arab Emirates cut subsidies for domestic sales of petrol this month.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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