Public bonds may be issued



ABU DHABI // The FNC voted yesterday to pass a public debt law that could pave the way for the federal government to issue its own sovereign bonds.

But members stalled the session for hours to remove a provision they said would force the government to guarantee all banks.

The public debt law will now have to gain presidential approval.

The law sets a ceiling for the level of government debt at 25 per cent of GDP, or Dh200 billion, whichever is less.

A maximum of 15 per cent of public debt can be used to fund infrastructure projects.

An earlier version of the law passed last year limited debt to 45 per cent of GDP, or Dh300bn.

The legislation regulates public debt, allowing the government to use it as a tool to fund infrastructure projects and regulate the financial market.

The law creates a public debt management office that would advise the government on financial risk, propose public debt policy, and help manage federal bonds.

Obaid al Tayer, the Minister of State for Financial Affairs, said after the session that it was "possible" for the UAE to issue federal bonds either late in 2011 or in early 2012, but that the federal government had not discussed the issue.

He said the federal bonds would be used to finance the deficit only if it was necessary.

Other options to finance the deficit included the country dipping into its monetary reserves or using returns on investment from entities such as the Emirates Investment Authority.

"We have been working in anticipation for the law, so once the law is ready we will start," he said.

Mr al Tayer said the estimates for revenue and spending that the government disclosed represented a "worst-case" scenario, and that the finance ministry had been conservative in its revenue estimates.

He said the government was "absolutely not concerned" with the level of the deficit - Dh3 billion - which he said was tiny.

FNC members stalled the bill for hours because they claimed a provision in the law meant the UAE would have to guarantee all foreign banks operating in the country.

Mr al Tayer repeatedly tried to explain that the provision would not be a guarantee of all banks, but rather that it would allow the Government to step in if the financial system was facing a serious threat.

The FNC voted to remove the provision.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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