Economic history has a way of shifting in life cycles. The Bretton Woods era and the Marshall Plan set the stage for the post-Second World War economic order. The launch of the World Trade Organisation and the Brady Plan for debt shaped the post-Cold War Golden Era of globalisation.
Ms Yellen’s push for a baseline on corporate taxation comes as policymakers seek to lay the foundations for a post-Covid-19 and increasingly carbon-neutral economy.
While a global standard for corporate taxes may sound dry, it in fact represents a step change from capitalism as we know it. Taken in a context of rising progressive pressure for reparations for colonial economic exploitation, the move lays the groundwork for something quite dramatic.
The intellectual sands within the economic profession have rapidly shifted. Many think Ms Yellen’s idea is far too modest. Some propose new variations on transaction taxes, such as a levy on all share price values or on digital activity.
Resistance should be straightforward for Ms Yellen to overcome. The private economy is benefiting from the second mass mobilisation of resources to stabilise and recapitalise the economy in less than 11 years.
When the finance ministers of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank met recently, Washington proposed a global plan for uniform rates. The kicker is that countries would be able to apply the taxes if earnings in other states were taxed at a lower rate to make up the difference. That would effectively reduce incentives for US corporates to shift profits to low-tax nations that have prioritised development over government revenues.
Some developed countries have already responded to the pandemic by reversing the trend towards lowering corporation taxes, such as the UK. The 37 members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development are looking to seal a deal on a digital services tax and corporate taxes by the middle of this year.
International agreement is necessary because the existing cross-border taxation treaties only allow countries to impose taxes on businesses with a permanent presence in their borders. This allows plenty of booking of revenues or profits offshore, effectively eliminating the taxman.
The signing of the Bretton Woods Agreements in July 1944. The Bretton Woods era and the Marshall Plan set the stage for the post-Second World War economic order. Getty Images
European countries have been embroiled in a tariff war with the US over their attempts to impose Digital Sales Taxes on companies. Washington believes these discriminate against the mighty US presence in the sector.
Abandoning this approach would not have any great cost for the Europeans, as the digital taxes imposed so far have not raised much revenue for governments. In a report last week, the Centre for European Reform said “a deal broadly around the current US proposal is a realistic possibility and is in the EU’s interest”.
The direction of travel is moving to a burden-sharing ethos by taking from privately held wealth to the governments.
A study by Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman, who work at University of California in Berkeley, calls on companies to pay 0.2 per cent of stock market valuation in taxes. "As the G20 stock market capitalisation is around $90tn, the tax would raise approximately $180 billion each year," their report said. That is, of course, puny compared to the $2tn infrastructure proposal Mr Biden is pushing in the US alone.
French economist Thomas Piketty has called for a historic set of payments between colonial exploiters and the developed countries.. Alamy
The direction of travel is moving to a burden-sharing ethos by taking from privately held wealth to the governments
Thomas Piketty, the leftist French economist, asks why not also look at making a historic set of payments between colonial exploiters and the developed countries. This healing gesture would chime with those who have protested outside institutions and businesses with ties to slavery and other global ills.
The godfather of "social tax justice" sees much greater challenges ahead. He sees the benefits of tax reforms accruing in developed countries and cutting out the developing nations. Using a case study of Haiti, Mr Piketty wants Paris to hand over 300 per cent of that country’s GDP, or $30bn. Such a sum is one per cent of French public debt but would make a massive difference to the stricken Caribbean country’s outlook.
He argues that inequality of wealth and poverty must be addressed on an international basis and within countries.
Government spending is a means of intervening against these trends. By internationalising the issue, Washington would give new respectability to a much greater rebalancing of the global wealth scales.
Damien McElroy is the London bureau chief at The National
MATCH INFO
Rugby World Cup (all times UAE)
Third-place play-off: New Zealand v Wales, Friday, 1pm
Final: England v South Africa, Saturday, 1pm
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Stuck in a job without a pay rise? Here's what to do
Chris Greaves, the managing director of Hays Gulf Region, says those without a pay rise for an extended period must start asking questions – both of themselves and their employer.
“First, are they happy with that or do they want more?” he says. “Job-seeking is a time-consuming, frustrating and long-winded affair so are they prepared to put themselves through that rigmarole? Before they consider that, they must ask their employer what is happening.”
Most employees bring up pay rise queries at their annual performance appraisal and find out what the company has in store for them from a career perspective.
Those with no formal appraisal system, Mr Greaves says, should ask HR or their line manager for an assessment.
“You want to find out how they value your contribution and where your job could go,” he says. “You’ve got to be brave enough to ask some questions and if you don’t like the answers then you have to develop a strategy or change jobs if you are prepared to go through the job-seeking process.”
For those that do reach the salary negotiation with their current employer, Mr Greaves says there is no point in asking for less than 5 per cent.
“However, this can only really have any chance of success if you can identify where you add value to the business (preferably you can put a monetary value on it), or you can point to a sustained contribution above the call of duty or to other achievements you think your employer will value.”
Rafael Nadal's record at the MWTC
2009 Finalist
2010 Champion
Jan 2011 Champion
Dec 2011 Semi-finalist
Dec 2012 Did not play
Dec 2013 Semi-finalist
2015 Semi-finalist
Jan 2016 Champion
Dec 2016 Champion
2017 Did not play
BMW M5 specs
Engine: 4.4-litre twin-turbo V-8 petrol enging with additional electric motor
Power: 727hp
Torque: 1,000Nm
Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 10.6L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh650,000
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
if you go
The flights
The closest international airport to the TMB trail is Geneva (just over an hour’s drive from the French ski town of Chamonix where most people start and end the walk). Direct flights from the UAE to Geneva are available with Etihad and Emirates from about Dh2,790 including taxes.
The trek
The Tour du Mont Blanc takes about 10 to 14 days to complete if walked in its entirety, but by using the services of a tour operator such as Raw Travel, a shorter “highlights” version allows you to complete the best of the route in a week, from Dh6,750 per person. The trails are blocked by snow from about late October to early May. Most people walk in July and August, but be warned that trails are often uncomfortably busy at this time and it can be very hot. The prime months are June and September.
A Bad Moms Christmas
Dir: John Lucas and Scott Moore
Starring: Mila Kunis, Kathryn Hahn, Kristen Bell, Susan Sarandon, Christine Baranski, Cheryl Hines
Two stars
SERIES INFO
Cricket World Cup League Two
Nepal, Oman, United States tri-series
Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu
Fixtures
Wednesday February 5, Oman v Nepal
Thursday, February 6, Oman v United States
Saturday, February 8, United States v Nepal
Sunday, February 9, Oman v Nepal
Tuesday, February 11, Oman v United States
Wednesday, February 12, United States v Nepal
Table
The top three sides advance to the 2022 World Cup Qualifier.
The bottom four sides are relegated to the 2022 World Cup playoff
Eoin Morgan (capt), Moeen Ali, Jofra Archer, Jonny Bairstow, Jos Buttler (wkt), Tom Curran, Liam Dawson, Liam Plunkett, Adil Rashid, Joe Root, Jason Roy, Ben Stokes, James Vince, Chris Woakes, Mark Wood
The specs
Engine: Dual 180kW and 300kW front and rear motors
Favourite Emirati dish: I have so many because it has a lot of herbs and vegetables. Harees (oats with chicken) is one of them
Favourite place to go to: Dubai Mall because it has lots of sports shops.
Her motivation: My performance because I know that whatever I do, if I put the effort in, I’ll get results
During her free time: I like to drink coffee - a latte no sugar and no flavours. I do not like cold drinks
Pet peeve: That with every meal they give you a fries and Pepsi. That is so unhealthy
Advice to anyone who wants to be an ironman: Go for the goal. If you are consistent, you will get there. With the first one, it might not be what they want but they should start and just do it