We have enough information now to start looking at the issues facing specific industries and analyse the implications for the wider economy when VAT launches across the GCC on January 1, 2018.
Some of you might remember as children playing the board game Mousetrap, something this circle of accountants has fond memories of. The object was to construct a mousetrap, then trap all the other mice on the board. Mice, in the context of the modern economy, stands for “meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions”.
Similar to the game, countries develop expansive trade centres as part of integrated master plans, which support the attraction and successful capture of this business – typically presenting themselves as annual gatherings.
The Dubai World Trade Centre (DWTC) was home to more than a hundred events last year. A million people plus attended, generating economic activity worth north of Dh12 billion.
Include the Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre, and the multitude of hotels that host second-tier events, and we quickly arrive at a not immaterial component of the economy. Today the UAE stands above over the rest of the GCC in attracting Mice.
There are three groups who are either apprehensively awaiting clarity on rules or are already calculating the potential cost of value added tax (VAT).
These are event organisers, those businesses supply services and the attendees.
Parallel universe theory is an unwelcome reality for international Mice planners. Variable VAT rules and rates face them at whatever arena they choose to pitch up at.
Some countries offer general VAT rebates, others exclude named countries from the same. Adding insult to injury, some countries are very particular about the nature of what Mice can claim what rebates. The requisite supporting documentation is often no less discerning.
Few UAE contracts are likely to have VAT-related issues. While Mice are planned well in advance, they are not typically so far ahead that Federal Tax Authority engagement with businesses shouldn’t have informed active contracts.
A regional hub seeking differentiation could do worse than steal a march by taking a “Wimbledonisation” approach. In this case, it entails accepting that it is better to forgo VAT revenues than miss out on the economic activity that might otherwise occur in another country.
“Wimbledonisation” occurs when a country focuses on ensuring that economic activity happens in that country and is willing to forgo something, be it ownership or taxes, to encourage this.
If not, what might support a decision by the Government not to facilitate refunds is an IMEX Global Data Exchange survey that placed beneficial VAT treatment fifth in a conference industry wish list – one that the UAE has largely delivered on vis-a-vis its competitors.
Mice require a lot of short-term project support, normally delivered by SMEs and lone operators that provide services such as collateral development and stall builds. It is unlikely that any will be unable to register for VAT and most will face a legal requirement to do so.
The question they should be asking themselves is whether their customers want to work with entities that are not VAT registered? In my opinion they would be wise to insist on these entities being VAT registered. An unregistered contractor cannot reclaim their input VAT, therefore it is likely to increase its charges to compensate.
This goes to the heart of what VAT is. It is a progressive collection of tax that is ultimately paid by the final consumer along a supply chain. Where there is a break in the chain, additional cost creeps in and there is a cascade of tax cost. In many markets the value at which you must register for VAT is minimal. If the intent is to repeat a transaction event, i.e., trade, then VAT is applicable. Living in a destination country, one might be forgiven for forgetting the commercial tourists who, week after week, pack our hotels when not trudging around our convention centres.
One bit of good news for them is that VAT will not apply to local municipal transport – taxi, metro etc. Regular attendees are not a bunch of unintelligent mugwumps, they understand that VAT is being applied and are generally used to being able to reclaim it.
To encourage tourism, countries often allow tourists to reclaim VAT paid when exiting the country. The process is generally simple and quick, as befits encouraging repeat and referred visits. Although the agreed GCC framework allows for it, media reporting has been confused as to whether a similar scheme will be set up in the UAE. One talked about it applying only to commercial visitors, but such separation of treatment is unlikely.
Peter Whatley, the chief executive of Argent Gulf Consulting, said: “In mature VAT environments, the chargeable rate is such that an industry has grown up to support reclaims. The OECD average VAT rate is circa 19 per cent. In the UK, companies that handle your reclaim charge from 6 per cent to 8 per cent of that and quickly refund the VAT you have paid. As the standard rate in the GCC is a relatively low 5 per cent, it would make the commerciality of third parties providing a reclaim service improbable.”
Intuitively no country wants to compete in zero sum games, so I suggest reframing the approach as one that exploits competitive advantages, satisfying itself with benefit that accrues to the wider economy via the multiplier effect. The UAE has much to offer to those extending their stay as well as acting as a short hop hub to additional must-see destinations.
It’s not ideal that the GCC VAT area is being created with the possibility of differing launch dates, from January 1, 2018, to January 1, 2019. The absence of detailed VAT law from any of the participants leaves the late adapters open to accusations of seeking competitive advantage through playing, what one wag opined, was a staggered game of “rock, paper, scissors”.
As players of Mousetrap will tell you, while some games are advantageous to those who go first, the long planning cycle of Mice mitigates some of this risk. Having worked so hard to build an innovative solution, it would be a shame if some of the lustre was lost due to a delay in revealing the rules.
David Daly is a chartered accountant (CIMA) typically serving in chief financial officer or finance director roles.
business@thenational.ae
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Getafe v Sevilla (10.15pm)
Real Madrid v Valencia (10.15pm)
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If you go...
Flying
There is no simple way to get to Punta Arenas from the UAE, with flights from Dubai and Abu Dhabi requiring at least two connections to reach this part of Patagonia. Flights start from about Dh6,250.
Touring
Chile Nativo offers the amended Los Dientes trek with expert guides and porters who are met in Puerto Williams on Isla Navarino. The trip starts and ends in Punta Arenas and lasts for six days in total. Prices start from Dh8,795.