What coronavirus numbers tell us about UK's social contract
A decade of Conservative-led government policies has produced nothing but inequalities across the country. This is being brutally exposed by the pandemic
Back in 2009, Britain was a different country. True, we were facing the problems of the financial crisis. But in the words of the then opposition leader David Cameron at his party conference, “we are all in this together". He promised that “if we pull together, come together, work together – we will get through this together". Mr Cameron claimed Britain’s economy, politics and society were “broken”.
A year later, he became prime minister. Despite being a decent and likeable fellow, he led the UK into a series of unforced errors – grave mistakes that have come to mean that in many ways, we are worse off than we were. We have not "come together". Quite the opposite.
David Cameron made mistakes that in many ways have made the country worse off than before he took over in 2010. Reuters
Competing nationalisms in Scotland and England mean that the future for the UK will be very tricky to navigate. Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon says that Prime Minister Boris Johnson has a mandate to take England out of the EU – but no mandate to do the same for Scotland. She wants another vote on Scottish independence.
Then there is Westminster politics. The new Labour leader Keir Starmer is off to a good start after the years of division within the opposition party under his predecessor, Jeremy Corbyn. But you might expect when faced with the common threat of coronavirus, while everyone wants Mr Johnson's government to keep people safe, help the sick and stop the deaths, the "coming together" is again coming apart.
Coronavirus is not an equal-opportunity killer.
After 10 years of Conservative-led governments under Mr Cameron, Theresa May and now Mr Johnson, people with coronavirus in the country's poorest areas are dying at twice the rate of people in the richest areas. People of colour, most notably among our extraordinarily brave health workers, are dying at a much greater rate than white people in the same jobs.
BAME health workers who sacrificed their lives
Areema Nasreen
Amarante Dias
Ate Wilma Banaag
Rahima Bibi Sidhanee
Syed Zishan Haider
Alfa Saadu
Habib Zaidi
Adil el Tayar
The Office for National Statistics, or ONS – Britain's most trusted source of facts and figures – reckons there are about 55.1 deaths per 100,000 citizens in the most deprived tenth of England, whereas the figures in the least deprived tenth are 25.3 deaths in 100,000.
Those from BAME (Black, Asian, Minority Ethnic) backgrounds are significantly over-represented in the mortality figures. Newham – a less well-off area of London with a large BAME population – has reported 144.3 deaths per 100,000. The cities of Liverpool, Birmingham, Wolverhampton and Middlesbrough also have a high death rate with the virus. Of course, people in these cities are living more closely together.
Artwork thanking the NHS sits on a tree stump in Brighton, England. The NHS has been under-resourced for years. Getty Images
While similar Scottish and Welsh figures are not yet available, it is certainly true that living in the relatively under-populated Scottish highlands or North Wales makes it much less easy for the virus to spread. The ONS data is age-standardised, so age differences are taken into account.
There is nothing new in the idea that poorer people might not live as long as richer people. Some of the areas with a high death rate are very deprived. Poor nutrition, obesity, heart disease, smoking and other factors are undeniably involved. But it is also undeniable that the National Health Service has been under-resourced for years.
In a recent column, I wrote of a report by Professor Michael Marmot – one of Britain's leading experts on health inequalities – who said that over the past decade life expectancy in England has stalled for the first time in 100 years, and among English women living in the poorest communities life expectancy has declined since 2011.
Professor Marmot called it “shocking” that England had “lost a decade” in health care, which – you may think – coincidentally is the decade of Conservative-led governments. The rich-poor life expectancy gap in Britain is a difference of 9.5 years for men and 7.7 years for women.
For the immediate future, Britain needs to bring the death rate down and move towards reinvigorating the economy.
People sit in front of their home in Westminster, as the spread of the coronavirus continues, in London, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
Britain's Health Secretary Matt Hancock holds a Covid-19 Digital Press Conference at 10 Downing Street in London, UK on April 5, 2020. 10 Downing Street handout via Reuters
A man exercises in Burgess Park, as the spread of the coronavirus continues, in London, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
People sunbathing on their balconies , as the spread of the coronavirus continues, in London, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
People walk along Beachy Head, as the spread of the coronavirus continues, near Eastbourne, East Sussex, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
Residents of Prospect Quay socially distance as they watch Pete Martelle perform an impromptu gig to his apartment block in Putney, as the spread of the coronavirus continues, in London, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
Jane, Ellie and Mason sit out the front of their house in Enfield, London, UK, on April 5, 2020. Reuters
The police talk to people in Clapham Common, London, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
People are tested at an NHS testing centre in Glasgow airport, as the spread of the coronavirus continues, in Glasgow, Scotland, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
A bus driver wearing a face mask is seen in London, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
General view of beach huts on Bournemouth beach, in Bournemouth, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
Police are seen on Bournemouth beach, Bournemouth, UK on April 5, 2020. Reuters
Some in government, overburdened by the many pressures they face, seem to be disturbed by the idea that their efforts are being criticised. They are wrong. An honest debate is essential right now.
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have all made it clear that they are not following entirely in lockstep behind Mr Johnson’s government, which many commentators and medical experts say was complacent, under-prepared and slow to understand the nature of the coronavirus threat.
For the medium term, we need to get back to something we might call “normal” – although what that will be, no one can say. And for the longer term, we as a nation need to take a long hard look in the mirror.
The rhetoric of being “all in this together” has been a convenient piece of political nonsense. Some of us are more “in it” than others. Death is a great leveller. Maybe our opportunities should be more level too. Rich, poor, white, people of colour, are all equally irreplaceable.
What we need is a new social contract involving governments, businesses and people to recognise in reality – and not just in glib political phrases – that we are all truly in this together.
Gavin Esler is a journalist, author and presenter
Lowest Test scores
26 - New Zealand v England at Auckland, March 1955
30 - South Africa v England at Port Elizabeth, Feb 1896
30 - South Africa v England at Birmingham, June 1924
35 - South Africa v England at Cape Town, April 1899
36 - South Africa v Australia at Melbourne, Feb. 1932
36 - Australia v England at Birmingham, May 1902
36 - India v Australia at Adelaide, Dec. 2020
38 - Ireland v England at Lord's, July 2019
42 - New Zealand v Australia in Wellington, March 1946
42 - Australia v England in Sydney, Feb. 1888
MATCH INFO
Newcastle United 2 (Willems 25', Shelvey 88')
Manchester City 2 (Sterling 22', De Bruyne 82')
THE LIGHT
Director: Tom Tykwer
Starring: Tala Al Deen, Nicolette Krebitz, Lars Eidinger
Rating: 3/5
Key facilities
Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
Premier League-standard football pitch
400m Olympic running track
NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
600-seat auditorium
Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
Specialist robotics and science laboratories
AR and VR-enabled learning centres
Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
UAE SQUAD
Khalid Essa, Ali Khaseif, Fahad Al Dhanhani, Adel Al Hosani, Bandar Al Ahbabi, Mohammad Barghash, Salem Rashid, Khalifa Al Hammadi, Shaheen Abdulrahman, Hassan Al Mahrami, Walid Abbas, Mahmoud Khamis, Yousef Jaber, Majed Sorour, Majed Hassan, Ali Salmeen, Abdullah Ramadan, Abdullah Al Naqbi, Khalil Al Hammadi, Fabio De Lima, Khalfan Mubarak, Tahnoon Al Zaabi, Ali Saleh, Caio Canedo, Ali Mabkhout, Sebastian Tagliabue, Zayed Al Ameri
The Orwell Prize for Political Writing
Twelve books were longlisted for The Orwell Prize for Political Writing. The non-fiction works cover various themes from education, gender bias, and the environment to surveillance and political power. Some of the books that made it to the non-fiction longlist include:
Appeasing Hitler: Chamberlain, Churchill and the Road to War by Tim Bouverie
Some Kids I Taught and What They Taught Me by Kate Clanchy
Invisible Women: Exposing Data Bias in a World Designed for Men by Caroline Criado Perez
Follow Me, Akhi: The Online World of British Muslims by Hussein Kesvani
Guest House for Young Widows: Among the Women of ISIS by Azadeh Moaveni
Ali Khaseif, Fahad Al Dhanhani, Adel Al Hosani, Mohammed Al Shamsi, Bandar Al Ahbabi, Mohammed Barghash, Salem Rashid, Khalifa Al Hammadi, Shaheen Abdulrahman, Hassan Al Mahrami, Walid Abbas, Mahmoud Khamis, Yousef Jaber, Saeed Ahmed, Majed Sorour, Majed Hassan, Ali Salmeen, Abdullah Ramadan, Khalil Al Hammadi, Fabio De Lima, Khalfan Mubarak, Tahnoun Al Zaabi, Ali Saleh, Caio Canedo, Muhammed Jumah, Ali Mabkhout, Sebastian Tagliabue, Zayed Al Ameri
Non-profit arts studio Tashkeel launched this annual initiative with the intention of supporting budding designers in the UAE. This year, three talents were chosen from hundreds of applicants to be a part of the sixth creative development programme. These are architect Abdulla Al Mulla, interior designer Lana El Samman and graphic designer Yara Habib.
The trio have been guided by experts from the industry over the course of nine months, as they developed their own products that merge their unique styles with traditional elements of Emirati design. This includes laboratory sessions, experimental and collaborative practice, investigation of new business models and evaluation.
It is led by British contemporary design project specialist Helen Voce and mentor Kevin Badni, and offers participants access to experts from across the world, including the likes of UK designer Gareth Neal and multidisciplinary designer and entrepreneur, Sheikh Salem Al Qassimi.
The final pieces are being revealed in a worldwide limited-edition release on the first day of Downtown Designs at Dubai Design Week 2019. Tashkeel will be at stand E31 at the exhibition.
Lisa Ball-Lechgar, deputy director of Tashkeel, said: “The diversity and calibre of the applicants this year … is reflective of the dynamic change that the UAE art and design industry is witnessing, with young creators resolute in making their bold design ideas a reality.”
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer