French President Nicolas Sarkozy delivers the opening speech of the G20 conference on development, in Paris, France. Ian Langsdon / EPA
French President Nicolas Sarkozy delivers the opening speech of the G20 conference on development, in Paris, France. Ian Langsdon / EPA
French President Nicolas Sarkozy delivers the opening speech of the G20 conference on development, in Paris, France. Ian Langsdon / EPA
French President Nicolas Sarkozy delivers the opening speech of the G20 conference on development, in Paris, France. Ian Langsdon / EPA

Investors hope for breakthrough as critical EU debt summit starts


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European leaders gather today for a crunch EU summit as investors cling to hopes the talks will point towards progress in stemming the euro zone's debt woes.

The gathering is likely to signal whether the 17-member currency bloc can overcome crucial differences on how to bolster the region's €440 billion (Dh2.24 trillion) rescue fund.

"Pressure for action is growing," said Ben May, a European economist at Capital Economics in London. "There will need to be a big increase in the European Financial Stability Facility [EFSF] if it's to be effective enough in easing the crisis."

Euro-zone leaders are striving to achieve a breakthrough in easing the sovereign-debt crisis before the leaders of the Group of 20 leading and emerging economies gather in Cannes next month. The increasing urgency has already led to a hastily arranged further summit on Wednesday.

It follows indications that officials are unlikely to agree today to enlarging the EFSF.

At the heart of the debt debate is a split of opinion over the future of the EFSF. On the one side, France, Spain and Belgium are among governments that believe it should be transformed into a bank, enabling the facility to gain extra resources from the European Central Bank.

But Germany, the euro zone's largest economy, remains opposed to the idea. It is also reluctant to raise the size of guarantees to the facility to boost its credibility. Instead, progress is more likely on less contentious proposals required to help steady the euro zone.

Support appears to be growing for a proposal that holders of Greek debt need to take a 50 per cent haircut.

An assessment by the European Banking Authority that banks require an €80bn capital injection has also gathered agreement.

European markets ended the week in positive territory as optimism rose about the outcome of the summit.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbed 2.5 per cent to 238.79 at the close in London on Friday, taking the index to its longest run of weekly gains this year.

But leaders have been careful to try to manage expectations. Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, and Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president, on Thursday released a statement saying no decisions would be made by today.

They pledged, however, to produce a "global and ambitious" plan at the meeting to be held on Wednesday.

The gathering follows another testing week in the euro zone.

Greece was on Friday evening given a lifeline after the approval of €8bn to help it stave off bankruptcy. The loan will be issued in the first half of next month, subject to approval by the IMF, according to a statement from European finance ministers.

The Greek parliament had earlier passed the latest round of austerity measures.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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