A masked woman crosses a quiet Westminster Bridge in London with the Houses of Parliament in the background. Significant boundary changes to MPs' constituencies are in the pipeline. EPA
A masked woman crosses a quiet Westminster Bridge in London with the Houses of Parliament in the background. Significant boundary changes to MPs' constituencies are in the pipeline. EPA
A masked woman crosses a quiet Westminster Bridge in London with the Houses of Parliament in the background. Significant boundary changes to MPs' constituencies are in the pipeline. EPA
A masked woman crosses a quiet Westminster Bridge in London with the Houses of Parliament in the background. Significant boundary changes to MPs' constituencies are in the pipeline. EPA

Changes to UK constituency boundaries set to benefit the ruling Conservatives


Thomas Harding
  • English
  • Arabic

Britain's ruling Conservative Party will see its electoral chances enhanced significantly, with 10 more MPs potentially added after boundary changes are introduced for the next general election.

While Parliament will retain a total of 650 members, more constituencies will be created in areas that favour the Tories.
Parts of northern England, Wales and Scotland will lose seats, as they now have fewer voters owing to population shifts. Wales will lose up to eight seats and Scotland three, although both countries have their own devolved assemblies providing a degree of self-government.

The Office for National Statistics on Tuesday released the latest population figures for each constituency, showing some broad differences in voter numbers. For example, in the east London constituency of West Ham there are 98,000 registered voters, compared to 55,000 in Wirral West, near Liverpool.

The UK smallest constituency of Arfon in Wales has even fewer voters, with only 42,000 registered.

The UK's Boundary Commission will examine the numbers in detail and decide where to alter electoral boundaries in time for the next election expected in 2024.

Some electoral experts believe the change is well overdue, with some MPs overwhelmed by constituent queries, while others representing less populated areas have less work to do.

"If you go back to the early 19th century, things were getting very unbalanced with big new towns like Birmingham and Manchester having very few MPs and tiny places that were falling into the sea still having two members each," electoral expert Martin Baker told The National. "By 2020 it was clear that a fair bit of the population had moved away from northern England towards southern England."

Under the Parliamentary Constituencies Act, all 650 areas will be redrawn, with around 73,000 voters each. The last change took place in 2010 based on data from 2000.

However, the changes will adversely affect the Labour Party, which needs to gain 124 seats to form a majority government in the next election.

While the number of London seats will increase by a handful, favouring Labour, the South East is expected to gain seven and the South West three, with both areas strong in Tory voters.

“Although all this is very fair and part of good electoral governance, it will benefit the Conservative Party,” said Mr Baxter, founder of the website Electoral Calculus. “The government is putting it forward with probably two thoughts in their head. One is the right thing to do administratively and secondly it doesn’t do them any harm.

"The key thing is that the decision in the end still rests with the people of the United Kingdom, they get to choose the MPs that go to Westminster and this really just enables their choice to be made more fairly.”

MPs will no longer be able to vote on the current plans, so it will be left to political parties to influence any changes to the electoral map. Many members will attempt to stop their seats disappearing or boundary changes that might result in them losing comfortable majorities – MPs from the same party in neighbouring constituencies might even start lobbying against each other in the interests of self-preservation.

“There won’t be a row as such, but there will be, no question, political manoeuvrings,” said Robert Hayward, a Conservative psephology expert. “The target for the parties is to produce the largest number of seats in a close election. They don’t want massively safe seats.”

Reviews of parliamentary constituencies are carried out by independent boundary commissions. The government said the updated borders would reflect "significant changes in demographics, housebuilding and migration".

A plan to use the boundary changes to reduce the number of MPs from 650 to around 600 has been shelved.

School counsellors on mental well-being

Schools counsellors in Abu Dhabi have put a number of provisions in place to help support pupils returning to the classroom next week.

Many children will resume in-person lessons for the first time in 10 months and parents previously raised concerns about the long-term effects of distance learning.

Schools leaders and counsellors said extra support will be offered to anyone that needs it. Additionally, heads of years will be on hand to offer advice or coping mechanisms to ease any concerns.

“Anxiety this time round has really spiralled, more so than from the first lockdown at the beginning of the pandemic,” said Priya Mitchell, counsellor at The British School Al Khubairat in Abu Dhabi.

“Some have got used to being at home don’t want to go back, while others are desperate to get back.

“We have seen an increase in depressive symptoms, especially with older pupils, and self-harm is starting younger.

“It is worrying and has taught us how important it is that we prioritise mental well-being.”

Ms Mitchell said she was liaising more with heads of year so they can support and offer advice to pupils if the demand is there.

The school will also carry out mental well-being checks so they can pick up on any behavioural patterns and put interventions in place to help pupils.

At Raha International School, the well-being team has provided parents with assessment surveys to see how they can support students at home to transition back to school.

“They have created a Well-being Resource Bank that parents have access to on information on various domains of mental health for students and families,” a team member said.

“Our pastoral team have been working with students to help ease the transition and reduce anxiety that [pupils] may experience after some have been nearly a year off campus.

"Special secondary tutorial classes have also focused on preparing students for their return; going over new guidelines, expectations and daily schedules.”

Defence review at a glance

• Increase defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027 but given “turbulent times it may be necessary to go faster”

• Prioritise a shift towards working with AI and autonomous systems

• Invest in the resilience of military space systems.

• Number of active reserves should be increased by 20%

• More F-35 fighter jets required in the next decade

• New “hybrid Navy” with AUKUS submarines and autonomous vessels

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