I'm sliding deeper into the oil slick



All right, I admit it. I panicked; flunked it. Took fright. Lost my nerve. I was determined to do the grown-up, long-term, Warren Buffett thing, to stand by my selections resolutely, unmoved by the short-term ebb and flow of the market. Then I made the mistake of looking at my online statement. It was the sight of a perfectly aligned flight of red arrows heading south with all the precision of an RAF aerobatic display team minus its pilots that had me reaching for the ripcord.

So much for Domino's Pizza and ITV, FTSE teammates and the twin agents of my cunning plan to take advantage of World Cup fever in the UK. Footie and the FTSE, it seems, don't play nicely together. Imagine my surprise when, once again, England put on a miserable performance, dashed a nation's ill-founded hopes and were kicked out of a major tournament by a ruthlessly efficient German side. What England fan could possibly have guessed this might happen?

And down with the hopes of England fans went the value of shares in ITV, the only terrestrial broadcaster screening the games in the UK, and with them those of Domino's Pizza. Who could stomach pizza while watching Germany and Argentina prancing about in Cape Town tonight at England's expense? So I dumped both. ITV was 4 per cent down on the price I'd paid originally and, although Domino's was actually up 1 per cent, I figured it wouldn't last. And, when I say "figured", I do, of course, mean I took a thoroughly wild and uneducated guess. Which, so far, has turned out to be wrong.

Luckily - or, to be more accurate, stupidly - when I sold my pizza holding I typed in the wrong number and inadvertently ended up hanging on to one solitary share, worth (at last count) £3.74 (Dh20.85). Well, that's my retirement taken care of, then. Naturally, I also had to dump my shares in the travel company Thomas Cook. I had bought them as a bet-hedger on the ground that those who hated football might choose to escape the World Cup by going on a month-long holiday.

Now, it seemed somehow unpatriotic to profit from them. Not that I need have worried. They, too, were down 4 per cent. It was only while pondering this latest evidence of my financial ineptitude that I noticed something on the website of The Share Centre, which is hosting my practice account, that perhaps I should have registered before. Advice. Data. Intelligence. Including performance charts covering a stock's history from the past few hours to the past decade.

Oh, well, if I'd known this sort of stuff was on tap... I mean, this is virtually cheating, surely? Studying Domino's Pizza's intel file after my hasty sell was, to say the least, something of an education. Its shares seem to have risen pretty steadily from 2000 to mid-2007, when they took a slight tumble before rallying for a bumpy year or so and then climbing to their current all-time high, giving every sign that they would continue to do so.

Oh, and look: here's a handy "What the brokers say" analysis: seven out of 10 say "strong buy", one says merely "buy", another votes "neutral" and a lone dissenting voice suggests "sell". And no mention of the World Cup, oddly. All of which was mere displacement activity as I put off confronting the fate of my main investment - BP. Now, I don't know about you, but considering this is currently one of the most hated companies on the planet I don't think that a 20 per cent fall in value is really all that bad.

And how much worse can it possibly get? After all, this is a very, very big company, sitting (and, in the Gulf of Mexico, currently floating) on an awful lot of the world's most sought-after commodity. Anyway, even I could see that bailing out of my BP investment now was a loser's gambit - equivalent to flushing down the toilet one fifth of my original investment (not unlike buying a new car, in fact).

But what did the mystery brokers have to say about it? Ignoring the six-month price chart (not dissimilar in outline to the trajectory of an artillery shell coming under the inevitable influence of gravity) as damaging to morale, I scrolled down for the answer. Rather more brokers, it seems, have declared their views about BP than about Domino's Pizza - 39 of them, in fact. Only three recommended selling; 10 sat on the fence, eight said buy and 18 voted "strong buy".

Hold on. You mean, I have done the right thing? So I shall hold on to my BP shares, even though their continuing losses amount to a short-term kicking. Sell now, and my investment of £9,938.58 would have shrunk in value to £7,988.40 - a loss of 19.62 per cent. And what, I hear you ask, did I do with the cash left after I'd sold everything else? Well, not quite everything else. I must admit that last week I failed to disclose that I had tried to buy some shares in Royal Dutch Shell, on the basis that surely one global oil giant must benefit from the travails and struggles of another.

The problem was that I hit the "buy" button without having sufficient funds left over from the original imaginary £15,000 in my account, with the result that somehow I ended up owning - or, I suppose, not owning - minus one share, worth minus £17.58. I didn't have the strength to approach the Share Centre's help team for guidance and so I just said nothing. I'm sorry. I hope this won't affect the trust between us.

Now, however, armed with the £4,781.55 left after my fire sale of shares (which had cost me £4,945.90 to buy, so a mere 3.32 per cent loss there, then - virtually a triumph!), I plunged the lot into Royal Dutch. I am now the proud owner of 271 of its shares, bought at a cost of £4,796.86. And the experts? They're on my side, overwhelmingly rating this stock as a strong buy. I reckon I could do this for a living.

Well, provided I didn't need to eat, or anything. Overall, at last count my entire portfolio was worth £12,558.93, a loss just shy of 15 per cent. jgornall@thenational.ae

ICC Women's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier 2025, Thailand

UAE fixtures
May 9, v Malaysia
May 10, v Qatar
May 13, v Malaysia
May 15, v Qatar
May 18 and 19, semi-finals
May 20, final

Israel Palestine on Swedish TV 1958-1989

Director: Goran Hugo Olsson

Rating: 5/5

Results

4pm: Al Bastakiya – Listed (TB) $150,000 (Dirt) 1,900m; Winner: Panadol, Mickael Barzalona (jockey), Salem bin Ghadayer (trainer)

4.35pm: Dubai City Of Gold – Group 2 (TB) $228,000 (Turf) 2,410m; Winner: Walton Street, William Buick, Charlie Appleby

5.10pm: Mahab Al Shimaal – Group 3 (TB) $228,000 (D) 1,200m; Winner: Canvassed, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watson

5.45pm: Burj Nahaar – Group 3 (TB) $228,000 (D) 1,600m; Winner: Midnight Sands, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watson

6.20pm: Jebel Hatta – Group 1 (TB) $260,000 (T) 1,800m; Winner: Lord Glitters, Daniel Tudhope, David O’Meara

6.55pm: Al Maktoum Challenge Round-1 – Group 1 (TB) $390,000 (D) 2,000m; Winner: Salute The Soldier, Adrie de Vries, Fawzi Nass

7.30pm: Nad Al Sheba – Group 3 (TB) $228,000 (T) 1,200m; Winner: Final Song, Frankie Dettori, Saeed bin Suroor

What's in the deal?

Agreement aims to boost trade by £25.5bn a year in the long run, compared with a total of £42.6bn in 2024

India will slash levies on medical devices, machinery, cosmetics, soft drinks and lamb.

India will also cut automotive tariffs to 10% under a quota from over 100% currently.

Indian employees in the UK will receive three years exemption from social security payments

India expects 99% of exports to benefit from zero duty, raising opportunities for textiles, marine products, footwear and jewellery

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
Started: 2021
 
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
 
Based: Tunisia 
 
Sector: Water technology 
 
Number of staff: 22 
 
Investment raised: $4 million 
Results

Stage 7:

1. Caleb Ewan (AUS) Lotto Soudal - 3:18:29

2. Sam Bennett (IRL) Deceuninck-QuickStep - same time

3. Phil Bauhaus (GER) Bahrain Victorious

4. Michael Morkov (DEN) Deceuninck-QuickStep

5. Cees Bol (NED) Team DSM

General Classification:

1. Tadej Pogacar (SLO) UAE Team Emirates - 24:00:28

2. Adam Yates (GBR) Ineos Grenadiers - 0:00:35

3. Joao Almeida (POR) Deceuninck-QuickStep - 0:01:02

4. Chris Harper (AUS) Jumbo-Visma - 0:01:42

5. Neilson Powless (USA) EF Education-Nippo - 0:01:45

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

How%20champions%20are%20made
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COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
  • 600-seat auditorium
  • Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
  • An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
  • Specialist robotics and science laboratories
  • AR and VR-enabled learning centres
  • Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills