The Dubai Shopping Festival enticed visitors who had planned to holiday in Egypt.
The Dubai Shopping Festival enticed visitors who had planned to holiday in Egypt.

Dubai festival judged a success



The unrest in the Mena region has added to the success of the Dubai Shopping Festival this year, retailers say.

Shops and hotels say they are pleased with the month-long festival, which finished yesterday and brought in more visitors from India and Saudi Arabia than usual.

Many visitors from Saudi Arabia and elsewhere in the Gulf came to the emirate instead of Egypt, which is a popular holiday destination for the region.

"The regional unrest in some of the countries obviously had an effect on the tourist inflow to Dubai," said a spokesman for Dubai Events and Promotions Establishment.

Ashish Panjabi, the chief operating officer at Jacky's Electronics, said: "Egypt being closed definitely helped us. We saw that on the street. We saw a lot of Saudis. We did definitely see the traffic here."

Many Indian visitors took advantage of cheap package deals to the emirate.

"What we saw as the biggest increase was the number of Indian tourists who came in this year," Mr Panjabi said. "The packages that you were getting in India were just phenomenal.

"For as low as 18,000 rupees (Dh1,465), 20,000 rupees, you were getting three nights stay in a hotel, the air tickets, a desert safari.

"Indian tourists tend to carry a lot of LCD TVs back with them. We did see our television sales go through the roof this year as compared to previous years."

On its website, the Indian carrier Jet Airways said it was offering Dubai Shopping Festival packages starting at 15,385 rupees a person for a three-night stay.

Some hotels were overbooked in the past couple of weeks and shopping centres had an increase of between 10 and 25 per cent in visitors and sales, the Dubai Events and Promotions Establishment said.

A spokesman for the organisation added these figures were based on various reports from malls, including comparisons with last year and the previous month. The promotions agency said that the festival received more than 3 million visitors, with almost Dh10 billion (US$2.72bn) in expenditure.

A school holiday in Saudi Arabia, which coincided with the event, helped boost the numbers of visitors from the kingdom.

Retail sales at the 2009 Dubai Shopping Festival fell 2 per cent from the previous year despite new malls and about 2,000 participating shops. Figures for last year's festival have yet to be released but the agency said it "was also around those figures".

This year it is a different story and a number of hotels have enjoyed 100 per cent ocupancy this month on certain days.

"Our city occupancy has gone up year-on-year by a minimum of 10 per cent," said Naeem Darkazally, the vice president of sales and revenue at Rotana, which has 13 hotels in Dubai.

"The shopping festival this year, as every year, has a very positive impact on mainly the GCC market. We have also seen a diversion of GCC residents who were booked to go to Egypt and switched to come to Dubai instead because of the unfortunate circumstances in Egypt."

Syed Zulfiqar Mehdi, the director of sales and marketing at the Samaya Hotel in Deira, Dubai, said: "It was a successful festival this year compared to last year. Dubai is not expensive like before.

"We saw an increase in GCC tourists. A lot of Indian people came to Dubai because it's better value for money. More options are available for every type of customer."

The fact that Chinese New Year took place during the festival meant there was also an influx of Chinese visitors into Dubai. A number of these tourists cancelled plans to travel to Egypt and remained in Dubai for longer, Mr Mehdi said.

He added the hotel was running at full occupancy on a number of days because of factors including the shopping festival, regional instability, elsewhere, conferences and events in the emirate, and the weather. But an increase in visitor numbers did not necessarily translate into sharp increases in profit in the electronics sector.

"We have seen a huge price drops in one year as well," said Mr Panjabi. "The quantities definitely are up in terms of unit sales, but we've also seen a price drop in some categories of 30 to 35 per cent in the last year.

"Having said that we've managed to exceed our sales over last year by a couple of percentage points."

Mr Panjabi said sales of electronic items including tablet devices and smartphones had done particularly well this year.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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