Air travel has plummeted during the pandemic. Reuters
Air travel has plummeted during the pandemic. Reuters
Air travel has plummeted during the pandemic. Reuters
Air travel has plummeted during the pandemic. Reuters

Pandemic pushes EasyJet to first loss in 25-year history


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EasyJet plunged to a £1.27 billion ($1.68 billion) loss in the 12 months to the end of September, showing the extent of the impact of the pandemic on the British low-cost airline, which had never before made an annual loss in its 25-year history.

With travel at anaemic levels during the second wave of the virus in Europe, easyJet said quarterly cash burn, a key metric watched by investors keen to see costs reduced, improved to £651 million from £774 million in the previous period.

EasyJet also said on Tuesday that after talks with the Bank of England and the UK government's finance ministry, it will extend its borrowing under a Covid Corporate Finance Facility, staggering repayments and relieving pressure on its balance sheet.

The airline has repeatedly said it is keeping its liquidity position under review as the outlook for travel has worsened.

The reported annual loss before tax of £1.27 billion compared to the £430 million profit it made in the previous year. On a headline basis, it made a loss of £835 million, in line with an October forecast.

It is currently flying around 20 per cent of planned capacity and said short-term uncertainty was such that it could not provide any financial guidance.

To survive the pandemic so far, the airline has raised over £1 billion from sale and leaseback deals for its aircraft, taken a £600 million loan from the government, cut 4,500 jobs, and tapped shareholders for £419 million, and has said it could need to do more.

Speaking on BBC's Radio 4 Today programme, EasyJet chief executive Johan Lundgren said news that two vaccines were proven at being effective was positive, but that it was too early to tell when the airline industry would recover.

"We know that [the vaccine] is going to be a very critical part of the recovery going forward," he said.

"But it’s not only about the vaccine, we need to have testing in place, we need to have a refined quarantine system."

Adam Vettese, analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro, said the aviation industry has has its "toughest year" due to the Covid disruption.

“The situation has been so dire that there will almost certainly be airlines out there at the moment that wonder if they will survive without a swift return to normality. However, easyJet is not one of those. Despite posting its first ever loss, it is incredibly bullish about its prospects," he said.

“While its debt has piled up during coronavirus, easyJet has slashed costs, has plenty of access to liquidity and is cherry-picking the flights it knows will make it money while capacity is reduced. For those reasons it is among the strongest of European carriers and therefore will weather this storm better than most."

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Sting & Shaggy

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(Interscope)