Boris Johnson carries a wreath during the Remembrance Sunday service in London on Sunday. The British Prime Minister finds himself in a bind after Joe Biden's win. AP Photo
Boris Johnson carries a wreath during the Remembrance Sunday service in London on Sunday. The British Prime Minister finds himself in a bind after Joe Biden's win. AP Photo
Boris Johnson carries a wreath during the Remembrance Sunday service in London on Sunday. The British Prime Minister finds himself in a bind after Joe Biden's win. AP Photo
In 2018, Joe Biden sat down for an interview with the former leader of Britain’s Liberal Democratic party, Nick Clegg. Mr Biden was asked about Brexit. As usual, he spoke his mind. Many American foreign policy experts, including those in the President-elect’s team, fret about Britain’s declining role in the world as a result of leaving the European Union.
Mr Biden said: “I was really disappointed in terms of US interests. If we had any voice in Europe, it was you. I was not surprised, because in times of confusion and great change I think we all become susceptible to demagogues and charlatans who in order to aggrandise their power find a scapegoat.”
In the past few days, asked by a reporter if he had any words for the BBC, Mr Biden had two: “I’m Irish.”
The amusing quip and the deeply felt concern illuminate what the British government must deal with after four-and-a-half years when bluster from pro-Brexit “demagogues and charlatans” finally becomes a reality.
Negotiations between Britain and the EU continue about a deal, as we stagger towards Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s self-imposed deadline of December 31. But Mr Johnson faces exactly the same dilemma with which he undermined his predecessor Theresa May. Will it be a painful Brexit or a pointless Brexit?
"Painful" would be crashing out of the EU without a deal, thereby deliberately and significantly damaging the British economy. Enormous lorry parks are being constructed in Kent to cope with predicted tailbacks from the port of Dover, the main trade route to France. Government sources speak of special "Kent passports", permits without which lorries will not be able to reach the coast. This painful Brexit will hit as Britain also faces the deepest economic slowdown in living memory as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.
But if Mr Johnson does secure a deal with the EU, his personal position may become even more precarious. Any deal will, predictably, be branded a "sell-out" by Mr Johnson's political opponents, including Nigel Farage. Some within his own party may also be disgusted at a pointless Brexit. And since any new deal with Europe will be worse than the one Britain already has, the majority of British citizens who now believe Brexit is a mistake will be furious that after almost five years of negotiations we are making ourselves poorer with few benefits.
Mr Johnson thought it would go differently. He had a warm relationship with the Trump family. US President Donald Trump called him (ungrammatically) "Britain Trump". An unnamed source in the Biden camp told a British newspaper that Mr Johnson is regarded rather as a "shapeshifting creep". Others believe that the Prime Minister fits Mr Biden's description of "demagogues and charlatans who in order to aggrandise their power find a scapegoat". Mr Biden himself, however, is a good friend of Britain even if he is not a fan of Mr Johnson.
For some years I was a neighbour of the former Labour party leader Neil Kinnock. Mr Biden admired Mr Kinnock so much that he once plagiarised one of Mr Kinnock's speeches, something that caused a mini-scandal at the time. But Mr Kinnock laughed uproariously at the implied compliment, and Mr Biden shared the joke. The two became friends and Mr Kinnock told me the President-elect was also a true American friend of the UK.
Traffic crosses the border into Northern Ireland from the Irish Republic alongside a Brexit Border poster. AFP
Besides, some years ago during a row between the then British prime minister and the US president, the British ambassador to Washington wryly informed me that the prime minister and the president will always have to get along because those were “the rules” of diplomacy. A US State Department official said much the same when he told me “the totality of the relationships” between the UK and US was so great that whatever their differences the two leaders would work constructively together.
All this means that the hugely pragmatic and personally generous Mr Biden wants a strong relationship with the UK, and will therefore tolerate Mr Johnson. The bad news is that what a few deluded British commentators still call "the special relationship" exists more in the British imagination than in the American reality. When Mr Biden says "I'm Irish", he is reaffirming his commitment to peace in Ireland and the Good Friday Agreement. That's his "special relationship". Any chicanery from Mr Johnson on Ireland will make life exceedingly difficult for the UK.
In any case, if it comes to a post-Brexit US-UK trade deal, it may take years – and no president ultimately decides. Congress does, in particular the finely balanced Senate. The US Trade Representative has held public hearings on Brexit during which US lobbyists from the farming, health care, aviation and other sectors demanded that any trade treaty with the UK must open up British markets to their products and interests. Members of Congress will obviously seek the greatest benefit for these powerful lobbies that provide jobs in their states, and contribute to their own campaign funds.
Mr Johnson’s needs and hopes are not on any American politician’s list of priorities, especially those who – like Mr Trump himself – see Mr Johnson as just Mr Trump’s British “Mini-Me”.
Gavin Esler is a broadcaster and UK columnist for The National
Essentials
The flights
Whether you trek after mountain gorillas in Rwanda, Uganda or the Congo, the most convenient international airport is in Rwanda’s capital city, Kigali. There are direct flights from Dubai a couple of days a week with RwandAir. Otherwise, an indirect route is available via Nairobi with Kenya Airways. Flydubai flies to Kinshasa in the Democratic Republic of Congo, via Entebbe in Uganda. Expect to pay from US$350 (Dh1,286) return, including taxes. The tours
Superb ape-watching tours that take in all three gorilla countries mentioned above are run by Natural World Safaris. In September, the company will be operating a unique Ugandan ape safari guided by well-known primatologist Ben Garrod.
In the Democratic Republic of Congo, local operator Kivu Travel can organise pretty much any kind of safari throughout the Virunga National Park and elsewhere in eastern Congo.
Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994
Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers
Lt Gen Erik Petersen, deputy chief of programs, US Army, has argued it took a “three decade holiday” on modernising tanks.
“There clearly remains a significant armoured heavy ground manoeuvre threat in this world and maintaining a world class armoured force is absolutely vital,” the general said in London last week.
“We are developing next generation capabilities to compete with and deter adversaries to prevent opportunism or miscalculation, and, if necessary, defeat any foe decisively.”
David Haye record
Total fights: 32 Wins: 28 Wins by KO: 26 Losses: 4
Other acts on the Jazz Garden bill
Sharrie Williams
The American singer is hugely respected in blues circles due to her passionate vocals and songwriting. Born and raised in Michigan, Williams began recording and touring as a teenage gospel singer. Her career took off with the blues band The Wiseguys. Such was the acclaim of their live shows that they toured throughout Europe and in Africa. As a solo artist, Williams has also collaborated with the likes of the late Dizzy Gillespie, Van Morrison and Mavis Staples. Lin Rountree
An accomplished smooth jazz artist who blends his chilled approach with R‘n’B. Trained at the Duke Ellington School of the Arts in Washington, DC, Rountree formed his own band in 2004. He has also recorded with the likes of Kem, Dwele and Conya Doss. He comes to Dubai on the back of his new single Pass The Groove, from his forthcoming 2018 album Stronger Still, which may follow his five previous solo albums in cracking the top 10 of the US jazz charts. Anita Williams
Dubai-based singer Anita Williams will open the night with a set of covers and swing, jazz and blues standards that made her an in-demand singer across the emirate. The Irish singer has been performing in Dubai since 2008 at venues such as MusicHall and Voda Bar. Her Jazz Garden appearance is career highlight as she will use the event to perform the original song Big Blue Eyes, the single from her debut solo album, due for release soon.
UPI facts
More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023 More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions