Giant Iceberg on collision course with penguin island

Iceberg A68a threatens to cut off the feeding waters on the island of South Georgia in the Atlantic Ocean

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Iceberg A68a is on a slow journey to potential disaster.

The huge ice mass, which broke from the Antarctic's Larsen C ice shelf in July 2017, slid towards the open ocean for more than two years until it hit the powerful circumpolar current that circles the continent.

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That propelled the berg north-east through what scientists call "iceberg alley", and it is now headed straight for South Georgia Island, and could within days hit the remote outpost in the southern Atlantic teeming with wildlife.

epa08871051 An undated handout picture provided by the British Ministry of Defence (MoD) and taken from an A400M Atlas Royal Air Force (RAF) aircraft shows the first photographic evidence of one of the largest recorded icebergs floating near the island of South Georgia, South Atlantic to where it has transited from Antarctica. With a surface area of approximately 4,200 square kilometres, and longer and wider than South Georgia, and weighing hundreds of billions of tonnes, A68a is the largest section of A68, an iceberg which calved from the Larsen C Ice Shelf on the Antarctic Peninsula in July 2017. Ice debris has already started to break away, caused by A68a drifting through warmer waters near the South Orkney islands.  EPA/Cpl Phil Dye RAF/BRITISH MINISTRY OF DEFENCE/HANDOUT MANDATORY CREDIT: MOD/CROWN COPYRIGHT HANDOUT EDITORIAL USE ONLY/NO SALES
A picture provided by the British Ministry of Defence (MoD) and taken from an A400M Atlas Royal Air Force (RAF) aircraft shows the first photographic evidence of one of the largest recorded icebergs floating near the island of South Georgia, South Atlantic to where it has transited from Antarctica. EPA

At 4,200 square kilometres, the berg is bigger than Singapore or Luxembourg.

"There's nothing that's really been that large before in scientific history that we've seen coming up to South Georgia,” said Geraint Tarling, a biological oceanographer with the British Antarctic Survey.

UK researchers to study giant iceberg threatening penguins

UK researchers to study giant iceberg threatening penguins

"Normally we'd expect these icebergs to break apart in the open ocean."

Scientists say the iceberg could grind over the island's shelf, crushing underwater life. If it lodges at the island’s flank, it could remain a fixture for up to 10 years before the ice melts or breaks away, Mr Tarling said.

That could block some of the island’s two million penguins from reaching the water to feed their young. Melting freshwater could also make the waters inhospitable for phytoplankton and other creatures in the food chain.

A handout photograph released by the UK Ministry of Defence (MOD) on December 5, 2020 shows one of the largest recorded icebergs, the 4,200-sq-km block known as A68a, floating near the island of South Georgia, South Atlantic and revealing the steep vertical sides, approximately 30m high.
  The image, taken from an A400M Atlas, Royal Air Force aircraft shows the first photographic evidence of this gigantic mass of ice that has transited from Antartica.  - RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT  " AFP PHOTO / UK MOD / CROWN COPYRIGHT 2019/ CORPORAL PHIL DYE"  -  NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS   -   DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS  -  NO ARCHIVE - TO BE USED WITHIN 2 DAYS FROM DECEMBER 5 (48 HOURS), EXCEPT FOR MAGAZINES WHICH CAN PRINT THE PICTURE WHEN FIRST REPORTING ON THE EVENT
 / AFP / MOD / Handout / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT  " AFP PHOTO / UK MOD / CROWN COPYRIGHT 2019/ CORPORAL PHIL DYE"  -  NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS   -   DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS  -  NO ARCHIVE - TO BE USED WITHIN 2 DAYS FROM DECEMBER 5 (48 HOURS), EXCEPT FOR MAGAZINES WHICH CAN PRINT THE PICTURE WHEN FIRST REPORTING ON THE EVENT
A photograph released by the UK Ministry of Defence (MOD) on December 5, 2020 shows one of the largest recorded icebergs, the 4,200-sq-km block known as A68a, floating near the island of South Georgia, South Atlantic and revealing the steep vertical sides, approximately 30m high. EPA

A68a has the scientific community debating if its calving was a consequence of climate change, and whether more such monster bergs are to come.

The largest icebergs

There have been few larger icebergs in recent history, the biggest being B-15, which measured 11,000 square kilometres when it broke from Antarctica’s Ross Ice Shelf in March 2000.

Whether climate change was directly, or partially, responsible for destabilising Larsen C is a matter of debate, said Ted Scambos, a senior research scientist at the University of Colorado in Boulder.

Scientists have limited understanding of how the ice behaved historically, because satellite monitoring began only in recent decades, he said. And the continent is influenced by other variables, including strong winds and weather patterns in the tropics.

Antarctica is one of the fastest-warming places on Earth. Records show South Pole temperatures have risen at three times the rate of the global average over the past three decades.