A blast of Arctic weather is set to increase the UK's demand for natural gas and test its energy networks in the final weeks of winter.
The Met Office warned of “cold and wintry” conditions across the country in the coming days.
Snow and ice warnings have been issued for large parts of the UK, including London, in the early part of the week, and unusually low temperatures are expected until Friday.
Wind power generation in the UK is expected to fall over the next three days, and temperatures in Scotland could be as much as 7°C below normal this week. The northern tier of the continent is also set to be unseasonably cold.
Timera Energy — which provides senior consulting expertise on value and risk in European gas and power markets — said in a note: “With a little under a month left of winter, the upside demand risk from a prolonged spell of cold weather is diminishing.
“Europe looks set to end winter with over 50 per cent of gas in store even if March temperatures turn out below normal.”
According to data from the National Grid, the country's forecast gas demand has risen by about 4 per cent since Friday.
Power and gas prices remain relatively unaffected for now, as gas storage levels on the continent remain higher than usual. A pipeline problem at the weekend has also kept more of the fuel in Britain than expected.
The UK lacks large gas storage sites and relies instead on a steady flow from its North Sea fields, from Norway and from global plants for liquefied natural gas.
Gas exports from Britain to mainland Europe were halted at the weekend due to an equipment problem. This meant more fuel could remain in the country to meet higher demand during the cold snap — despite some facilities that deliver gas to the UK being affected by power cut.
Despite the disruption to gas exports, Europe's liquefied natural gas imports remain strong. The US is shipping a record amount of the fuel with the restart of the Freeport LNG plant in Texas.
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Timeline
2012-2015
The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East
May 2017
The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts
September 2021
Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act
October 2021
Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence
December 2024
Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group
May 2025
The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan
July 2025
The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan
August 2025
Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision
October 2025
Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange
November 2025
180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE
Brief scoreline:
Wolves 3
Neves 28', Doherty 37', Jota 45' 2
Arsenal 1
Papastathopoulos 80'
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