US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is leading the Biden administration's call for a baseline on corporate taxation globally. Reuters
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is leading the Biden administration's call for a baseline on corporate taxation globally. Reuters
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is leading the Biden administration's call for a baseline on corporate taxation globally. Reuters
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is leading the Biden administration's call for a baseline on corporate taxation globally. Reuters

Yellen's idea of a global minimum tax rate is just a first step for a progressive agenda


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In the eyes of history, Janet Yellen is set to be seen as a truly transformational figure if her proposal for a global minimum multinational tax rate gains acceptance.

Economic history has a way of shifting in life cycles. The Bretton Woods era and the Marshall Plan set the stage for the post-Second World War economic order. The launch of the World Trade Organisation and the Brady Plan for debt shaped the post-Cold War Golden Era of globalisation.

Ms Yellen’s push for a baseline on corporate taxation comes as policymakers seek to lay the foundations for a post-Covid-19 and increasingly carbon-neutral economy.

While a global standard for corporate taxes may sound dry, it in fact represents a step change from capitalism as we know it. Taken in a context of rising progressive pressure for reparations for colonial economic exploitation, the move lays the groundwork for something quite dramatic.

The intellectual sands within the economic profession have rapidly shifted. Many think Ms Yellen’s idea is far too modest. Some propose new variations on transaction taxes, such as a levy on all share price values or on digital activity.

Resistance should be straightforward for Ms Yellen to overcome. The private economy is benefiting from the second mass mobilisation of resources to stabilise and recapitalise the economy in less than 11 years.

In her previous role as a leader of the Federal Reserve, Ms Yellen was instrumental in the quantitative easing programmes that brought recovery from the Great Financial crisis. Now that she has been appointed Secretary of the Treasury in the Biden administration, she has lost no time in proposing a dramatic tilt in the system.

With governments taking more money from corporations, the scope for fiscal spending to play a bigger role in the economy is bound to expand.

The new US government has proposed that its own corporate tax should rise to 28 per cent and that foreign income for those companies should be taxed. With a substantial pandemic-related stimulus package already in train and a $2.3 trillion infrastructure proposal on the table, the Biden administration needs to fund at least part of its new deal.

When the finance ministers of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank met recently, Washington proposed a global plan for uniform rates. The kicker is that countries would be able to apply the taxes if earnings in other states were taxed at a lower rate to make up the difference. That would effectively reduce incentives for US corporates to shift profits to low-tax nations that have prioritised development over government revenues.

Some developed countries have already responded to the pandemic by reversing the trend towards lowering corporation taxes, such as the UK. The 37 members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development are looking to seal a deal on a digital services tax and corporate taxes by the middle of this year.

International agreement is necessary because the existing cross-border taxation treaties only allow countries to impose taxes on businesses with a permanent presence in their borders. This allows plenty of booking of revenues or profits offshore, effectively eliminating the taxman.

The signing of the Bretton Woods Agreements in July 1944. The Bretton Woods era and the Marshall Plan set the stage for the post-Second World War economic order. Getty Images
The signing of the Bretton Woods Agreements in July 1944. The Bretton Woods era and the Marshall Plan set the stage for the post-Second World War economic order. Getty Images

European countries have been embroiled in a tariff war with the US over their attempts to impose Digital Sales Taxes on companies. Washington believes these discriminate against the mighty US presence in the sector.

Abandoning this approach would not have any great cost for the Europeans, as the digital taxes imposed so far have not raised much revenue for governments. In a report last week, the Centre for European Reform said “a deal broadly around the current US proposal is a realistic possibility and is in the EU’s interest”.

The direction of travel is moving to a burden-sharing ethos by taking from privately held wealth to the governments.

A study by Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman, who work at University of California in Berkeley, calls on companies to pay 0.2 per cent of stock market valuation in taxes. "As the G20 stock market capitalisation is around $90tn, the tax would raise approximately $180 billion each year," their report said. That is, of course, puny compared to the $2tn infrastructure proposal Mr Biden is pushing in the US alone.

French economist Thomas Piketty has called for a historic set of payments between colonial exploiters and the developed countries.. Alamy
French economist Thomas Piketty has called for a historic set of payments between colonial exploiters and the developed countries.. Alamy
The direction of travel is moving to a burden-sharing ethos by taking from privately held wealth to the governments

Thomas Piketty, the leftist French economist, asks why not also look at making a historic set of payments between colonial exploiters and the developed countries. This healing gesture would chime with those who have protested outside institutions and businesses with ties to slavery and other global ills.

The godfather of "social tax justice" sees much greater challenges ahead. He sees the benefits of tax reforms accruing in developed countries and cutting out the developing nations. Using a case study of Haiti, Mr Piketty wants Paris to hand over 300 per cent of that country’s GDP, or $30bn. Such a sum is one per cent of French public debt but would make a massive difference to the stricken Caribbean country’s outlook.

He argues that inequality of wealth and poverty must be addressed on an international basis and within countries.

Government spending is a means of intervening against these trends. By internationalising the issue, Washington would give new respectability to a much greater rebalancing of the global wealth scales.

Damien McElroy is the London bureau chief at The National

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Milestones on the road to union

1970

October 26: Bahrain withdraws from a proposal to create a federation of nine with the seven Trucial States and Qatar. 

December: Ahmed Al Suwaidi visits New York to discuss potential UN membership.

1971

March 1:  Alex Douglas Hume, Conservative foreign secretary confirms that Britain will leave the Gulf and “strongly supports” the creation of a Union of Arab Emirates.

July 12: Historic meeting at which Sheikh Zayed and Sheikh Rashid make a binding agreement to create what will become the UAE.

July 18: It is announced that the UAE will be formed from six emirates, with a proposed constitution signed. RAK is not yet part of the agreement.

August 6:  The fifth anniversary of Sheikh Zayed becoming Ruler of Abu Dhabi, with official celebrations deferred until later in the year.

August 15: Bahrain becomes independent.

September 3: Qatar becomes independent.

November 23-25: Meeting with Sheikh Zayed and Sheikh Rashid and senior British officials to fix December 2 as date of creation of the UAE.

November 29:  At 5.30pm Iranian forces seize the Greater and Lesser Tunbs by force.

November 30: Despite  a power sharing agreement, Tehran takes full control of Abu Musa. 

November 31: UK officials visit all six participating Emirates to formally end the Trucial States treaties

December 2: 11am, Dubai. New Supreme Council formally elects Sheikh Zayed as President. Treaty of Friendship signed with the UK. 11.30am. Flag raising ceremony at Union House and Al Manhal Palace in Abu Dhabi witnessed by Sheikh Khalifa, then Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi.

December 6: Arab League formally admits the UAE. The first British Ambassador presents his credentials to Sheikh Zayed.

December 9: UAE joins the United Nations.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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