China vows to help euro zone nations out of predicament



BEIJING // The Chinese premier yesterday said his country would do more to help the euro zone dig itself out of its sovereign debt crisis, but following talks with European Union leaders he made no public commitments to offer bailout funds.

Wen Jiabao said China would "increase its participation in resolving the EU debt problems" after meeting the European Council president, Herman Van Rompuy, and the European Commission president, José Manuel Barroso, in Beijing.

Mr Wen did not promise Beijing would invest any of its US$410 billion (Dh1.47 trillion) sovereign wealth fund in a planned €500bn (Dh2.42 trillion) euro-zone bailout fund.

He had indicated this month that China might offer bailout funds or provide assistance through the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and analysts speculated a commitment to do this might be made at the summit.

Mr Van Rompuy told journalists that China and the EU had "agreed to cooperate" on matters linked to the deepening euro-zone crisis.

"It is up to China to make its own decision in order to contribute to the stability of the euro zone," he said.

Portugal, Spain and Italy have been downgraded in recent days by the credit ratings agency Moody's, and there have been warnings the same could happen to Austria, France and the United Kingdom, which is not in the euro zone.

Riots over austerity measures have rocked heavily indebted Greece. In Athens, dozens of buildings were burnt over the weekend amid anger over spending cuts. Late on Sunday, legislators there approved a budget aimed at cutting spending to avoid bankruptcy and allow a second bailout. More than 170 people were hurt in Athens, where clean-up operations continued yesterday, while other cities in Greece also saw turbulence.

Given the level of China-Europe trade, about €560bn last year, the euro-zone crisis has the potential to significantly affect China's economy, with the IMF warning it could cut Chinese economic growth in half.

Donna Kwok, an economist focusing on China for HSBC bank, said a collapse in western demand for Chinese goods was one of the two biggest threats facing the Chinese economy this year, the other being a possible collapse in the domestic housing market.

"If financial market turbulence associated with the sovereign debt crisis does not abate by mid-year, any spillover effect upon economies in the US and elsewhere in Asia would weigh heavily on [Chinese] mainland growth," she said.

Also yesterday, Mr Wen hit back at criticism of China's recent veto along with Russia of a UN Security Council resolution aimed at stemming the repression of dissent by the Syrian government.

"China is absolutely not protecting any party, including the government of Syria. The future of Syria is for the Syrian people to decide," he said.

Mr Van Rompuy said the EU supported Arab League efforts to stem the violence and, in a veiled plea to China and Russia, called on UN Security Council members to "act responsibly".

As the United States and EU continue to try to pressure Iran over its nuclear programme by enforcing an embargo on oil sales, Mr Van Rompuy said he told Mr Wen of Europe's "deep concern" and insisted sanctions were aimed at bringing Tehran back to the negotiating table.

The euro-zone crisis was likely to remain a talking point as the China-EU summit continues today when Mr Van Rompuy and Mr Barroso meet the Chinese president, Hu Jintao.

Yesterday's discussions in Beijing came as the Chinese vice president, Xi Jinping, was due to hold talks in Washington with the US president, Barack Obama.

Mr Xi, expected to take over as communist party chief this year and president in early 2013, will also visit Iowa and Los Angeles before travelling to the Republic of Ireland and Turkey.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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