The port of Jebel Ali: DP World reported lower profits as the slowdown in global cargo took its toll.
The port of Jebel Ali: DP World reported lower profits as the slowdown in global cargo took its toll.

Heavy weather for ports operator DP World



The slowdown in global shipping this year has dragged down Dubai-based DP World's first half net profits, which slumped 34 per cent to US$188 million (Dh689.9m). Volumes for the port operator declined by 10 per cent between January through June worldwide and by 7 per cent at its flagship Jebel Ali terminal in Dubai amid a "very challenging operating environment", said Mohammed Sharaf, the chief executive of DP World, the fourth-largest terminal operator with 49 terminals worldwide. The results were better than the global average decline of 15 per cent, according to Drewry Shipping Consultants in London. Mr Sharaf said the "unpredictable trends in global trade" are expected to continue in the second half of the year, but pockets of growth in its emerging markets businesses should help counter the wider decline in trade. The company is dealing with the sharpest fall in global seaborne trade since containerised shipping was introduced in the 1950s, with global trade volumes expected to decline by 9 per cent this year, according to the World Trade Organisation. The company has responded by reviewing and postponing nearly all of its expansion plans, although it has begun operating new terminals in Djibouti and Algeria, and renewed terminal concessions in Australia. Company officials described the ports operator as well positioned to weather the downturn. It has cash reserves of about $3bn and expects to continue generating $1bn a year from its operations, said Yuvraj Narayan, the chief financial officer of DP World. "As far as financing, we are in a very nice place." DP World also has $7.8bn in debt, with about $3.2bn of that in long-term bonds, said Kareem Murad, an analyst at Shuaa Capital in Dubai. "We are not worried about its debt positon," he said. "With $3bn in cash, its a healthy balance." Mr Murad said DP World's first half earnings meant it was on track to exceed its estimates of $200m in full-year net profits. The company is also considering all options to address its stock performance. The stock is down nearly 50 per cent year-on-year at $0.42, although it has clawed back from its March lows of $0.18. Mr Narayan said he was disappointed with the results and was unsure whether the low price was due to the global financial crisis or its listing on the Nasdaq Dubai bourse. First half revenues were $1.38bn, a decline of 13 per cent from the first half of last year, due to the drop in container activity as well as a 25 per cent decline in its bulk, general cargo and liquids handling units, which comprise a smaller percentage of overall sales. Dubai World, DP World's parent company, was approached about a possible stake sale in the ports firm in May, but there had been no contact with the potential buyer since, DP World executives said. Reports at the time speculated the equity firm was Dubai-based Abraaj Capital. In positive signs, the company said its revenue per container has improved despite the deteriorating market, it has cut operating costs by five per cent and demand picked up in July. Also, United Arab Shipping Company said this week it was raising rates on services to the Arabian Gulf and the Red Sea area after nearly a year of falling prices, suggesting demand could be stabilising. "When shipping lines increase box rates that is good news - the important part is can they sustain it," Mr Narayan said. But with container handling volumes still down, pressure remains on total revenues, Mr Narayan said. "This is mainly due to the fact that shipping lines are seeing their revenues also under pressure." The company may not reach its 2008 revenue levels until 2011, according to Mr Murad. It will also take some time before it resumes its many multi-billion dollar expansion plans around the globe, he said, even as it spends roughly $1.5bn over the next two years to upgrade its terminal network, "A return to its plan really depends on the industry," he said. Mr Narayan, for his part, said it was too early to predict a recovery. "I can see the light," he said, "but I don't know how far away it is." * with agencies igale@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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