Gazprom takes a hit from regional unrest



The Russian gas giant Gazprom is emerging as one of the biggest potential losers from the continuing unrest in the Middle East.

The company has interests in Libya, Bahrain and Iran, all of which are experiencing some level of civil disturbance. Gazprom shares, listed in Russia, declined by almost 9 per cent in the past week.

It was only last week that Gazprom Neft, the company's oil arm, signed an agreement to take a stake in the Elephant oil project in Libya. According to the deal, Gazprom is acquiring a 33.3 per cent stake worth US$178 million. The Elephant oilfield has reserves estimated at 700 million barrels.

A number of foreign companies were reported to have suspended explorations and to be evacuating family members from Libya as conditions worsened yesterday.

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Gazprom, which has staff based in Tripoli, said it was monitoring the current unrest in Libya but by late yesterday had not made a decision on withdrawing employees.

In Bahrain, where protests entered their ninth consecutive day, Gazprom has had talks with government officials to create a hub there to supply liquefied natural gas (LNG) to neighbouring GCC countries, as well as India and Pakistan.

Gazprom is part of a group of international companies operating off the coast of Iran in the giant South Pars gasfield, the largest known gas reserves in the world.

Gazprom is also facing declining market share in Europe because of a surge in cheaper LNG imports by buyers on the continent. The company is therefore increasingly dependent on reaching a deal to supply gas to China.

After years of talks to supply gas to China, Gazprom's deputy chief executive, Alexander Medvedev, said last week the chances of an agreement had increased. "We have agreed on all the basic terms for gas supplies, except prices," Mr Medvedev said.

Gazprom shareholders are not the only ones monitoring the company's performance closely: the Kremlin collected 15 per cent of its tax revenue from the gas company last year.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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The National Archives, Abu Dhabi

Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.

Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en

Destroyer

Director: Karyn Kusama

Cast: Nicole Kidman, Toby Kebbell, Sebastian Stan

Rating: 3/5 

UAE release: January 31