Donald Trump constantly mentions his career as a businessman when he calls upon the American people to vote him into the White House. He says he would be better than a politician when it comes to doing “deals”, managing America’s balance sheet, “winning” and generally serving as the president of the United States.
At the weekend, Mr Trump told CNBC's Squawk Box that US trade deals, especially with China, Mexico and Japan, must be urgently renegotiated. They’re "disastrous”, he said, because “we used people who are political hacks”. Last year he said that “in many ways, building a great business is actually harder [than being president].”
It is a memorable boast and entirely consistent with Mr Trump’s oft-expressed admiration for himself and his corporate record. But how much does the business of government have to do with commerce? Or more specifically, are the skills used in business easily transportable to the task of governance?
These issues come up every time a businessman emerges on the stump in America, eating corn dogs in Iowa and vowing to bring to the White House their managerial efficiency and an eye focused on value creation, sales strategies, big branding ideas and savvy negotiating tactics.
There have been several failed attempts by businessmen seeking to recast themselves as able political managers.
In 2012, Mitt Romney ran a campaign that stressed his private sector expertise. Even though he had more recently been the moderately successful governor of Massachusetts, his supporters said that he learnt to solve big problems and expand opportunity at the private equity fund Bain Capital.
Twenty years earlier, there was tech billionaire Ross Perot. Still considered the richest man ever to have run for president, he got the highest number of popular votes of any third-party candidate since Teddy Roosevelt in 1912. He made much of his business acumen in a country faced with rising unemployment and a massive deficit, brashly declaring that only he could balance the budget, end the outsourcing of jobs and curb free trade. Somewhat like Mr Trump today, he said he could hear the “giant sucking sound” caused by the rush of manufacturing jobs to Mexico. And he insisted that he would run a campaign without "political pros".
Are professional politicians really so dispensable then? Would businessmen be better managers of the greater common good? The last businessman, and incidentally, the first MBA, to be president was George W Bush. He exited public life having added a huge amount to America’s national debt. Though the so-called War on Terror, which was initiated on his watch, may be described as exceptional circumstances, Mr Bush spent government money without any indication he knew the basics of business. He did not raise taxes or tap into other revenue streams to pay for America’s wars. And he never managed the art of the political deal in his eight years in office, leaving the country more politically polarised than ever.
In fact, some of America’s most successful modern presidents – Bill Clinton and Franklin Roosevelt, for example – had nothing to do with business. It’s been the same with successful, even transformational, leaders in other parts of the world. India’s first prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru insisted on the need to build dams and hold off on economic liberalisation until it learnt how to build most things and serve its domestic market. It was sound, if unbusinesslike, advice at the time. Then there was South Africa’s Nelson Mandela, who understood the moral branding and strength of genuine acts of magnanimity for his traumatised country.
Some years ago, The Economist examined the backgrounds of nearly 5,000 politicians in International Who's Who and discerned a pattern in the way countries reposed trust in their leaders.
African presidents, it said, generally won power after stints as military or guerrilla leaders. Indonesia went for generals because the army was seen as one of the few national institutions. In most democracies, lawyers dominated.
This is largely because lawyers often engage in considering the same issues as politicians – social justice, a fair society, liberty and security. For businessmen, these are not necessarily significant concerns, except in a limited sense to do with their company.
Robert Rubin, a former head of Goldman Sachs, who served in the Clinton White House and as treasury secretary, once said that he had developed “a deep respect for the differences between the public and private sectors.”
Business has a single overriding purpose, to make a profit, he added, while government “deals with a vast number of legitimate and often potentially competing objectives”.
Mr Trump’s most recent proposal to tackle US government debt – by borrowing more and renegotiating a lower payback, less than 100 cents for every dollar – is a case in point. The plan might make good business sense but not for US treasury bonds, until now a risk-free asset that underpins the global financial system.
The truth is business and government are entirely different streams and require very different skill sets. In business, the chief executive can stay aggressively focused on the bottom line. A political leader has to balance both the budget and the vision for tomorrow. It is the rare individual who excels both at business and the business of government.
Rashmee Roshan Lall is a writer on world affairs
On Twitter: @rashmeerl
Indoor cricket in a nutshell
Indoor Cricket World Cup - Sept 16-20, Insportz, Dubai
16 Indoor cricket matches are 16 overs per side
8 There are eight players per team
9 There have been nine Indoor Cricket World Cups for men. Australia have won every one.
5 Five runs are deducted from the score when a wickets falls
4 Batsmen bat in pairs, facing four overs per partnership
Scoring In indoor cricket, runs are scored by way of both physical and bonus runs. Physical runs are scored by both batsmen completing a run from one crease to the other. Bonus runs are scored when the ball hits a net in different zones, but only when at least one physical run is score.
Zones
A Front net, behind the striker and wicketkeeper: 0 runs
B Side nets, between the striker and halfway down the pitch: 1 run
C Side nets between halfway and the bowlers end: 2 runs
D Back net: 4 runs on the bounce, 6 runs on the full
KILLING OF QASSEM SULEIMANI
Europe’s rearming plan
- Suspend strict budget rules to allow member countries to step up defence spending
- Create new "instrument" providing €150 billion of loans to member countries for defence investment
- Use the existing EU budget to direct more funds towards defence-related investment
- Engage the bloc's European Investment Bank to drop limits on lending to defence firms
- Create a savings and investments union to help companies access capital
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Tips from the expert
Dobromir Radichkov, chief data officer at dubizzle and Bayut, offers a few tips for UAE residents looking to earn some cash from pre-loved items.
- Sellers should focus on providing high-quality used goods at attractive prices to buyers.
- It’s important to use clear and appealing photos, with catchy titles and detailed descriptions to capture the attention of prospective buyers.
- Try to advertise a realistic price to attract buyers looking for good deals, especially in the current environment where consumers are significantly more price-sensitive.
- Be creative and look around your home for valuable items that you no longer need but might be useful to others.