Gary Clement for The National
Gary Clement for The National

Kanye West’s debts reflect our own situations in the UAE



Who'd have thought it? Kanye West, of "all things in excess" fame, a poster boy for personal debt. (Thank your lucky stars I didn't start with "Kanye believe it?")
Jokes aside, it's a tough time for West. His wife gave birth to their second child three months ago, and it could be that he's just coming to terms with the cost of another mouth to feed, clothe, entertain and educate, which might explain a Twitter outburst sharing his money problems.
On Valentine's Day, he tweeted to his 19.5 million followers: "I write this to you my brothers while still 53 million dollars in personal debt ... Please pray we overcome."
It's perfectly understand­able that he's reaching out for help when you compare what he earns with how much he owes. He makes an estimated US$20m to $30m a year, which means he's in over his head by 212 per cent of his average income. Not a good DTI – debt to income – ratio.
Just to put it into perspective, Greece's DTI (where GDP is taken as income) is 179 per cent, according to Trading Economics, a platform that provides global economic data, whereas Saudi Arabia's is 1.6 per cent. Just think of the fuss that has surrounded their levels of debt to date.
That is nothing compared to the average American's DTI though, estimated to be 370 per cent. In the United Kingdom, where the figure is less than half this per household, there is growing concern around predictions that things will get much worse by 2020, when the average household DTI is expected to reach 172 per cent – that's higher than the previous peak that existed in the run-up to the financial crisis. So either Kanye has a great grip on his spending compared to his fellow Americans, or the country is headed for money meltdown on a spectacular scale.
When I refer to debt in the context of people like you and me, I mean adding up all outgoings – rent, credit card payments, loans, food, everything you spend on – not just payments due to service debt taken out.
Here in the UAE there are no reliable figures for this sort of thing. But if I were to hazard a guess I'd say personal DTI lies somewhere in between UK and US levels. I base this primarily on gut (never to be overlooked), as well as averaging out how agonisingly difficult it is for very solvent people I know to take out any debt in the UAE. This is because they are sole trader/small business types who don't fit the UAE banking mould, compared to others who land themselves in hundreds of thousands worth of debt on an average salary.
My token number-crunching also takes into account the proportion of income spent on housing and utilities in this country. We're talking an estimated low of 18 per cent all the way up to 52 per cent for some – with a larger proportion of people in the 30 to 40 per cent range. Scary stuff when you think that this should be the upper limit of all debt, or outgoings.
Have you worked out your DTI? If not, I suggest you do. It's a way to measure your ability to manage payments you're committed to each month, and be good for the money you borrow.
Add up your monthly outgoings and divide by your monthly earnings. Multiply by 100 and you get your ratio of debt to income.
It's important you know this. Not only is it a key deciding factor for financial institutions, it also tells you at a glance how stretched you are.
As a general rule of thumb, a DTI of 50 per cent or more means you're a bad debt bet. You have too little left over in your pot to pay back additional loans comfortably.
Various sites suggest we aim for 30 per cent DTI. I would say go for a lower figure.
There's only one Kanye West, and you don't want his burden. But note that the figure for his personal debt is just over a third of his current estimated net worth of $147m – so he's very much quids in, and if for any reason he'd struggle, his fans are already on the case to bail him out. No such luck for the likes of you and me.
Nima Abu Wardeh is the founder of the personal finance website cashy.me. You can reach her at nima@cashy.me and find her on Twitter at @nimaabuwardeh.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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