A number of UK-based banks have been putting in place contingency plans in the event that no deal is reached with the EU. Simon Dawson / Bloomberg News
A number of UK-based banks have been putting in place contingency plans in the event that no deal is reached with the EU. Simon Dawson / Bloomberg News

Lobby group urges 'ambitious' Brexit trade deal



A leading financial lobby group in Britain has urged negotiators to take an “ambitious approach” towards a new trade agreement between the EU and the UK after Brexit.

The report by UK Finance, entitled “Supporting Europe’s Economies and Citizens”, acknowledges that past and current free trade agreements have often “fallen short” when it comes to the market in financial services.

But it argues that given the similarities between EU and UK regulations, it could be possible to create an agreement which would allow financial firms on both sides to continue offering services into each other’s markets after Britain leaves the union in March 2019.

The report as comes the UK government faces growing pressure to strike a swift deal with the EU in order to reassure firms and prevent a costly exodus of banks and jobs to the continent.

On Thursday, the UK's Brexit secretary David Davis outlined his hopes for a deal that "allows for the freest possible trade in goods and services".

In a speech in Berlin, he also said he thought it "incredibly unlikely" there would be no deal.

However, with Brexit talks in Brussels deadlocked over the issue of the so-called “divorce bill”, a number of banks have already moved ahead with contingency plans.

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Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Citigroup and Standard Chartered are just a few of the institutions which have revealed plans to shift some of their operations out of London as Brexit approaches.

They fear a loss of passporting rights, which enables lenders to sell their services across the 28-nation bloc. Once Britain leaves the EU, it is almost guaranteed to lose those rights, which will put UK based financial firms at a disadvantage if they wish to continue accessing customers and carrying out activities in Europe.

The report by UK Finance recognises that once Britain is outside the EU single market, it cannot continue to receive the exact same privileges of a single market member.

"The UK’s exit from the EU will transform the provision of financial services between the two parties from a relationship based on a deeply integrated EU single market finance supply chain to one based on trade between two separate jurisdictions," it says.

"For the tens of thousands of EU and UK customers and millions of financial transactions currently relying on cross-border services, this is a significant and potentially disruptive change."

It also acknowledges that in the past, free trade agreements have fallen short in the area of cross-border trade in financial services compared to the EU single market.

However, “the fact that the EU and the UK start from a position of complete regulatory convergence and deep market integration rather than on a third country basis makes the future partnership unlike any other existing arrangement,” the report says.

Urging an “ambitious approach”, the report’s authors suggest that it is possible to create a model for cross-border financial services trade after Brexit, while still allowing the EU and the UK to maintain their own separate regulatory regimes.

For such a model to work, a number of things must happen, the report argues. Firstly, there should be mutual recognition of the regulatory approaches of the two sides. And secondly, there needs to be a high level of regulatory and supervisory cooperation between the EU and the UK.

Ensuring that the trade in financial services can continue will also rely heavily on continued free movement of workers, the report said.

"All services are delivered by people, and the freedom of people to move between countries will often be integral to realising the kinds of commitments to open trade [mentioned in the report]."

It adds: "An EU-UK FTA should provide for comprehensive agreements on temporary movement between the two markets for business purposes, unless such short-term travel to, and temporary presence in, the other market is covered by a wider agreement between the EU and the UK on freedom of movement of persons between the two sides."

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Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

The advice provided in our columns does not constitute legal advice and is provided for information only. Readers are encouraged to seek independent legal advice.

EMIRATES'S REVISED A350 DEPLOYMENT SCHEDULE

Edinburgh: November 4 (unchanged)

Bahrain: November 15 (from September 15); second daily service from January 1

Kuwait: November 15 (from September 16)

Mumbai: January 1 (from October 27)

Ahmedabad: January 1 (from October 27)

Colombo: January 2 (from January 1)

Muscat: March 1 (from December 1)

Lyon: March 1 (from December 1)

Bologna: March 1 (from December 1)

Source: Emirates

Brief scoreline:

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Huddersfield 0

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Day 2, Dubai Test: At a glance

Moment of the day Pakistan’s effort in the field had hints of shambles about it. The wheels were officially off when Wahab Riaz lost his run up and aborted the delivery four times in a row. He re-measured his run, jogged in for two practice goes. Then, when he was finally ready to go, he bailed out again. It was a total cringefest.

Stat of the day – 139.5 Yasir Shah has bowled 139.5 overs in three innings so far in this Test series. Judged by his returns, the workload has not withered him. He has 14 wickets so far, and became history’s first spinner to take five-wickets in an innings in five consecutive Tests. Not bad for someone whose fitness was in question before the series.

The verdict Stranger things have happened, but it is going to take something extraordinary for Pakistan to keep their undefeated record in Test series in the UAE in tact from this position. At least Shan Masood and Sami Aslam have made a positive start to the salvage effort.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”