Lebanon opts to default on $1.2bn Eurobond debt

Prime Minister Hassan Diab says government decided to suspend payment so it could continue to provide basic commodities to the people

epa07984991 Lebanese students from various schools wave national flags and shout slogans during ongoing anti-government protests at al-Nour Square in Tripoli, north of Lebanon, 09 November 2019. Protesters demand the president make parliamentary consultations immediately to facilitate the formation of a new government that replaces the recently resigned Cabinet. They also demand the formation of a technocratic government with no political affiliation. Saad Hariri resigned as Prime Minister on 29 October, bringing down the entire Cabinet.  EPA/WAEL HAMZEH
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Lebanon decided not to repay a $1.2 billion Eurobond due on Monday, setting the heavily indebted state on course for a sovereign default and restructuring negotiations as it grapples with a major financial crisis.

Foreign currency reserves have fallen to "a worrying and dangerous level which pushes the Lebanese government to suspend payment of the March 9 Eurobond maturity because of a need for these funds," Prime Minister Hassan Diab said in an address to the nation following a cabinet meeting on Saturday.

“The decision to suspend payment is the only way to stop the attrition and protect our national interests, while at the same time launching a comprehensive reform programme."

Mr Diab said Lebanon's debt reached $90bn, or 170 per cent of GDP, making it one of the highest levels in the world. He added that the total debt and interest Lebanon had to pay back in 2020 stood at $4.6bn

Lebanon's debt is "greater than the country can handle” in the current circumstances and the country would strive to restructure its debt through negotiations with bondholders.

Sovereign debt was estimated at around 155 per cent of GDP at the end of 2019, with about 37 per cent of that in foreign currency.

Mr Diab said Lebanon's foreign currency reserves had "reached a critical stage", leading the government to suspend its debt payment so that it can continue to provide basic commodities to the Lebanese people.

The country's financial crisis came to a head last year as capital inflows slowed and protests erupted over decades of state corruption and bad governance. The import-dependent economy has shed jobs and inflation has risen as the Lebanese pound has slumped, adding to grievances that have fuelled protests.

Mr Diab said the government would begin an economic reform plan to cut spending, including in the power sector, and seek to restructure the country’s banking sector.

"Watch now if bondholders can block any deal," said Nick Eisinger, principal, fixed income emerging markets at Vanguard, which holds some Lebanese debt but has been underweight in the market for a long time.

"It's unclear how quick they can go down the restructuring route or get a deal because they need reforms first or at the same time," he said.

The cabinet earlier heard presentations by "a number of local and international advisers on the various possibilities of any decision that will be taken and its implications", Lebanon's National News Agency said.

Before the cabinet meeting, Mr Diab met with President Michel Aoun and Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri as well as the head of the country's banking association.

"The attendees decided unanimously to stand by the government in any choice it makes in terms of managing the debt, except paying the debt maturities," the presidency said in a statement afterwards.

Prior to the cabinet meeting, Antoine Choucair, the general director of the presidency, said there was little support for the repayment of the debt.

Mr Berri had also said last week that most MPs opposed paying.

Lebanon has $31bn of foreign currency debt, the bulk of which is held by Lebanese financial institutions.

The $1.2bn Eurobond – about 30 per cent of which is with foreign creditors – will be followed by another $700 million of obligations due in April and then $600m in June.

Lebanon has never before defaulted on its debt payments. The Association of Banks of Lebanon had urged the government to honour its commitments, not wanting to further erode investor confidence.

Last month, S&P Global and Moody's Investors Service downgraded its debt deeper into junk territory.

Lebanon is experiencing its worst economic crisis since the end of a 15-year civil war in 1990, which gave rise to an unprecedented wave of public protests.

Lebanon's state prosecutor suspended an order on Thursday to freeze the assets of 20 local banks, warning it would plunge the country and its financial sector into chaos.