epa06264080 German Chancellor Angela Merkel speaks during a campaigning event of Christian Democratic Union (CDU), in Osnabrueck, Germany, 13 October 2017. Lower Saxony state elections in Germany are scheduled for 15 October.  EPA/DAVID HECKER
German Chancellor Angela Merkel speaks during a state elections campaigning event in Osnabrueck.EPA

In Europe, economic growth obscures what is at best a fragile revival



Like sunlight, the cleansing effect of global growth is sustaining the fortunes of political leaders who have struggled to win elections in recent months.

As new governments emerge, the brightening spots obscure the underlying turbulence that is bound to return.

In The Hague, a coalition government was formed last week after a leisurely 208-day interlude after the general election. Crisis, what crisis? Meet the new guy, same as the old guy. Mark Rutte, a pleasant liberal, was handed the seals of office for the third time.

Mr Rutte has been helped by the economic winds. The Netherlands economy has just pushed past three per cent growth for the first time in a decade.

The hot-button issue of migration has been dealt with through a pact to take welfare from refugees. Geert Wilders, the far-right Islamophobe, has been strangely accepting of his party's exclusion from office despite taking second place at the polls.

As with the Dutch, the Germans are still dealing with the fallout from an election that saw voters rush to the extremes.

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Three weeks after the result that humbled Angela Merkel, there is not much to say. It is possible and probable there will be a new government by the turn of the year. Equally the devil is in the details and Mrs Merkel could be still in limbo until early 2018.

At the heart of Europe, Henry Kissinger's provocation "who do I phone" remains the key and unanswered test.

Raring to go on the sidelines is the French president Emmanuel Macron, who is still the dominant force in French politics.

His honeymoon after beating the far-right in May and leading his new party to a parliamentary majority in June has a wasting shelf life  Within Europe his agenda has gone nowhere. Like a hotrod in the desert, he is designing pretty circles in the sand but making up no ground for all his noise.

Even without the British decision to leave and the Catalan secession crisis, the EU faces big make-or-break decisions. The slow but sure political talks are no harbinger of success.

Two big pan-European decisions could determine the credibility of the block. Restricting the rights of non-nationals, particularly from eastern Europe, to move west is Mr Macron's best chance of keeping the far right permanently in the shadows. Brexit proved that a naive acceptance of continent-wide labour movement is a hiding to disaster. Populist eastern European politicians are cunningly stoking a counter-reaction designed to forced another wave of exits in a decade or so.

The second big decision is a banking union across the EU. In particular a guarantee of customer bank deposits from Malta to Finland. It is looking like a great undeliverable of upcoming negotiations.

Lurking virtually unspoken behind Europe’s endless cycle of summits is the dawning reality that the project stands or falls on German domination.

Enlargement of the western European club of 12 states to 28 mainly entailed a spread across the regions most bound in to the broad sweep of Germanic history. At root this is why the British had to bolt.

Berlin under the still hand of a dominant but ageing leader is resistant. As Mrs Merkel prepared for coalition talks, a document emerged last week in Berlin from the country’s foreign policy establishment entitled “In spite of it all, America”.

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Don’t be tempted to think that this should really have been named ‘In spite of Trump, America”. It was a historic call for a standstill against Germany’s untrammeled leadership of the European block.

Berlin was warned to stick with the trans-Atlantic priorities. Divergence into trade wars and migration was depicted as a path to instability. Siren calls to abandon a strategic freeze on ties with Russia was a frightening prospect for the experts.

A Germany that orchestrated European politics would indeed marshal its allies along the lines set out so clearly in the paper. The prosperous states of the eurozone, like France and the Netherlands, are increasing satellites of the German economy. Another band, notably ltaly, is dependent on the ultimate bailout power of the German exchequer. Others like Spain now need Germany's centrifugal force just to maintain their own cohesion.

Angela Merkel has surpassed Mr Rutte to land a fourth term in office. In doing so, she and he are past masters of the art of centrist triangulation that dominated Western politics after the Cold War. The space that was their playground has steadily shrunk. Europe has fractured once and will in all likelihood do so again.

The revival of Europe is not as it seems and the worry is the project remains a bubble. It is strong and whole as long as the sheen holds. It is also fragile and liable to pop.

Specs: 2024 McLaren Artura Spider

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Max power: 700hp at 7,500rpm
Max torque: 720Nm at 2,250rpm
Transmission: Eight-speed dual-clutch auto
0-100km/h: 3.0sec
Top speed: 330kph
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The Gentlemen

Director: Guy Ritchie

Stars: Colin Farrell, Hugh Grant 

Three out of five stars

The BIO:

He became the first Emirati to climb Mount Everest in 2011, from the south section in Nepal

He ascended Mount Everest the next year from the more treacherous north Tibetan side

By 2015, he had completed the Explorers Grand Slam

Last year, he conquered K2, the world’s second-highest mountain located on the Pakistan-Chinese border

He carries dried camel meat, dried dates and a wheat mixture for the final summit push

His new goal is to climb 14 peaks that are more than 8,000 metres above sea level

Dubai works towards better air quality by 2021

Dubai is on a mission to record good air quality for 90 per cent of the year – up from 86 per cent annually today – by 2021.

The municipality plans to have seven mobile air-monitoring stations by 2020 to capture more accurate data in hourly and daily trends of pollution.

These will be on the Palm Jumeirah, Al Qusais, Muhaisnah, Rashidiyah, Al Wasl, Al Quoz and Dubai Investment Park.

“It will allow real-time responding for emergency cases,” said Khaldoon Al Daraji, first environment safety officer at the municipality.

“We’re in a good position except for the cases that are out of our hands, such as sandstorms.

“Sandstorms are our main concern because the UAE is just a receiver.

“The hotspots are Iran, Saudi Arabia and southern Iraq, but we’re working hard with the region to reduce the cycle of sandstorm generation.”

Mr Al Daraji said monitoring as it stood covered 47 per cent of Dubai.

There are 12 fixed stations in the emirate, but Dubai also receives information from monitors belonging to other entities.

“There are 25 stations in total,” Mr Al Daraji said.

“We added new technology and equipment used for the first time for the detection of heavy metals.

“A hundred parameters can be detected but we want to expand it to make sure that the data captured can allow a baseline study in some areas to ensure they are well positioned.”

Company Profile

Name: Direct Debit System
Started: Sept 2017
Based: UAE with a subsidiary in the UK
Industry: FinTech
Funding: Undisclosed
Investors: Elaine Jones
Number of employees: 8

Moonfall

Director: Rolan Emmerich

Stars: Patrick Wilson, Halle Berry

Rating: 3/5

COMPANY PROFILE

Name: SmartCrowd
Started: 2018
Founder: Siddiq Farid and Musfique Ahmed
Based: Dubai
Sector: FinTech / PropTech
Initial investment: $650,000
Current number of staff: 35
Investment stage: Series A
Investors: Various institutional investors and notable angel investors (500 MENA, Shurooq, Mada, Seedstar, Tricap)

SPECS

Engine: 4-litre V8 twin-turbo
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Torque: 850Nm
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SPECS

Engine: 1.5-litre turbo

Power: 181hp

Torque: 230Nm

Transmission: 6-speed automatic

Starting price: Dh79,000

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When is VAR used?

Goals

Penalty decisions

Direct red-card incidents

Mistaken identity

The specs

Engine: 1.5-litre, 4-cylinder turbo

Transmission: CVT

Power: 170bhp

Torque: 220Nm

Price: Dh98,900

The specs: 2019 GMC Yukon Denali

Price, base: Dh306,500
Engine: 6.2-litre V8
Transmission: 10-speed automatic
Power: 420hp @ 5,600rpm
Torque: 621Nm @ 4,100rpm​​​​​​​
​​​​​​​Fuel economy, combined: 12.9L / 100km

UAE rugby in numbers

5 - Year sponsorship deal between Hesco and Jebel Ali Dragons

700 - Dubai Hurricanes had more than 700 playing members last season between their mini and youth, men's and women's teams

Dh600,000 - Dubai Exiles' budget for pitch and court hire next season, for their rugby, netball and cricket teams

Dh1.8m - Dubai Hurricanes' overall budget for next season

Dh2.8m - Dubai Exiles’ overall budget for next season

Bangladesh tour of Pakistan

January 24 – First T20, Lahore

January 25 – Second T20, Lahore

January 27 – Third T20, Lahore

February 7-11 – First Test, Rawalpindi

April 3 – One-off ODI, Karachi

April 5-9 – Second Test, Karachi

Living in...

This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home. 

Quick pearls of wisdom

Focus on gratitude: And do so deeply, he says. “Think of one to three things a day that you’re grateful for. It needs to be specific, too, don’t just say ‘air.’ Really think about it. If you’re grateful for, say, what your parents have done for you, that will motivate you to do more for the world.”

Know how to fight: Shetty married his wife, Radhi, three years ago (he met her in a meditation class before he went off and became a monk). He says they’ve had to learn to respect each other’s “fighting styles” – he’s a talk it-out-immediately person, while she needs space to think. “When you’re having an argument, remember, it’s not you against each other. It’s both of you against the problem. When you win, they lose. If you’re on a team you have to win together.”