The road to hell is paved with good intentions



It is one of the bitter ironies of life for citizens of many of the world's largest energy-exporting nations that they often live shrouded in darkness. While many in the developed world barely think twice about flicking on the lights thanks to energy supplied from Iraq, Iran, Angola or Nigeria, millions in those countries have no such luxury. The reasons differ in each case, but can often be explained by bad government policies based on good intentions. And there is a lesson here for the Emirates.

Soon after their inception, governments that depend almost entirely on revenues from exploiting natural resources naturally act on a moral obligation to pass on this blessing to their citizens. To encourage the widest possible distribution of their resource wealth, public servants fix the price of energy, whether petrol, kerosene, cooking gas or electricity, at rates far below those prevalent in the world market.

Bargain energy brings first-world luxury to the doorstep of these emerging economies. Symbols of wealth and modernity - the car and the air conditioner - come within the reach of the masses. Industries flock in to take advantage of low operating costs. But the distorting effects on the national economy soon emerge. Cheap fuel means people have no incentive to conserve energy or use public transport. It is no coincidence that these countries often suffer from some of the world's worst traffic jams. Low prices are an incentive to smuggle fuel to territories where prices are higher, increasing demand and costs to the state. And, of course, there is no incentive to develop alternatives.

In Iran and Venezuela, for example, subsidies on fuel and power are so large and growing so fast that they drain money away from spending on health care, education and infrastructure. In Iran, the government has had to impose fuel rationing to limit the damage to its budget. In Venezuela, fuel subsidies of US$12 billion (Dh44bn) last year were at least double the government's total investment in its oil and gas industry. Both countries now need export prices close to $100 a barrel just to balance their budgets, partly because spending has become so inflated by subsidies.

They cannot raise pump prices at home because, rightly or wrongly, many of their citizens believe they deliver little else; a withdrawal of subsidies is perceived as another cynical attempt by a wasteful government to consume more of the national cake. The result is simply a withdrawal of service in the form of blackouts, rationing and queues at petrol stations. Cheap natural gas and power have equally deleterious effects, and these are clearly at work in the Emirates today. Low gas prices have attracted many energy-intensive industries to the country, but now the talk in the industry is of an imminent gas shortage. For a country with the world's fifth-largest reserves of gas and only four million inhabitants, this is hard to believe.

The shortage is more precisely a price crisis. The government's price for gas is less than $1 per million British thermal unit (btu), versus a free market price of $15. This explains why companies are not queuing up to offer more of the stuff. Qatar has politely declined to discuss increasing gas supplies through the newly constructed Dolphin pipeline to Taweelah, and another supply line from Iran to Sharjah has stood empty for two years because of a disagreement over price.

The lack of new energy supply has become so acute in Dubai, whose oil and gas resources are drying up, that it has signed up to import liquefied natural gas in tankers from Qatar at a price up to 20 times higher than the nation's domestic rate. We can only assume the difference will absorbed by the public purse since power prices are only inching up. The solution is not an energy shock in the form of a total liberalisation of the UAE energy market, but a gradual reduction of subsidies on fossil fuels combined with more spending on conservation and investment in alternatives. This will soften the blow of higher energy prices while encouraging a more sustainable energy future.

Abu Dhabi has already joined the hunt for alternatives with its Masdar initiative to build the world's first zero-carbon city. A factory to produce solar cells is due to break ground in the desert later this month which will create power at almost 10 times the cost of domestic gas. Subsidies in this case will open doors to a new technology that might one day take over from fossil fuels. The Emirates is faced with the same dangers as all energy exporters, but does not have to repeat their painful experience. They can deliver a lot more than cheap fuel for the masses. The first step is to start reducing subsidies and raise the price of domestic energy closer to the market rate.

tashby@thenational.ae

How to protect yourself when air quality drops

Install an air filter in your home.

Close your windows and turn on the AC.

Shower or bath after being outside.

Wear a face mask.

Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.

If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.

Email sent to Uber team from chief executive Dara Khosrowshahi

From: Dara

To: Team@

Date: March 25, 2019 at 11:45pm PT

Subj: Accelerating in the Middle East

Five years ago, Uber launched in the Middle East. It was the start of an incredible journey, with millions of riders and drivers finding new ways to move and work in a dynamic region that’s become so important to Uber. Now Pakistan is one of our fastest-growing markets in the world, women are driving with Uber across Saudi Arabia, and we chose Cairo to launch our first Uber Bus product late last year.

Today we are taking the next step in this journey—well, it’s more like a leap, and a big one: in a few minutes, we’ll announce that we’ve agreed to acquire Careem. Importantly, we intend to operate Careem independently, under the leadership of co-founder and current CEO Mudassir Sheikha. I’ve gotten to know both co-founders, Mudassir and Magnus Olsson, and what they have built is truly extraordinary. They are first-class entrepreneurs who share our platform vision and, like us, have launched a wide range of products—from digital payments to food delivery—to serve consumers.

I expect many of you will ask how we arrived at this structure, meaning allowing Careem to maintain an independent brand and operate separately. After careful consideration, we decided that this framework has the advantage of letting us build new products and try new ideas across not one, but two, strong brands, with strong operators within each. Over time, by integrating parts of our networks, we can operate more efficiently, achieve even lower wait times, expand new products like high-capacity vehicles and payments, and quicken the already remarkable pace of innovation in the region.

This acquisition is subject to regulatory approval in various countries, which we don’t expect before Q1 2020. Until then, nothing changes. And since both companies will continue to largely operate separately after the acquisition, very little will change in either teams’ day-to-day operations post-close. Today’s news is a testament to the incredible business our team has worked so hard to build.

It’s a great day for the Middle East, for the region’s thriving tech sector, for Careem, and for Uber.

Uber on,

Dara

While you're here
It’ll be summer in the city as car show tries to move with the times

If 2008 was the year that rocked Detroit, 2019 will be when Motor City gives its annual car extravaganza a revamp that aims to move with the times.

A major change is that this week's North American International Auto Show will be the last to be held in January, after which the event will switch to June.

The new date, organisers said, will allow exhibitors to move vehicles and activities outside the Cobo Center's halls and into other city venues, unencumbered by cold January weather, exemplified this week by snow and ice.

In a market in which trends can easily be outpaced beyond one event, the need to do so was probably exacerbated by the decision of Germany's big three carmakers – BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Audi – to skip the auto show this year.

The show has long allowed car enthusiasts to sit behind the wheel of the latest models at the start of the calendar year but a more fluid car market in an online world has made sales less seasonal.

Similarly, everyday technology seems to be catching up on those whose job it is to get behind microphones and try and tempt the visiting public into making a purchase.

Although sparkly announcers clasp iPads and outline the technical gadgetry hidden beneath bonnets, people's obsession with their own smartphones often appeared to offer a more tempting distraction.

“It's maddening,” said one such worker at Nissan's stand.

The absence of some pizzazz, as well as top marques, was also noted by patrons.

“It looks like there are a few less cars this year,” one annual attendee said of this year's exhibitors.

“I can't help but think it's easier to stay at home than to brave the snow and come here.”

LAST-16 FIXTURES

Sunday, January 20
3pm: Jordan v Vietnam at Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
6pm: Thailand v China at Hazza bin Zayed Stadium, Al Ain
9pm: Iran v Oman at Mohamed bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Monday, January 21
3pm: Japan v Saudi Arabia at Sharjah Stadium
6pm: Australia v Uzbekistan at Khalifa bin Zayed Stadium, Al Ain
9pm: UAE v Kyrgyzstan at Zayed Sports City Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Tuesday, January 22
5pm: South Korea v Bahrain at Rashid Stadium, Dubai
8pm: Qatar v Iraq at Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi

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Living in...

This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Airev
Started: September 2023
Founder: Muhammad Khalid
Based: Abu Dhabi
Sector: Generative AI
Initial investment: Undisclosed
Investment stage: Series A
Investors: Core42
Current number of staff: 47