Coronavirus: what does a 'presumptive positive' PCR test result mean?


Gillian Duncan
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The polymerase chain reaction, or PCR, test is considered to be the gold standard for a Covid-19 diagnosis.

A positive result means you probably have Covid-19, whereas a negative test means you more than likely did not have the virus at the time of testing.

But there is a third possible result: PP, or presumptive positive. But what does that mean?

The National explains.

What is a PCR test?

It seeks to detect the presence of the Sars-CoV-2 virus, which causes Covid-19.

Sample collection is done using a swab on a long stick to collect respiratory material found inside the nose.

The sample is then sealed in a tube and sent off for analysis.

What happens next?

The lab performs a procedure called extraction, where they isolate genetic material from the sample to check if any virus is present.

Special chemicals are then used to create a reaction that makes millions of copies of a portion of the Sars-Cov-2 virus’s genetic material. One chemical creates a reaction that lights up in a fluorescent colour if the virus is detected.

What does a PP, or presumptive positive, result mean?

The result is inconclusive.

"It might be positive but it needs to be repeated again in three days," said Dr Engy Iskandar, a specialist in internal medicine at Dubai's International Modern Hospital.

"In Covid-19 tests, they look for several genes. If they find only one it means it is presumptive positive and it is not confirmed yet."

Doctors said all PCR testing looks for genes specific to Covid-19, but tests could pick up those in general coronaviruses too.

"A presumptive positive result indicates that not all genes were detected," said Dr Heba Sami, head of laboratory and consultant clinical pathologist at Saudi German Hospital, Ajman.

Once the presumptive positive result is obtained, the patient should self-quarantine and repeat the test within 72 hours

Perhaps genes specific to general coronaviruses were detected only. But it could alternatively indicate a low viral load, doctors said.

“As per National Crisis and Emergency Management Authority (NCEMA) guidelines provided by Dubai Health Authority, presumptive positive means only one of the multiple genes is isolated, or a low viral load is possible,” said Dr Surbhi Gupta, a specialist in clinical pathology at NMC Royal Hospital in Dubai.

At any event, anyone who receives this result should immediately begin quarantining and repeat the test in three days.

“Once the presumptive positive result is obtained, the patient should self-quarantine and repeat the test within 72 hours," Dr Gupta said.

Do all laboratories have the capacity to detect this result?

Yes, all testing facilities must be able to detect this.

“All testing laboratories have to provide it. It is part of NCEMA guidelines,” Dr Gupta said.

Is it common?

No. Laboratories say the result only accounts for a tiny percentage of samples.

“Based on the testing in our lab, the presumptive positive rate is 0.24 per cent,” Dr Gupta said.

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Email sent to Uber team from chief executive Dara Khosrowshahi

From: Dara

To: Team@

Date: March 25, 2019 at 11:45pm PT

Subj: Accelerating in the Middle East

Five years ago, Uber launched in the Middle East. It was the start of an incredible journey, with millions of riders and drivers finding new ways to move and work in a dynamic region that’s become so important to Uber. Now Pakistan is one of our fastest-growing markets in the world, women are driving with Uber across Saudi Arabia, and we chose Cairo to launch our first Uber Bus product late last year.

Today we are taking the next step in this journey—well, it’s more like a leap, and a big one: in a few minutes, we’ll announce that we’ve agreed to acquire Careem. Importantly, we intend to operate Careem independently, under the leadership of co-founder and current CEO Mudassir Sheikha. I’ve gotten to know both co-founders, Mudassir and Magnus Olsson, and what they have built is truly extraordinary. They are first-class entrepreneurs who share our platform vision and, like us, have launched a wide range of products—from digital payments to food delivery—to serve consumers.

I expect many of you will ask how we arrived at this structure, meaning allowing Careem to maintain an independent brand and operate separately. After careful consideration, we decided that this framework has the advantage of letting us build new products and try new ideas across not one, but two, strong brands, with strong operators within each. Over time, by integrating parts of our networks, we can operate more efficiently, achieve even lower wait times, expand new products like high-capacity vehicles and payments, and quicken the already remarkable pace of innovation in the region.

This acquisition is subject to regulatory approval in various countries, which we don’t expect before Q1 2020. Until then, nothing changes. And since both companies will continue to largely operate separately after the acquisition, very little will change in either teams’ day-to-day operations post-close. Today’s news is a testament to the incredible business our team has worked so hard to build.

It’s a great day for the Middle East, for the region’s thriving tech sector, for Careem, and for Uber.

Uber on,

Dara