UAE to increase spending after growth year



The UAE's economy grew by 7.4 per cent last year, and the government plans to increase spending despite dipping oil revenues, a report released today said. The growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP), or the combined value of all goods and services produced in the UAE, was hailed by Sultan bin Saeed al Mansouri, the Minister of Economy, as an indication that the effects of the global financial crisis had so far been "relative and minimal".

While 2009 would be challenging, Mr al Mansouri said spending on projects would continue to increase, even if oil prices remain well off their peak of US$147 (Dh539) per barrel last summer. "Infrastructural projects are expected to continue to be executed, and the government will continue to maintain the increase in the level of its expenditure on projects, despite the decrease in oil revenues as a result of decline of international demand and reduction in production," the statement said.

In his statement Mr al Mansouri also praised the Government's efforts to combat the financial crisis. The UAE central bank has responded to the downturn by extending Dh120 billion in deposits and loans to local banks. Last month Abu Dhabi moved to inject Dh16bn into its local banks, and the central bank recently agreed to a $20bn bond programme to help companies in Dubai through the crisis. "The fast, effective actions taken by the government have assisted ? to regain balance for certain economic sectors, following the direct difficulties they have encountered as a result of the international financial crisis," the statement said.

"Real" GDP, or GDP adjusted for inflation, is estimated to have grown from Dh498.7bn in 2007 to Dh535.6bn, according to the new figures. Keeping inflation in the equation, GDP grew by 27.4 per cent, largely because of the rise in oil prices last year. Oil prices last year averaged almost $100 after skyrocketing in the early part of the year and reaching $147 a barrel in July before declining. While preliminary, the new GDP numbers fall within the range of many analysts' projections for 2008. afitch@thenational.ae

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Favourite place to travel to: “Thailand, as it's gorgeous, food is delicious, their massages are to die for!”  

Favourite food: “I'm a vegetarian, so I can't get enough of salad.”

Favourite film:  “I love watching documentaries, and am fascinated by nature, animals, human anatomy. I love watching to learn!”

Best spot in the UAE: “I fell in love with Fujairah and anywhere outside the big cities, where I can get some peace and get a break from the busy lifestyle”

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Close your windows and turn on the AC.

Shower or bath after being outside.

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Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.

If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.

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Remaining Fixtures

Wednesday: West Indies v Scotland
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”