Private equity investors upbeat


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Buyout companies expect capital to return to the Gulf this year after fund-raising fell by 84 per cent last year, one of the worst years on record for the private equity industry. Private equity funds investing in the MENA region raised just US$1.1 billion (Dh4.03bn) last year, down from $6.9bn in 2008, according to recently released figures from the Emerging Markets Private Equity Association.

According to Dow Jones estimates from January, private equity funds globally raised $95.8bn last year, down 68 per cent from the previous year. "We are seeing small but steady flows from [investors] as opposed to 2009," Ahmed el Houssieny, a managing director at Egypt's Citadel Capital, said at a private equity conference yesterday in Dubai. Antoine Drean, the chairman and chief executive of Triago, a company that helps raise funds for buyout firms and brokers trades of stakes in private companies, said the first half of last year was very slow for the industry in the Gulf and elsewhere.

"Today the end-of-the-world scenario is not so much the case," he said. The private equity industry is seen by many people as a crucial cog in the development and diversification of economies in the Gulf. Private equity firms help seed development by buying stakes in small companies and providing them with capital to finance growth. Private equity funds often exit their investments through listings on local stock exchanges, setting the groundwork for the next stages of growth.

But the industry in the Middle East remains young and makes up only a thin slice of the global private equity pie, which was estimated last year to be worth $2.5 trillion. Traditionally, the Gulf has been a major source of investment funds for western private equity firms rather than a destination for investment. Still, many private equity companies are pledging to make millions of dollars' worth of buyouts in the region this year, bucking a slowdown last year to just $2.2bn of investments. Citadel, for example, said it planned $400 million of investments in Africa and the firm is also close to raising $2.2bn to build an oil refinery in Egypt. Qatar First Investment Bank, a recently formed Doha-based firm, plans to deploy about $250m in the Middle East.

Given the global and regional economic slowdown and large declines in property prices, though, executives said they were being more selective. "We're still real-estate shy," said Emad Mansour, the deputy chief executive and chief investment officer of Qatar First Investment Bank. "We are looking at defensive sectors like health care, consumer goods and oil and gas-related services. That sector in general is the backbone of the entire region."

But despite assurances from local firms that they will invest more money this year, the region still has trouble attracting big investments from outside, said Stephen Murphy, the managing director of institutional fundraising at Citadel. The Middle East was relatively invisible to international investors, even those who targeted emerging markets such as China, Russia, India and Brazil, he said. afitch@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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