Tesla has considered plans for exporting made-in-China electric vehicles to the United States and Canada, two people with knowledge of the planning told Reuters, a step that would connect its largest factory to North America, its largest market.
Tesla has been evaluating whether Model 3 and Model Y electric vehicles made in Gigafactory Shanghai could be sold in North America as soon as next year, according to the people, who declined to be named because the process was confidential.
Tesla's evaluation has included consideration of whether parts made by Tesla's China-based suppliers would be compliant with regulations in the US and Canada, they said.
The Shanghai plant has been working toward an initial plan for a small-batch test run of production of vehicles in the first quarter of 2023 that would be compliant with North American standards for potential export, one of the people said.
After Reuters published its article on Friday, Tesla chief executive Elon Musk, in a Twitter post, said "False" without elaborating.
Contacted by Reuters, representatives of Austin, Texas-based Tesla did not comment or clarify Mr Musk's remark. A Tesla representative in China responded with a screenshot of Musk's denial.
Reuters could not determine if Mr Musk's comment would affect the feasibility study Tesla had begun on exports from China to the US and Canada, or the implementation of the plan.
The review of potential exports to North America from Shanghai had been developing as recently as the past two weeks, according to the people who spoke to Reuters and a memo detailing some of the steps being taken by the Shanghai plant to test its readiness by early 2023 that was seen by Reuters.
Tesla would not be the first US automaker to ship made-in-China vehicles to the United States.
General Motors has imported the Buick Envision SUV and unsuccessfully petitioned for an exemption to 25 per cent US tariffs imposed by the Donald Trump administration.
Until now, Tesla's strategy has been to build the cars it sells in North America at its plants in Fremont, California, and Austin, Texas.
Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory has the capacity to produce 1.1 million electric vehicles per year after an upgrade earlier this year, making it Tesla's most productive manufacturing hub.
The Shanghai plant makes Model 3 sedans and Model Y crossovers to sell in China and for export to markets including Europe, Australia and South-east Asia.
Until recently, Tesla had been selling or shipping for export every vehicle it could produce in Shanghai, but inventory levels rose by their largest margin ever in October, according to data from brokerage CMBI.
In addition, factors including a cheaper yuan against the US dollar, lower raw material prices in China and the rise in Tesla and new-car prices in the US have combined to make exports from China to the US potentially cost-competitive, the people with knowledge of the plans said.
The US part of the export plan, if implemented, could create new complexity for Tesla buyers.
Under the terms of a new electric-vehicle subsidy and production-incentive plan signed into law by US President Joe Biden, the incentive available for an individual vehicle could vary depending on whether it was imported, analysts have said.
Tesla has been widely seen as one of the major beneficiaries of the Biden administration's Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which offers rebates of up to $7,500 on EV purchases as part of a law intended to push automakers to reduce their reliance on China.
Tesla said in a filing with the government of Ontario in July that it was working with officials there as part of an effort to set up "an advanced manufacturing facility" in Canada.
Tesla is also ramping up production at a plant it opened in Berlin earlier this year. Output from that plant will reduce the need for some exports from China, one of the sources said.
At the same time, the price gap between Tesla cars sold in China and the US has been widening, reflecting both higher US prices and new discounts in China. That means Tesla vehicles could potentially be exported to North America at a competitive price.
In China, where CMBI analysts have warned of a coming "price war", Tesla slashed the starter prices for Model 3 and Model Y in China by as much as 9 per cent last month.
On Monday, it offered an additional rebate for buyers who take delivery this month and buy insurance from one of Tesla's partners.
Tesla sells the Model Y for the equivalent of $49,344 in China, compared with the US price of $65,990.
China-made cars face a 27.5 per cent US tariff, while light-duty trucks face a 25 per cent tariff.
China, the world's largest auto market, imposes a 15 per cent tariff on imported vehicles.
In 2018, before Tesla's Shanghai plant was operating, Mr Musk had asked then-President Donald Trump to raise tariffs on cars imported to the US from China in order to achieve "a fair outcome" where both sides had equivalent and "equally moderate" tariffs.
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Our family matters legal consultant
Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Richard Flanagan
Chatto & Windus
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The Scale for Clinical Actionability of Molecular Targets
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