Dubai is revising its 2015 strategic plan to reflect a more sober reality than the heady days of five years ago when the blueprint was first drawn up. Mike Young / The National
Dubai is revising its 2015 strategic plan to reflect a more sober reality than the heady days of five years ago when the blueprint was first drawn up. Mike Young / The National

High-tech shape to the future of Dubai



Dubai aims to reshape its economy following the global financial crisis by swapping focus on its property sector to high-tech industry.

High-tech manufacturing would complement the emirate's existing "classical pillars" of the economy - trade, tourism and services, said Sami Al Qamzi, the director general of Dubai Department of Economic Development (DED).

"The high-end value of manufacturing might be tapped," he said. "If there's appetite, Dubai will definitely go in this direction."

In addition to focusing on sectors such as trade, tourism and services, the emirate will also "tap into new ventures of activities that will help the economy", Mr Al Qamzi said.

The Dubai Government and the federal Government, more broadly, will seek to woo global partners to help to transfer knowledge and technology here, he added, without providing further details.

Dubai is revising its 2015 strategic plan to reflect a more sober reality than the heady days of five years ago when the blueprint was first drawn up. The changes follow a downturn in the emirate's property market, triggered by the global recession. Property has since been dropped as one of the core areas of focus for Dubai's expansion. The property market in Dubai is "saturated", Mr Al Qamzi said.

While companies in Dubai make products ranging from bottled water to aluminium, the emirate has yet to become known as a producer of high-end goods.

Such products, including heavy equipment and electronic circuitry for other products, are credited with generating larger returns for businesses and economies. Officials would like to take advantage of the emirate's central location between Europe and Asia to plug into the global high-tech supply chain.

"We are part of the global economy and have full linkages between Asia, Europe, Latin America and the region through bilateral activities and trade," said Mr Al Qamzi.

He said Dubai was still finalising what new sectors it would like to develop. The plan will then be reviewed by the Dubai Executive Council before being published next month.

Manufacturing already accounts for about 15 per cent of the emirate's GDP and has been growing more than 10 per cent per year over the past decade. Of the other main sectors, trade represents 30 per cent, tourism including hotels and restaurants makes up 3.7 per cent and financial services 11 per cent, according to data from the DED.

In another sign that officials are taking a fresh look at the emirate's future, GDP goals are being revised. Previous annual growth targets of 11 per cent will be replaced with more modest goals of mid-single digit expansion.

"We need to take into consideration that we are in a totally different dilemma," said Mr Al Qamzi, "We are not in double digits, we are single digits".

The emirate's economy will grow 4.5 per cent this year, Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum, the chairman of the Dubai Economic Sector Committee, said in February. GDP returned to a positive footing in 2010 after falling 4.5 per cent in 2009, according to the Institute of International Finance.

But the outlook is picking up, economists say.

"Dubai is the biggest non-oil economy in the region. All the macro-economy indicators we have across most of the sectors have been doing fantastic," said Philippe Dauba-Pantanacce, a senior economist for Turkey, Middle East and North Africa at Standard Chartered.

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Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
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%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ELuv%20Ranjan%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStars%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ERanbir%20Kapoor%2C%20Shraddha%20Kapoor%2C%20Anubhav%20Singh%20Bassi%20and%20Dimple%20Kapadia%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%203%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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The lowdown

Rating: 4/5

Various Artists 
Habibi Funk: An Eclectic Selection Of Music From The Arab World (Habibi Funk)
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If you go

The flights

There are direct flights from Dubai to Sofia with FlyDubai (www.flydubai.com) and Wizz Air (www.wizzair.com), from Dh1,164 and Dh822 return including taxes, respectively.

The trip

Plovdiv is 150km from Sofia, with an hourly bus service taking around 2 hours and costing $16 (Dh58). The Rhodopes can be reached from Sofia in between 2-4hours.

The trip was organised by Bulguides (www.bulguides.com), which organises guided trips throughout Bulgaria. Guiding, accommodation, food and transfers from Plovdiv to the mountains and back costs around 170 USD for a four-day, three-night trip.

 

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
A State of Passion

Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi

Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah

Rating: 4/5

The specs

Engine: Four electric motors, one at each wheel

Power: 579hp

Torque: 859Nm

Transmission: Single-speed automatic

Price: From Dh825,900

On sale: Now

South Africa squad

: Faf du Plessis (captain), Hashim Amla, Temba Bavuma, Quinton de Kock (wkt), Theunis de Bruyn, AB de Villiers, Dean Elgar, Heinrich Klaasen (wkt), Keshav Maharaj, Aiden Markram, Morne Morkel, Chris Morris, Wiaan Mulder, Lungi Ngidi, Duanne Olivier, Vernon Philander and Kagiso Rabada.

UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE FIXTURES

All kick-off times 10.45pm UAE ( 4 GMT) unless stated

Tuesday
Sevilla v Maribor
Spartak Moscow v Liverpool
Manchester City v Shakhtar Donetsk
Napoli v Feyenoord
Besiktas v RB Leipzig
Monaco v Porto
Apoel Nicosia v Tottenham Hotspur
Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid

Wednesday
Basel v Benfica
CSKA Moscow Manchester United
Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern Munich
Anderlecht v Celtic
Qarabag v Roma (8pm)
Atletico Madrid v Chelsea
Juventus v Olympiakos
Sporting Lisbon v Barcelona